HOFT · TickerCove

HOFTHooker Furnishings CorporationConsumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliancesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.05 · now $13.05 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HOFT has typically landed between $10.60 and $16.00 — a range of −18.8% to +22.6% from the issuance price $13.05.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.05) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$13.05 · 49% of range

$8.4 low$17.83 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.3%

typical move · IQR 16.7%

−18.8%worst (p90)+22.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where HOFT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.05 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $13.05 (+0.0%)
typical $12.88 (-1.3%)
middle 50% $11.8–$13.97
90% range $10.6–$16

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−50.1%	−50.1%	+0.5%
2008-09-30	−49.4%	−50.4%	+0.0%
2008-09-29	−48.0%	−49.6%	+1.4%
3 best
2009-03-06	+67.3%	+0.0%	+72.4%
2009-03-11	+64.5%	+0.0%	+64.5%
2009-03-09	+61.7%	+0.0%	+69.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+0.4%

n=20

Feb

65%

+1.7%

n=20

Mar

50%

+0.0%

n=20

Apr

45%

+1.0%

n=20

May

40%

−0.5%

n=20

Jun

35%

+0.1%

n=20

Jul

55%

+0.6%

n=20

Aug

40%

−2.9%

n=20

Sep

65%

+3.8%

n=20

Oct

50%

−2.8%

n=20

Nov

80%

+2.9%

n=20

Dec

70%

+8.0%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-09-16	Armstrong Cecil Earl III	officer	Purchase	500 @ $9.80	$5K	+7.9% of holding	−12.5%	+15.8%	6,867	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $9.89	$10K	+4.8% of holding	−12.3%	+25.5%	21,795	Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-16	Garafalo Paulette	director	Sale	2,489 @ $17.10	$43K	−10.7% of holding	−21.5%	−38.4%	20,783	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

66 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-01	Tilley Adam G	officer	Award / grant	4,454	4,454	Form 4
2026-07-01	Vest Richard L II	officer	Award / grant	4,454	4,454	Form 4
2026-06-12	Garafalo Paulette	director	Award / grant	5,863	33,010	Form 4
2026-06-12	Henson Christopher L	director	Award / grant	5,863	24,162	Form 4
2026-06-12	Jackson Tonya Harris	director	Award / grant	5,863	37,456	Form 4
2026-06-12	Taaffe Ellen	director	Award / grant	5,863	36,060	Form 4
2026-06-12	Huckfeldt Paul A	director	Award / grant	5,863	46,473	Form 4
2026-06-12	Duey Maria C	director	Award / grant	5,863	28,523	Form 4
2026-04-13	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Award / grant	35,656	35,656	Form 4
2026-04-13	Armstrong Cecil Earl III	officer	Award / grant	10,149	10,149	Form 4
2026-04-10	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Withheld for tax	4,150	42,684	Form 4
2026-04-10	Armstrong Cecil Earl III	officer	Withheld for tax	622	8,783	Form 4
2026-04-10	Huckfeldt Paul A	director	Withheld for tax	521	40,610	Form 4
2026-04-10	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Option exercise	10,892	0	Form 4
2026-04-10	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Option exercise	10,892	46,834	Form 4
2026-04-10	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Option exercise	10,892	46,834	Form 4
2026-04-09	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Withheld for tax	3,075	35,942	Form 4
2026-04-09	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Option exercise	8,069	8,070	Form 4
2026-04-09	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Option exercise	8,069	39,017	Form 4
2026-04-09	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Option exercise	8,069	39,017	Form 4
2026-02-20	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Withheld for tax	4,308	30,948	Form 4
2026-02-20	Armstrong Cecil Earl III	officer	Withheld for tax	1,293	9,405	Form 4
2026-02-20	Armstrong Cecil Earl III	officer	Option exercise	3,831	7,663	Form 4
2026-02-20	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Option exercise	13,461	26,922	Form 4
2026-02-20	Armstrong Cecil Earl III	officer	Option exercise	3,831	10,698	Form 4
2026-02-20	Armstrong Cecil Earl III	officer	Option exercise	3,831	10,698	Form 4
2026-02-20	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Option exercise	13,461	35,256	Form 4
2026-02-20	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Option exercise	13,461	35,256	Form 4
2025-06-06	BEELER W CHRISTOPHER JR	director	Award / grant	6,364	63,227	Form 4
2025-06-06	Taaffe Ellen	director	Award / grant	6,364	30,197	Form 4
2025-06-06	Henson Christopher L	director	Award / grant	6,364	18,299	Form 4
2025-06-06	Huckfeldt Paul A	director	Award / grant	6,364	41,131	Form 4
2025-06-06	Jackson Tonya Harris	director	Award / grant	6,364	31,593	Form 4
2025-06-06	Duey Maria C	director	Award / grant	6,364	22,660	Form 4
2025-06-06	Garafalo Paulette	director	Award / grant	6,364	27,147	Form 4
2025-04-11	Hoff Jeremy R	director	Withheld for tax	3,363	20,795	Form 4
2025-04-11	Huckfeldt Paul A	director	Withheld for tax	824	34,767	Form 4
2025-04-11	Smith Anne J	officer	Withheld for tax	738	18,293	Form 4
2025-04-11	Armstrong Cecil Earl III	officer	Withheld for tax	582	6,367	Form 4
2025-04-11	Smith Anne J	officer	Option exercise	2,169	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i