Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.70 · now $30.70 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HIW has typically landed between $26.65 and $34.95 — a range of −13.2% to +13.8% from the issuance price $30.70.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.70) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where HIW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30.7 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $30.7 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $30.71 (+0.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $28.86–$32.56
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $26.65–$34.95
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-26 | −50.5% | −50.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −46.0% | −46.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −45.5% | −45.6% | +0.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-11-20 | +63.4% | +0.0% | +71.9% |
| 2008-12-01 | +53.6% | +0.0% | +53.6% |
| 2009-07-09 | +52.3% | −0.1% | +52.3% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Hartzell David John | director | Sale | 4,300 @ $32.10 | $138K | −13.5% of holding | −7.1% | −30.1% | 27,489 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
32 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Miller Jeffrey Douglas | officer | Gift | 1,000 | 197,670 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Evans Carlos E | director | Award / grant | 3,566 | 72,899 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Gadis David L | director | Award / grant | 3,566 | 17,273 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Anderson Charles Albert | director | Award / grant | 3,566 | 29,021 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | LLOYD ANNE H | director | Award / grant | 3,566 | 23,348 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Hartzell David John | director | Award / grant | 3,566 | 31,055 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Todd Candice W | director | Award / grant | 3,566 | 10,412 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Leary Brian M | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,815 | 179,688 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Maiorana Brendan C | officer | Award / grant | 43,944 | 169,950 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Maiorana Brendan C | officer | Award / grant | 23,025 | 192,975 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Maiorana Brendan C | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,919 | 184,056 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Miller Jeffrey Douglas | officer | Award / grant | 30,280 | 205,259 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Miller Jeffrey Douglas | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,589 | 198,670 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Klinck Theodore J | director | Award / grant | 137,024 | 678,286 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Klinck Theodore J | director | Award / grant | 55,413 | 733,699 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Klinck Theodore J | director | Withheld for tax | 34,389 | 699,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Leary Brian M | officer | Award / grant | 43,400 | 188,503 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Gadis David L | director | Award / grant | 3,060 | 13,707 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Evans Carlos E | director | Award / grant | 3,060 | 69,333 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | LLOYD ANNE H | director | Award / grant | 3,060 | 19,782 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Todd Candice W | director | Award / grant | 3,060 | 6,846 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Anderson Charles Albert | director | Award / grant | 3,060 | 25,455 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Hartzell David John | director | Award / grant | 3,060 | 31,789 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Leary Brian M | officer | Award / grant | 30,512 | 153,025 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Leary Brian M | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,922 | 145,103 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Klinck Theodore J | director | Award / grant | 93,648 | 552,940 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Klinck Theodore J | director | Withheld for tax | 30,597 | 522,343 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Miller Jeffrey Douglas | officer | Award / grant | 22,408 | 179,646 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Miller Jeffrey Douglas | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,921 | 174,725 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Maiorana Brendan C | officer | Award / grant | 30,888 | 133,281 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Maiorana Brendan C | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,275 | 126,006 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-28 | Miller Jeffrey Douglas | officer | Gift | 1,000 | 157,238 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.