HALHalliburton CompanyEnergy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $34.51 · now $34.51 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, HAL has typically landed between $29.12 and $40.55 — a range of −15.6% to +17.5% from the issuance price $34.51.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($34.51) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where HAL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $34.51 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$29.12worst · -15.6%$40.55best · +17.5%
  • now $34.51 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $34.78 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $32.24–$37.32
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $29.12–$40.55
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−78.7%−78.7%+2.0%
2020-02-19−78.2%−79.1%+0.0%
2020-02-20−76.8%−78.8%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-30+72.9%+0.0%+72.9%
2020-03-18+64.5%+0.0%+89.9%
2020-05-07+64.4%−4.7%+64.4%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$27.9B
market cap
$1.91
EPS (TTM)
17.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-20
next earnings
Revenue$22.2B
'20'25
Net income$1.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.7B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr5.8%
'20'25
ROE · by yr12.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.78
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 22 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $34.51$31.83$70.67
  • DCF (intrinsic)$67.99
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 20.3× · n=22$38.74
  • Analyst target · range $37.00–$53.00$42.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$34.51

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+4.7%
n=18
Feb
58%
+1.6%
n=19
Mar
47%
−2.2%
n=19
Apr
68%
+6.3%
n=19
May
37%
−1.7%
n=19
Jun
47%
−0.4%
n=19
Jul
53%
+2.6%
n=19
Aug
32%
−2.0%
n=19
Sep
58%
−2.3%
n=19
Oct
56%
+2.0%
n=18
Nov
50%
+2.1%
n=18
Dec
61%
+1.6%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$43$212026-08-31: 1 insider sale, $929K — Carre Eric2026-08-19: 1 insider sale, $1.8M — Slocum Jeffrey Shannon2026-08-18: 2 insider sales, $4.9M — Miller Jeffrey Allen, Slocum Jeffrey Shannon2026-06-18: 1 insider sale, $889K — Carre Eric2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $8.2M — Beckwith Van H.2026-05-05: 2 insider sales, $852K — Maxwell Michael Casey …2026-04-30: 3 insider sales, $619K — McKeon Timothy, Young Tobi M. …2026-03-27: 1 insider sale, $6.3M — Miller Jeffrey Allen2026-03-16: 2 insider sales, $847K — Beckwith Van H., Slocum Jeffrey Shannon2026-03-06: 1 insider sale, $132K — McKeon Timothy2026-01-26: 1 insider sale, $89K — Banks Margaret Katherine2026-01-23: 2 insider sales, $7.9M — Miller Jeffrey Allen, Beckwith Van H.2026-01-09: 2 insider sales, $1.3M — Slocum Jeffrey Shannon, Beckwith Van H.2026-01-05: 1 insider sale, $3.2M — Pope Lawrence J2025-12-05: 1 insider sale, $247K — Beckwith Van H.2025-11-12: 1 insider sale, $4.4M — Richard Mark2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $4.4M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $247K2026-01: 6 open-market sales, $12.5M2026-03: 4 open-market sales, $7.3M2026-04: 3 open-market sales, $619K2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $9.0M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $889K2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $7.7M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Carre Eric — Sale on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Slocum Jeffrey Shannon — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Miller Jeffrey Allen — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Slocum Jeffrey Shannon — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Carre Eric — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Beckwith Van H. — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Maxwell Michael Casey — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Maxwell Michael Casey — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer McKeon Timothy — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Young Tobi M. — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Young Tobi M. — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Miller Jeffrey Allen — Sale on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Beckwith Van H. — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Slocum Jeffrey Shannon — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer McKeon Timothy — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Banks Margaret Katherine — Sale on 2026-01-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Miller Jeffrey Allen — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Beckwith Van H. — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Slocum Jeffrey Shannon — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Beckwith Van H. — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Pope Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Beckwith Van H. — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Richard Mark — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Carre EricofficerSale24,777 @ $37.50$929K−16.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open124,105Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19Slocum Jeffrey ShannondirectorSale52,572 @ $35.09$1.8M−30.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open118,730Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-18Miller Jeffrey AllendirectorSale124,483 @ $35.00$4.4M−12.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open889,389Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-18Slocum Jeffrey ShannondirectorSale16,121 @ $35.08$566K−8.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open171,302Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-18Carre EricofficerSale24,778 @ $35.89$889K−14.3% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open148,520Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15Beckwith Van H.officerSale198,349 @ $41.29$8.2M−57.6% of holding−12.0%not yet — horizon still open146,186Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-05Maxwell Michael CaseyofficerSale13,566 @ $41.84$568K−11.9% of holding−5.4%not yet — horizon still open100,545Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05Maxwell Michael CaseyofficerSale6,782 @ $42.00$285K−6.7% of holding−5.4%not yet — horizon still open93,763Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-30McKeon TimothyofficerSale8,655 @ $42.00$364K−10.6% of holding−12.5%not yet — horizon still open72,976Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-30Young Tobi M.directorSale5,625 @ $41.72$235K−26.3% of holding−12.5%not yet — horizon still open15,750Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-30Young Tobi M.directorSale500 @ $41.73$21K−3.2% of holding−12.5%not yet — horizon still open15,250Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-27Miller Jeffrey AllendirectorSale158,455 @ $40.00$6.3M−13.5% of holding−11.3%not yet — horizon still open1,013,027Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-16Beckwith Van H.officerSale19,618 @ $33.82$663K−5.4% of holding+5.0%−9.0%344,535Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Slocum Jeffrey ShannondirectorSale5,441 @ $33.82$184K−2.8% of holding+5.0%−9.0%187,423Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-06McKeon TimothyofficerSale3,846 @ $34.37$132K−4.5% of holding+15.4%−5.8%81,631Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-26Banks Margaret KatherinedirectorSale2,600 @ $34.17$89K−15.6% of holding+3.2%−15.3%14,043Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-23Miller Jeffrey AllendirectorSale171,200 @ $34.96$6.0M−13.5% of holding+5.7%−12.3%1,101,243Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-23Beckwith Van H.officerSale54,348 @ $34.96$1.9M−13.6% of holding+5.7%−12.3%344,535Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-09Slocum Jeffrey ShannondirectorSale23,895 @ $32.30$772K−11.3% of holding+4.5%+0.7%187,423Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-09Beckwith Van H.officerSale17,798 @ $32.30$575K−4.9% of holding+4.5%+0.7%344,535Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-05Pope Lawrence JofficerSale100,000 @ $32.25$3.2M−19.2% of holding+7.8%+1.6%419,800Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-05Beckwith Van H.officerSale8,854 @ $27.89$247K−2.6% of holding+5.9%+32.4%333,528Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-12Richard MarkofficerSale160,000 @ $27.77$4.4M−26.1% of holding+7.2%+48.0%452,374Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-29Weiss Janet LdirectorPurchase8,550 @ $19.79$169K+83.7% of holding−2.7%+14.7%18,769Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-14Carre EricofficerSale51,179 @ $25.00$1.3M−28.7% of holding−11.3%−29.8%127,101Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-07McKeon TimothyofficerSale10,497 @ $24.60$258K−11.9% of holding−7.9%−24.8%77,784Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-04Banks Margaret KatherinedirectorSale3,900 @ $24.04$94K−27.0% of holding+9.0%−20.8%10,551Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11Carre EricofficerSale141,206 @ $26.13$3.7M−52.6% of holding+1.4%−25.9%127,101Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

175 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30Smith Maurice SdirectorAward / grant1,08014,848Form 4
2026-06-30Smith Maurice SdirectorAward / grant1,08014,848Form 4
2026-03-30Smith Maurice SdirectorAward / grant82813,768Form 4
2026-03-30Smith Maurice SdirectorAward / grant82813,768Form 4
2026-03-05Miller Jeffrey AllendirectorWithheld for tax45,5721,171,482Form 4
2026-03-05Beckwith Van H.officerWithheld for tax12,729364,153Form 4
2026-03-05Carre EricofficerWithheld for tax12,729173,055Form 4
2026-03-05Pope Lawrence JofficerWithheld for tax12,729433,255Form 4
2026-03-05Slocum Jeffrey ShannondirectorWithheld for tax3,404192,864Form 4
2026-03-05Yassine RamiofficerWithheld for tax1,407162,062Form 4
2026-03-05McKeon TimothyofficerWithheld for tax1,23985,477Form 4
2026-03-05Sharp Jill D.officerWithheld for tax1,23952,795Form 4
2026-02-27Miller Jeffrey AllendirectorAward / grant115,8111,217,054Form 4
2026-02-27Carre EricofficerAward / grant32,347185,784Form 4
2026-02-27Pope Lawrence JofficerAward / grant32,347445,984Form 4
2026-02-27Beckwith Van H.officerAward / grant32,347376,882Form 4
2026-02-27Slocum Jeffrey ShannondirectorAward / grant8,845196,268Form 4
2026-02-27Yassine RamiofficerAward / grant5,897163,469Form 4
2026-02-27McKeon TimothyofficerAward / grant5,08586,716Form 4
2026-02-27Sharp Jill D.officerAward / grant5,08554,034Form 4
2026-01-23Miller Jeffrey AllendirectorOption exercise171,2001,272,443Form 4
2026-01-23Beckwith Van H.officerOption exercise54,348398,883Form 4
2026-01-23Miller Jeffrey AllendirectorOption exercise171,2000Form 4
2026-01-23Beckwith Van H.officerOption exercise54,3480Form 4
2026-01-08Miller Jeffrey AllendirectorWithheld for tax29,8471,101,243Form 4
2026-01-08Slocum Jeffrey ShannondirectorWithheld for tax7,912211,318Form 4
2026-01-08Richard MarkofficerWithheld for tax7,469480,692Form 4
2026-01-08Carre EricofficerWithheld for tax6,283153,437Form 4
2026-01-08Beckwith Van H.officerWithheld for tax6,163362,333Form 4
2026-01-08Pope Lawrence JofficerWithheld for tax6,163413,637Form 4
2026-01-08Holzhauser Stephanie SpoelkerofficerWithheld for tax4,33668,974Form 4
2026-01-08Yassine RamiofficerWithheld for tax3,687157,572Form 4
2026-01-08Sharp Jill D.officerWithheld for tax2,78948,949Form 4
2026-01-08McKeon TimothyofficerWithheld for tax1,10581,631Form 4
2026-01-02Miller Jeffrey AllendirectorAward / grant133,4581,131,090Form 4
2026-01-02Slocum Jeffrey ShannondirectorAward / grant56,178219,230Form 4
2026-01-02Richard MarkofficerAward / grant41,156488,161Form 4
2026-01-02Yassine RamiofficerAward / grant41,15667,439Form 4
2026-01-02Carre EricofficerAward / grant37,548159,720Form 4
2026-01-02Pope Lawrence JofficerAward / grant34,968519,800Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-02-132026-01-09$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-01-122025-12-19$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-12-152025-11-12$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-10-102025-09-05$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-09-122025-08-05$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-06-17$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-08-132025-06-24$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-06-222025-05-12$15–50K
Jefferson ShreveHousepurchase2025-06-222025-05-08$15–50K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-06-092025-05-15$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-05-082025-04-07$15–50K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-04-112025-03-13$15–50K
Rob BresnahanHousepurchase2025-03-272025-02-25$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-03-092025-02-24$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.