HHHHoward Hughes Holdings Inc.Real Estate · Real Estate - Developmentas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $62.09 · now $62.09 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HHH has typically landed between $53.66 and $70.18 — a range of −13.6% to +13.0% from the issuance price $62.09.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,967 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-11-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($62.09) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where HHH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $62.09 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$53.66worst · -13.6%$70.18best · +13.0%
  • now $62.09 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $62.17 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $58.58–$65.76
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $53.66–$70.18
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,967 windows spanning 2010-11-05 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−70.9%−70.9%+0.0%
2020-02-20−68.8%−68.8%+0.0%
2020-02-24−65.1%−70.3%+0.0%
3 best
2010-11-12+47.7%+0.0%+47.7%
2010-11-11+45.6%−1.0%+45.6%
2019-06-26+43.0%+0.0%+43.0%

3,967 overlapping windows · 2010-11-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
+0.4%
n=16
Feb
63%
+2.9%
n=16
Mar
63%
+0.7%
n=16
Apr
44%
−0.0%
n=16
May
50%
−0.8%
n=16
Jun
56%
+1.3%
n=16
Jul
56%
+0.6%
n=16
Aug
38%
−0.7%
n=16
Sep
38%
−2.5%
n=16
Oct
40%
+0.3%
n=15
Nov
53%
+4.5%
n=15
Dec
56%
+3.3%
n=16

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$90$612026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $908K — Tighe Mary Ann2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $96K — Carman James2026-03-25: 1 insider sale, $104K — Davis Andrew D.2026-03-13: 1 insider purchase, $81K — Valane Joseph2025-12-23: 1 insider purchase, $390K — SELLERS R SCOT2025-11-26: 1 insider sale, $533K — Tighe Mary Ann2025-09-26: 1 insider sale, $88K — Williams Anthony2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $88K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $533K2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $390K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $81K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $104K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $96K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Tighe Mary Ann — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Carman James — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Davis Andrew D. — Sale on 2026-03-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Valane Joseph — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradedirector SELLERS R SCOT — Purchase on 2025-12-23, filed 6 days after the tradedirector Tighe Mary Ann — Sale on 2025-11-26, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Williams Anthony — Sale on 2025-09-26, filed 11 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11Tighe Mary AnndirectorSale13,495 @ $67.25$908K−100.0% of holding−6.4%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-15Carman JamesofficerSale1,500 @ $64.20$96K−6.4% of holding+5.0%not yet — horizon still open22,096Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-25Davis Andrew D.officerSale1,636 @ $63.87$104K−4.9% of holding−8.4%not yet — horizon still open31,530Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-13Valane JosephofficerPurchase1,260 @ $64.45$81K+4.5% of holding−3.4%−20.1%29,209Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-23SELLERS R SCOTdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $77.94$390K+8.0% of holding+3.1%−13.9%67,517Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-11-26Tighe Mary AnndirectorSale6,000 @ $88.83$533K−30.8% of holding−13.1%−42.1%13,495Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-09-26Williams AnthonydirectorSale1,100 @ $79.58$88K−12.0% of holding−1.6%−18.6%8,102Form 4 · filed 11 days after the trade
2025-05-19Bustamante Jose MiguelofficerPurchase700 @ $70.00$49K+10.7% of holding−1.2%+6.3%7,270Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

117 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-15GRANDISSON MARCdirectorAward / grant68,65371,943Form 4
2026-06-19PANUCCIO SUSANdirectorAward / grant3,2905,754Form 4
2026-06-19Eun DaviddirectorAward / grant3,2909,720Form 4
2026-06-19GRANDISSON MARCdirectorAward / grant3,2903,290Form 4
2026-06-19Lachman Thomas CecildirectorAward / grant3,2905,754Form 4
2026-06-19Williams AnthonydirectorAward / grant2,16910,271Form 4
2026-06-19Wautier Jean-Baptiste Robert BernarddirectorAward / grant2,1694,263Form 4
2026-06-19Tighe Mary AnndirectorAward / grant3,29037,371Form 4
2026-06-19SELLERS R SCOTdirectorAward / grant4,03871,555Form 4
2026-06-04Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P.directorAward / grant140,000140,000Form 4
2026-04-21Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P.directorOther acquisition341,03318,511,031Form 4
2026-04-21Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P.directorOther acquisition341,033341,033Form 4
2026-04-01Valane JosephofficerWithheld for tax68628,523Form 4
2026-02-05O'Reilly David R.directorWithheld for tax3,848208,081Form 4
2026-02-05Olea Carlos A.officerWithheld for tax1,15466,842Form 4
2026-02-05Valane JosephofficerWithheld for tax48327,949Form 4
2026-02-05Johnstone DouglasofficerWithheld for tax42026,839Form 4
2026-02-05Davis Andrew D.officerWithheld for tax39633,166Form 4
2026-02-05Smith KristiofficerWithheld for tax38426,375Form 4
2026-02-05Freericks Charles James Jr.officerWithheld for tax37712,455Form 4
2026-02-05Bustamante Jose MiguelofficerWithheld for tax32113,195Form 4
2026-02-05Carman JamesofficerWithheld for tax28523,596Form 4
2026-02-05Verbinskaya ElenaofficerWithheld for tax1569,855Form 4
2026-02-03O'Reilly David R.directorWithheld for tax11,573144,471Form 4
2026-02-03Olea Carlos A.officerWithheld for tax3,86947,759Form 4
2026-02-03Johnstone DouglasofficerWithheld for tax1,61319,451Form 4
2026-02-03Davis Andrew D.officerWithheld for tax1,58721,070Form 4
2026-02-03Carman JamesofficerWithheld for tax1,22017,947Form 4
2026-02-03Freericks Charles James Jr.officerAward / grant3,1239,709Form 4
2026-02-03Verbinskaya ElenaofficerAward / grant1,8278,184Form 4
2026-02-03Verbinskaya ElenaofficerAward / grant1,82710,011Form 4
2026-02-03Smith KristiofficerAward / grant3,12323,636Form 4
2026-02-03Smith KristiofficerAward / grant3,12326,759Form 4
2026-02-03Davis Andrew D.officerAward / grant3,01122,657Form 4
2026-02-03Davis Andrew D.officerAward / grant2,49823,568Form 4
2026-02-03Davis Andrew D.officerAward / grant9,99433,562Form 4
2026-02-03O'Reilly David R.directorAward / grant16,942156,044Form 4
2026-02-03O'Reilly David R.directorAward / grant13,492157,963Form 4
2026-02-03O'Reilly David R.directorAward / grant53,966211,929Form 4
2026-02-03Olea Carlos A.officerAward / grant7,15351,628Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.