HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.95 · now $13.95 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HOPE has typically landed between $12.35 and $16.05 — a range of −11.5% to +15.1% from the issuance price $13.95.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.95) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where HOPE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.95 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$12.35worst · -11.5%$16.05best · +15.1%
  • now $13.95 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.91 (-0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $13.14–$14.68
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $12.35–$16.05
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-01-13−66.0%−66.0%+0.0%
2009-01-28−65.2%−65.9%+0.0%
2009-02-03−64.4%−64.4%+0.0%
3 best
2009-07-29+60.5%+0.0%+60.5%
2009-03-11+60.0%+0.0%+60.0%
2009-03-05+59.7%−2.4%+59.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−2.7%
n=20
Feb
55%
−2.3%
n=20
Mar
50%
−1.3%
n=20
Apr
40%
+0.7%
n=20
May
50%
−1.0%
n=20
Jun
60%
+1.9%
n=20
Jul
50%
+2.0%
n=20
Aug
45%
+1.4%
n=20
Sep
50%
−1.5%
n=20
Oct
55%
+3.6%
n=20
Nov
75%
+7.0%
n=20
Dec
60%
+1.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$15$102026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $23K — Stenger Thomas2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $385K — HA DAISY Y2026-06-08: 1 insider sale, $19K — Stenger Thomas2026-05-06: 1 insider sale, $150K — HA DAISY Y2026-02-06: 1 insider sale, $387K — HA DAISY Y2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $321K — HA DAISY Y2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $11K — KIM JASON K2025-12-11: 2 insider sales, $251K — Malone David P, KIM JASON K2025-12-10: 1 insider sale, $12K — KIM JASON K2025-12-08: 1 insider sale, $21K — Stenger Thomas2025-11-19: 1 insider sale, $21K — Stenger Thomas2025-09-15: 1 insider sale, $17K — Stenger Thomas2025-09-10: 1 insider sale, $39K — Harris Angelee2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $20K2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $56K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $21K2025-12: 5 open-market sales, $295K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $708K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $150K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $19K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $385K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $23K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Stenger Thomas — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 8 days after the tradedirector HA DAISY Y — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Stenger Thomas — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HA DAISY Y — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HA DAISY Y — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed same daydirector HA DAISY Y — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer KIM JASON K — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed same daydirector Malone David P — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer KIM JASON K — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer KIM JASON K — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Stenger Thomas — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed same dayofficer Stenger Thomas — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed same dayofficer Stenger Thomas — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed same dayofficer Harris Angelee — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Stenger ThomasofficerSale1,650 @ $13.80$23K−6.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open24,478Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade
2026-08-03HA DAISY YdirectorSale26,995 @ $14.24$385K−7.2% of holding−3.5%not yet — horizon still open346,120Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08Stenger ThomasofficerSale1,500 @ $12.68$19K−5.4% of holding+3.5%not yet — horizon still open26,128Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06HA DAISY YdirectorSale12,000 @ $12.53$150K−3.1% of holding+0.4%not yet — horizon still open373,115Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-06HA DAISY YdirectorSale31,020 @ $12.48$387K−100.0% of holding−11.0%+1.8%0Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05HA DAISY YdirectorSale25,533 @ $12.57$321K−45.1% of holding−11.5%+0.2%31,020Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-12KIM JASON KofficerSale1,000 @ $11.41$11K−1.2% of holding−2.3%+5.1%79,666Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-11Malone David PdirectorSale20,820 @ $11.50$239K−23.8% of holding−4.3%+4.8%66,658Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-11KIM JASON KofficerSale1,000 @ $11.60$12K−1.2% of holding−4.3%+4.8%80,666Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-10KIM JASON KofficerSale1,000 @ $11.54$12K−1.2% of holding−3.6%+8.4%81,666Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-08Stenger ThomasofficerSale1,867 @ $11.00$21K−8.4% of holding+4.3%+12.6%20,322Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-19Stenger ThomasofficerSale2,100 @ $10.00$21K−8.6% of holding+12.0%+14.0%22,189Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15Stenger ThomasofficerSale1,602 @ $10.91$17K−6.2% of holding+1.2%+0.0%24,289Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-10Harris AngeleeofficerSale3,500 @ $11.02$39K−12.6% of holding−3.9%−2.5%24,241Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06Stenger ThomasofficerSale2,000 @ $10.01$20K−7.2% of holding+8.8%+19.6%25,891Form 4 · filed 40 days after the trade
2025-01-30Stenger ThomasofficerSale4,185 @ $11.83$50K−17.8% of holding−3.4%−17.4%19,267Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-10Malone David PdirectorSale28,763 @ $13.50$388K−26.2% of holding−11.1%−21.8%81,228Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-05Stenger ThomasofficerSale1,250 @ $13.58$17K−5.1% of holding−8.6%−19.3%23,452Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

88 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-21Zuehls Dale S.directorAward / grant7,37367,716Form 4
2026-05-21Kim Joon KyungdirectorAward / grant5,78341,992Form 4
2026-05-21Byun DonalddirectorAward / grant5,06044,021Form 4
2026-05-21Doo JinhodirectorAward / grant5,06027,658Form 4
2026-05-21Nakajima TakaakidirectorAward / grant4,3374,337Form 4
2026-05-21Lee Rachel H.directorAward / grant4,33714,831Form 4
2026-05-21HA DAISY YdirectorAward / grant4,33714,831Form 4
2026-05-21Sacchi Guido FrancescodirectorAward / grant4,3374,337Form 4
2026-04-27Balicka JuliannaofficerWithheld for tax1,79547,850Form 4
2026-04-16Bunting JohnofficerWithheld for tax5,16748,290Form 4
2026-04-16Williams ElworthofficerWithheld for tax2,79920,605Form 4
2026-04-14Kim Kevin SungdirectorAward / grant79,9121,026,051Form 4
2026-04-14Koh PeterofficerAward / grant14,238146,099Form 4
2026-04-14Stenger ThomasofficerAward / grant11,99227,628Form 4
2026-04-14Balicka JuliannaofficerAward / grant11,27349,645Form 4
2026-04-14Hawley Brian WilliamofficerAward / grant10,79331,301Form 4
2026-04-14KIM JASON KofficerAward / grant10,31386,853Form 4
2026-04-14Harris AngeleeofficerAward / grant9,59430,752Form 4
2026-03-25Kim Kevin SungdirectorWithheld for tax13,390946,139Form 4
2026-03-25Stenger ThomasofficerWithheld for tax1,98915,636Form 4
2026-03-25Koh PeterofficerWithheld for tax1,683131,861Form 4
2026-03-25Balicka JuliannaofficerWithheld for tax1,34538,372Form 4
2026-03-25Hawley Brian WilliamofficerWithheld for tax1,28820,508Form 4
2026-03-25KIM JASON KofficerWithheld for tax1,23176,540Form 4
2026-03-25Harris AngeleeofficerWithheld for tax1,14521,158Form 4
2026-03-24Kim Kevin SungdirectorWithheld for tax21,972959,529Form 4
2026-03-24Stenger ThomasofficerWithheld for tax2,69717,625Form 4
2026-03-24Koh PeterofficerWithheld for tax2,524133,544Form 4
2026-03-24KIM JASON KofficerWithheld for tax1,89577,771Form 4
2026-03-24Harris AngeleeofficerWithheld for tax1,40122,303Form 4
2026-03-24Balicka JuliannaofficerWithheld for tax1,10839,717Form 4
2026-03-24Hawley Brian WilliamofficerWithheld for tax1,06121,796Form 4
2025-10-15Harris AngeleeofficerWithheld for tax53723,704Form 4
2025-07-21Kim Kevin SungdirectorWithheld for tax11,005981,501Form 4
2025-07-21Koh PeterofficerWithheld for tax1,382136,068Form 4
2025-07-21Stenger ThomasofficerWithheld for tax1,35327,891Form 4
2025-07-21Balicka JuliannaofficerWithheld for tax1,10540,825Form 4
2025-07-21Harris AngeleeofficerWithheld for tax75227,741Form 4
2025-05-22Zuehls Dale S.directorAward / grant9,10760,343Form 4
2025-05-22Koh StevendirectorAward / grant8,21486,508Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.