HBBHamilton Beach Brands Holding CompanyConsumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliancesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.73 · now $30.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HBB has typically landed between $24.96 and $38.50 — a range of −18.8% to +25.3% from the issuance price $30.73.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,234 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where HBB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$24.96worst · -18.8%$38.5best · +25.3%
  • now $30.73 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.04 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $28.3–$33.77
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $24.96–$38.5
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,234 windows spanning 2017-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−52.8%−52.8%+0.0%
2020-02-20−48.1%−48.1%+0.0%
2020-02-24−47.9%−52.0%+0.0%
3 best
2020-07-15+89.4%−1.8%+91.1%
2020-07-13+88.5%−0.1%+95.1%
2020-07-10+88.3%−3.6%+88.3%

2,234 overlapping windows · 2017-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
78%
+3.1%
n=9
Feb
33%
−2.9%
n=9
Mar
44%
−4.9%
n=9
Apr
56%
+1.0%
n=9
May
33%
+1.9%
n=9
Jun
67%
+5.7%
n=9
Jul
33%
−1.9%
n=9
Aug
56%
+13.3%
n=9
Sep
33%
−0.9%
n=9
Oct
56%
+4.0%
n=9
Nov
56%
−0.6%
n=9
Dec
33%
−3.2%
n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$34$132026-08-27: 1 insider sale, $98K — Cunningham Sarah M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $98K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Cunningham Sarah M — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-27Cunningham Sarah MofficerSale3,000 @ $32.50$98K−7.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open39,430Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

299 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01BELGYA MARK RdirectorAward / grant1,43155,567Form 4
2026-07-01RANKIN CORBINotherAward / grant1,431191,719Form 4
2026-07-01WILLIAMS DAVID BdirectorAward / grant1,431207,196Form 4
2026-07-01BUTLER JOHN C JRdirectorAward / grant1,431185,068Form 4
2026-07-01Mehta Bela SdirectorAward / grant1,43110,361Form 4
2026-07-01RANKIN THOMAS TdirectorAward / grant1,431191,719Form 4
2026-07-01Miller Michael SidneydirectorAward / grant1,43157,641Form 4
2026-07-01Furlow Paul DwinelledirectorAward / grant1,43173,769Form 4
2026-07-01RATNER JAMES AdirectorAward / grant1,43172,396Form 4
2026-07-01LABARRE DENNIS WdirectorAward / grant1,43173,236Form 4
2026-07-01RANKIN ALFRED M ET ALdirectorAward / grant1,867370,346Form 4
2026-07-01BUTLER JOHN C JRdirectorAward / grant1,431185,068Form 4
2026-07-01RANKIN VICTOIRE GotherAward / grant1,867370,346Form 4
2026-07-01RATNER JAMES AdirectorAward / grant1,43172,396Form 4
2026-07-01WILLIAMS DAVID BdirectorAward / grant1,431207,196Form 4
2026-07-01BELGYA MARK RdirectorAward / grant1,43155,567Form 4
2026-07-01RANKIN VICTOIRE GotherAward / grant1,867370,346Form 4
2026-07-01LABARRE DENNIS WdirectorAward / grant1,43173,236Form 4
2026-07-01Furlow Paul DwinelledirectorAward / grant1,43173,769Form 4
2026-07-01Lane April L.directorAward / grant1,43110,361Form 4
2026-07-01RANKIN THOMAS TdirectorAward / grant1,431191,719Form 4
2026-07-01RANKIN ALFRED M ET ALdirectorAward / grant1,867370,346Form 4
2026-07-01BUTLER HELEN RANKINotherAward / grant1,431185,068Form 4
2026-07-01Mehta Bela SdirectorAward / grant1,43110,361Form 4
2026-07-01Miller Michael SidneydirectorAward / grant1,43157,641Form 4
2026-07-01Lane April L.directorAward / grant1,43110,361Form 4
2026-07-01RANKIN CORBINotherAward / grant1,431191,719Form 4
2026-07-01WILLIAMS CLARA RdirectorAward / grant1,431207,196Form 4
2026-07-01BUTLER HELEN RANKINotherAward / grant1,431185,068Form 4
2026-07-01WILLIAMS CLARA RdirectorAward / grant1,431207,196Form 4
2026-05-29Kuipers Matilda AlanotherGift1,3906,947Form 4
2026-05-29RANKIN CLAIBORNE R JRotherGift1,17128,542Form 4
2026-05-29RANKIN CLAIBORNE R JRotherGift2,51529,713Form 4
2026-05-29RANKIN ALISON AotherGift2,780378,212Form 4
2026-05-292013 Trust fbo Evelyn R. KuipersotherGift1,3916,789Form 4
2026-05-29RANKIN ALISON AotherGift1,39050,014Form 4
2026-05-29Kuipers Jacob AotherGift2,51538,622Form 4
2026-05-29Griffin Bedwell Butler 2002 Trust DTD 11/5/2002otherGift5,11133,216Form 4
2026-05-29David BH Williams, Trustee UAD The Margo Janison Victoire Williams 2004 TrustotherGift5,11236,752Form 4
2026-05-29David BH Williams, Trustee UAD The Helen Charles Williams 2004 TrustotherGift5,11239,502Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.