HRIHerc Holdings Inc.Industrials · Rental & Leasing Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $142.71 · now $142.71 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HRI has typically landed between $113.92 and $175.72 — a range of −20.2% to +23.1% from the issuance price $142.71.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,966 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-11-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($142.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where HRI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $142.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$113.92worst · -20.2%$175.72best · +23.1%
  • now $142.71 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $144.2 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $130.13–$158.28
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $113.92–$175.72
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,966 windows spanning 2006-11-16 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−71.0%−71.0%+1.1%
2020-02-20−69.0%−71.2%+0.0%
2020-02-19−67.1%−71.3%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-17+169.5%+0.0%+169.5%
2009-03-18+163.6%−1.0%+163.6%
2008-11-21+136.6%+0.0%+152.1%

4,966 overlapping windows · 2006-11-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.4%
n=20
Feb
50%
−0.1%
n=20
Mar
55%
−0.7%
n=20
Apr
55%
+5.9%
n=20
May
65%
−1.8%
n=20
Jun
50%
+2.8%
n=20
Jul
60%
+3.6%
n=20
Aug
45%
−0.1%
n=20
Sep
35%
−0.8%
n=20
Oct
47%
+2.2%
n=19
Nov
68%
+4.5%
n=19
Dec
75%
+5.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$179$912026-08-21: 1 insider purchase, $503K — Olsson Erik2026-02-27: 1 insider purchase, $427K — Olin John A2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $427K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $503K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Olsson Erik — Purchase on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Olin John A — Purchase on 2026-02-27, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-21Olsson ErikdirectorPurchase3,085 @ $163.00$503K+482.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open3,724Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-27Olin John AdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $142.47$427K+937.5% of holding−23.1%−4.5%3,320Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-02Cunningham Christian JofficerPurchase1 @ $0.00$0+0.0% of holding+18.9%+0.1%50,401Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

123 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-18Peres TamirofficerWithheld for tax82246,353Form 4
2026-08-18Peres TamirofficerAward / grant2,26147,175Form 4
2026-08-18Olsson ErikdirectorAward / grant639639Form 4
2026-05-14CAMPBELL PATRICK DdirectorAward / grant1,07014,572Form 4
2026-05-14HOLLEY JEAN KdirectorAward / grant1,03515,373Form 4
2026-05-14BURGESS SHARI LdirectorAward / grant1,0357,032Form 4
2026-05-14Shannon Patrick SdirectorAward / grant1,0351,355Form 4
2026-05-14CAMPBELL PATRICK DdirectorAward / grant1,03515,607Form 4
2026-05-14SACHDEV RAKESHdirectorAward / grant1,0355,523Form 4
2026-05-14Olin John AdirectorAward / grant1,0354,355Form 4
2026-05-14Kelly Michael AdirectorAward / grant1,0352,836Form 4
2026-03-13Humphrey MarkofficerWithheld for tax11433,908Form 4
2026-03-13Schumacher Mark AlanofficerWithheld for tax306,439Form 4
2026-02-07Silber Lawrence HarrisdirectorWithheld for tax1,035218,756Form 4
2026-02-07Birnbaum AaronofficerWithheld for tax31658,618Form 4
2026-02-07Peres TamirofficerWithheld for tax21544,914Form 4
2026-02-07Cunningham Christian JofficerWithheld for tax20157,695Form 4
2026-02-07Sheek Samuel WadeofficerWithheld for tax16930,318Form 4
2026-02-07Humphrey MarkofficerWithheld for tax10734,022Form 4
2026-02-07Schumacher Mark AlanofficerWithheld for tax386,469Form 4
2026-02-06Silber Lawrence HarrisdirectorWithheld for tax1,329219,791Form 4
2026-02-06Birnbaum AaronofficerWithheld for tax39558,934Form 4
2026-02-06Peres TamirofficerWithheld for tax25345,129Form 4
2026-02-06Cunningham Christian JofficerWithheld for tax23757,896Form 4
2026-02-06Sheek Samuel WadeofficerWithheld for tax23630,487Form 4
2026-02-06Humphrey MarkofficerWithheld for tax23634,129Form 4
2026-02-06Schumacher Mark AlanofficerWithheld for tax766,507Form 4
2026-02-03Silber Lawrence HarrisdirectorWithheld for tax4,361222,454Form 4
2026-02-03Birnbaum AaronofficerWithheld for tax1,36059,656Form 4
2026-02-03Silber Lawrence HarrisdirectorWithheld for tax1,334221,120Form 4
2026-02-03Cunningham Christian JofficerWithheld for tax88758,375Form 4
2026-02-03Peres TamirofficerWithheld for tax88745,640Form 4
2026-02-03Sheek Samuel WadeofficerWithheld for tax70530,942Form 4
2026-02-03Humphrey MarkofficerWithheld for tax47234,623Form 4
2026-02-03Humphrey MarkofficerWithheld for tax46035,095Form 4
2026-02-03Birnbaum AaronofficerWithheld for tax32759,329Form 4
2026-02-03Peres TamirofficerWithheld for tax25845,382Form 4
2026-02-03Humphrey MarkofficerWithheld for tax25834,365Form 4
2026-02-03Cunningham Christian JofficerWithheld for tax24258,133Form 4
2026-02-03Sheek Samuel WadeofficerWithheld for tax21930,723Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.