Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.63 · now $1.63 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HFFG has typically landed between $1.26 and $2.05 — a range of −22.9% to +25.9% from the issuance price $1.63.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,247 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-09-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.63) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where HFFG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.63 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.63 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.58 (-2.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.41–$1.76
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.26–$2.05
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-03-09 | −70.8% | −70.8% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-06 | −68.5% | −68.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-05 | −67.6% | −67.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-02-28 | +156.5% | −11.0% | +156.5% |
| 2025-03-04 | +143.2% | −8.1% | +164.9% |
| 2025-03-03 | +143.2% | −8.1% | +164.9% |
2,247 overlapping windows · 2017-09-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Lam Dennis | director | Purchase | 100 @ $1.76 | $176 | +0.4% of holding | +5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,484 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-18 | Lin Xi | officer | Purchase | 8,367 @ $1.80 | $15K | +2.0% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 424,171 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-18 | Lam Dennis | director | Purchase | 8,000 @ $1.80 | $14K | +55.6% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,384 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Chang Christine | officer | Purchase | 4,000 @ $1.74 | $7K | +1.7% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 237,995 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-18 | McGarry Paul E | officer | Purchase | 2,500 @ $1.76 | $4K | +34.7% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,700 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-14 | Lam Dennis | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $2.25 | $2K | +100.0% of holding | +13.3% | −20.5% | 2,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Taylor Jeffery L | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $2.25 | $23K | ownership Δ n/a | +15.2% | −20.4% | 10,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Chang Christine | officer | Purchase | 2,000 @ $2.28 | $5K | +0.9% of holding | +15.2% | −20.4% | 233,995 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Lam Dennis | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $2.25 | $2K | ownership Δ n/a | +15.2% | −20.4% | 1,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Lin Xi | officer | Purchase | 3,795 @ $2.23 | $8K | +0.9% of holding | +12.0% | −21.0% | 415,804 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Lin Xi | officer | Purchase | 699 @ $2.28 | $2K | +0.2% of holding | +12.0% | −21.0% | 412,009 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Lin Xi | officer | Purchase | 3,080 @ $3.25 | $10K | +0.8% of holding | −2.6% | −61.4% | 411,310 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Chang Christine | officer | Purchase | 1,390 @ $3.19 | $4K | +0.6% of holding | −2.6% | −61.4% | 231,995 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | Lin Xi | officer | Purchase | 2,631 @ $3.81 | $10K | +0.6% of holding | −12.0% | −56.9% | 408,230 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-19 | Yao Cindy | officer | Purchase | 2,000 @ $2.81 | $6K | ownership Δ n/a | +40.7% | −0.4% | 2,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Lin Xi | officer | Purchase | 7,500 @ $2.67 | $20K | +2.8% of holding | +48.7% | −1.0% | 274,057 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Chang Christine | officer | Purchase | 7,961 @ $2.49 | $20K | +4.8% of holding | +68.4% | +18.2% | 174,052 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Lin Xi | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $2.47 | $12K | +1.9% of holding | +68.4% | +18.2% | 266,557 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
39 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Lam Dennis | director | Award / grant | 21,390 | 43,874 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Diaz Richard | director | Award / grant | 21,390 | 33,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Diaz Richard | director | Award / grant | 21,390 | 33,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Lam Dennis | director | Award / grant | 21,390 | 43,874 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Taylor Jeffery L | director | Award / grant | 21,390 | 43,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Taylor Jeffery L | director | Award / grant | 21,390 | 43,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Brown Taylor S. | director | Award / grant | 21,164 | 21,164 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Brown Taylor S. | director | Award / grant | 21,164 | 21,164 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lin Xi | officer | Award / grant | 270,433 | 682,242 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | McGarry Paul E | officer | Award / grant | 54,087 | 61,287 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Chang Christine | officer | Award / grant | 81,130 | 118,630 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lin Xi | officer | Award / grant | 270,433 | 713,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Chang Christine | officer | Award / grant | 81,130 | 331,966 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | McGarry Paul E | officer | Award / grant | 54,087 | 63,787 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Chang Christine | officer | Award / grant | 81,130 | 331,966 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lin Xi | officer | Award / grant | 270,433 | 713,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | McGarry Paul E | officer | Award / grant | 54,087 | 63,787 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Lin Xi | officer | Award / grant | 19,262 | 443,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Chang Christine | officer | Award / grant | 12,841 | 250,836 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Taylor Jeffery L | director | Award / grant | 12,384 | 22,384 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Diaz Richard | director | Award / grant | 12,384 | 12,384 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Taylor Jeffery L | director | Award / grant | 12,384 | 22,384 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Ross Maria | director | Award / grant | 12,384 | 22,093 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Lam Dennis | director | Award / grant | 12,384 | 14,384 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Diaz Richard | director | Award / grant | 12,384 | 12,384 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Lam Dennis | director | Award / grant | 12,384 | 14,384 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Ross Maria | director | Award / grant | 12,384 | 22,093 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-01 | Lin Xi | officer | Award / grant | 101,250 | 405,599 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-01 | Chang Christine | officer | Award / grant | 37,500 | 230,605 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-01 | Yao Cindy | officer | Award / grant | 37,500 | 86,029 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-01 | Yao Cindy | officer | Award / grant | 37,500 | 37,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-01 | Chang Christine | officer | Award / grant | 37,500 | 37,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-01 | Lin Xi | officer | Award / grant | 101,250 | 101,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-15 | Yao Cindy | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,288 | 48,529 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-15 | Lin Xi | officer | Award / grant | 30,292 | 304,349 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-15 | Chang Christine | officer | Award / grant | 19,053 | 193,105 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-03 | Lin Xi | officer | Award / grant | 310,559 | 310,559 | Form 4 |
| 2023-12-01 | Ni Zhou Min | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 1,997,423 | 3,555,673 | Form 4 |
| 2023-12-01 | Ni Zhou Min | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 1,997,423 | 3,555,673 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.