HCATHealth Catalyst, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Healthcare Information Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.73 · now $1.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HCAT has typically landed between $1.22 and $2.18 — a range of −29.3% to +25.9% from the issuance price $1.73.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,775 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-07-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where HCAT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.22worst · -29.3%$2.18best · +25.9%
  • now $1.73 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.63 (-5.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.43–$1.82
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.22–$2.18
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,775 windows spanning 2019-07-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-04-11−48.1%−48.1%+0.0%
2022-04-07−47.6%−47.6%+0.0%
2026-03-11−46.4%−46.4%+0.0%
3 best
2026-06-03+72.2%+0.0%+72.2%
2022-11-08+69.1%+0.0%+69.1%
2026-05-14+57.3%+0.0%+65.8%

1,775 overlapping windows · 2019-07-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
43%
−1.5%
n=7
Feb
14%
−10.7%
n=7
Mar
0%
−10.2%
n=7
Apr
43%
−4.9%
n=7
May
43%
−2.1%
n=7
Jun
57%
+8.7%
n=7
Jul
86%
+9.9%
n=7
Aug
0%
−12.8%
n=8
Sep
38%
−5.2%
n=8
Oct
43%
−3.6%
n=7
Nov
57%
+4.3%
n=7
Dec
43%
−1.3%
n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$4$12026-09-14: 1 insider purchase, $105K — Kohl Simeon2025-12-05: 1 insider sale, $72K — Landry Benjamin2025-12-04: 1 insider sale, $128K — Larson-Green Julie2025-09-05: 1 insider sale, $21K — Landry Benjamin2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $21K2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $201K2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $105K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Kohl Simeon — Purchase on 2026-09-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Landry Benjamin — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Larson-Green Julie — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Landry Benjamin — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Kohl SimeondirectorPurchase59,000 @ $1.79$105K+2.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,856,385Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-05Landry BenjaminofficerSale27,425 @ $2.64$72K−21.5% of holding−4.7%−42.3%100,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-04Larson-Green JuliedirectorSale47,997 @ $2.67$128K−39.5% of holding−12.9%−43.6%73,573Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-09-05Landry BenjaminofficerSale6,175 @ $3.35$21K−4.2% of holding−16.5%−48.9%141,812Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-05Landry BenjaminofficerSale6,057 @ $3.94$24K−3.9% of holding+0.3%−46.0%151,125Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-05LeSueur DanielofficerSale5,209 @ $4.10$21K−2.5% of holding−8.7%−44.8%205,832Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-03LeSueur DanielofficerSale5,209 @ $4.15$22K−2.4% of holding−6.7%−53.9%211,041Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-06Landry BenjaminofficerSale13,827 @ $4.55$63K−7.9% of holding+2.0%−37.4%160,437Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-05LeSueur DanielofficerSale16,902 @ $4.52$76K−7.2% of holding−1.3%−39.5%216,250Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-02-18Llewelyn LindaofficerSale6,441 @ $5.43$35K−7.0% of holding−9.2%−49.7%85,819Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-05LeSueur DanielofficerSale5,209 @ $5.76$30K−5.7% of holding−22.5%−42.6%86,044Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-15Llewelyn LindaofficerSale6,442 @ $5.80$37K−6.5% of holding−8.8%−43.1%92,260Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-06LeSueur DanielofficerSale5,209 @ $7.51$39K−5.4% of holding−27.7%−51.8%91,253Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-06Landry BenjaminofficerSale2,500 @ $7.52$19K−3.3% of holding−27.7%−51.8%72,250Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-23Gallagher DuncandirectorSale4,500 @ $6.98$31K−5.7% of holding−18.9%−49.1%74,438Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-16Llewelyn LindaofficerSale6,442 @ $7.88$51K−6.1% of holding−28.9%−53.0%98,702Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-06Alger JasonofficerSale19,599 @ $8.32$163K−18.4% of holding−9.2%−52.1%86,712Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-06Landry BenjaminofficerSale19,268 @ $8.32$160K−21.1% of holding−9.2%−52.1%72,250Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-04LeSueur DanielofficerSale22,773 @ $7.70$175K−19.1% of holding−5.0%−46.9%96,462Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

89 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Kohl SimeondirectorAward / grant2,747,3852,797,385Form 4
2026-09-10Albert BenjamindirectorWithheld for tax35,2441,388,406Form 4
2026-09-01Alger JasonofficerWithheld for tax17,973704,867Form 4
2026-09-01Landry BenjaminofficerWithheld for tax13,167351,372Form 4
2026-09-01Albert BenjamindirectorWithheld for tax3211,423,650Form 4
2026-09-01Larson-Green JuliedirectorAward / grant9,766185,101Form 4
2026-07-16Larson-Green JuliedirectorAward / grant80,691175,335Form 4
2026-07-16Nelson Steven HdirectorAward / grant80,691235,499Form 4
2026-07-16Spencer JustindirectorAward / grant80,691149,263Form 4
2026-07-16Hoggard Green JilldirectorAward / grant80,691144,628Form 4
2026-06-10Albert BenjamindirectorWithheld for tax34,4851,423,971Form 4
2026-06-01Alger JasonofficerWithheld for tax18,804722,840Form 4
2026-06-01Landry BenjaminofficerWithheld for tax13,779364,539Form 4
2026-06-01Llewelyn LindaofficerWithheld for tax8,519321,132Form 4
2026-06-01Albert BenjamindirectorWithheld for tax3361,458,456Form 4
2026-06-01Larson-Green JuliedirectorAward / grant12,71094,644Form 4
2026-05-01Albert BenjamindirectorWithheld for tax3101,458,792Form 4
2026-05-01Nelson Steven HdirectorAward / grant154,808154,808Form 4
2026-04-29Albert BenjamindirectorAward / grant1,1241,459,102Form 4
2026-03-10Albert BenjamindirectorWithheld for tax70,4551,457,978Form 4
2026-03-02Alger JasonofficerWithheld for tax26,970741,644Form 4
2026-03-02Landry BenjaminofficerWithheld for tax20,838378,318Form 4
2026-03-02Llewelyn LindaofficerWithheld for tax13,836329,651Form 4
2026-03-02Albert BenjamindirectorWithheld for tax4,9661,528,433Form 4
2026-03-01Larson-Green JuliedirectorAward / grant8,36181,934Form 4
2026-02-26Albert BenjamindirectorWithheld for tax13,3041,533,399Form 4
2026-02-26Alger JasonofficerWithheld for tax7,522768,614Form 4
2026-02-26Landry BenjaminofficerWithheld for tax6,317399,156Form 4
2026-02-26Llewelyn LindaofficerWithheld for tax4,471343,487Form 4
2026-02-25Albert BenjamindirectorAward / grant930,0001,507,870Form 4
2026-02-25Landry BenjaminofficerAward / grant289,000389,000Form 4
2026-02-25Landry BenjaminofficerAward / grant16,473405,473Form 4
2026-02-25Llewelyn LindaofficerAward / grant191,500334,763Form 4
2026-02-25Llewelyn LindaofficerAward / grant13,195347,958Form 4
2026-02-25Albert BenjamindirectorAward / grant38,8331,546,703Form 4
2026-02-25Alger JasonofficerAward / grant507,500753,914Form 4
2026-02-25Alger JasonofficerAward / grant22,222776,136Form 4
2026-02-17Gallagher DuncandirectorAward / grant7,562132,023Form 4
2025-12-01Burton Daniel D.directorWithheld for tax55,7151,393,099Form 4
2025-12-01Alger JasonofficerWithheld for tax20,619246,414Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.