GWRSGlobal Water Resources, Inc.Utilities · Regulated Wateras of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.71 · now $8.71 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GWRS has typically landed between $7.50 and $9.67 — a range of −13.9% to +11.0% from the issuance price $8.71.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,590 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-04-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GWRS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$7.5worst · -13.9%$9.67best · +11.0%
  • now $8.71 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.68 (-0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.25–$9.12
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $7.5–$9.67
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,590 windows spanning 2016-04-28 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−32.1%−32.7%+0.0%
2020-02-18−31.9%−31.9%+1.3%
2020-02-13−27.8%−28.0%+0.6%
3 best
2020-11-04+36.4%+0.0%+36.4%
2020-11-05+32.6%+0.0%+32.8%
2020-11-06+31.0%+0.0%+31.0%

2,590 overlapping windows · 2016-04-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
−1.9%
n=10
Feb
40%
+1.0%
n=10
Mar
40%
−3.4%
n=10
Apr
50%
−1.6%
n=10
May
73%
+2.7%
n=11
Jun
64%
+2.9%
n=11
Jul
55%
+1.6%
n=11
Aug
64%
+3.1%
n=11
Sep
27%
−2.5%
n=11
Oct
60%
+2.0%
n=10
Nov
70%
+3.6%
n=10
Dec
40%
+1.1%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$11$72026-08-20: 2 insider purchases, $7.0M — Levine Jonathan L, Cohn Andrew M.2026-05-20: 6 insider purchases, $85K — Liebman Michael J, Krygier Christopher D …2026-05-19: 1 insider purchase, $5K — Lenderking John Carroll2026-03-13: 1 insider purchase, $132K — Cohn Andrew M.2025-09-30: 2 insider purchases, $9.1M — Levine Jonathan L, Cohn Andrew M.2025-09: 2 open-market purchases, $9.1M2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $132K2026-05: 7 open-market purchases, $90K2026-08: 2 open-market purchases, $7.0M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Levine Jonathan L — Purchase on 2026-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cohn Andrew M. — Purchase on 2026-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Liebman Michael J — Purchase on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Krygier Christopher D — Purchase on 2026-05-20, filed same dayofficer Liebman Michael J — Purchase on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Liebman Michael J — Purchase on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Krygier Christopher D — Purchase on 2026-05-20, filed same dayofficer Krygier Christopher D — Purchase on 2026-05-20, filed same dayofficer Lenderking John Carroll — Purchase on 2026-05-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cohn Andrew M. — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed same daydirector Levine Jonathan L — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 7 days after the tradedirector Cohn Andrew M. — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 7 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-20Levine Jonathan LdirectorPurchase651,618 @ $8.85$5.8M+5.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open12,777,908Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-20Cohn Andrew M.directorPurchase139,343 @ $8.85$1.2M+5.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,701,350Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-20Liebman Michael JofficerPurchase5,500 @ $6.90$38K+687.5% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open6,300Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Krygier Christopher DofficerPurchase5,066 @ $6.87$35K+93.5% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open10,485Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-20Liebman Michael JofficerPurchase800 @ $6.89$6Kownership Δ n/a−1.3%not yet — horizon still open800Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Liebman Michael JofficerPurchase700 @ $6.86$5K+11.1% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open7,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Krygier Christopher DofficerPurchase294 @ $6.80$2K+5.7% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open5,419Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-20Krygier Christopher DofficerPurchase29 @ $6.79$197+0.6% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open5,125Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-19Lenderking John CarrollofficerPurchase700 @ $6.84$5K+8.1% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open9,356Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-13Cohn Andrew M.directorPurchase18,305 @ $7.20$132K+0.7% of holding−0.2%+4.5%2,560,984Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-30Levine Jonathan LdirectorPurchase728,197 @ $10.30$7.5M+6.4% of holding−6.5%−23.4%12,128,122Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2025-09-30Cohn Andrew M.directorPurchase154,026 @ $10.30$1.6M+6.5% of holding−6.5%−23.4%2,540,908Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

288 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03Upchurch KyleofficerAward / grant1,6662,850Form 4
2026-09-03Upchurch KyleofficerWithheld for tax3712,479Form 4
2026-08-31Fleming Ronnie LdirectorAward / grant7728,063Form 4
2026-08-31Rousseau DaviddirectorAward / grant4412,450Form 4
2026-08-31Liebman Michael JofficerAward / grant4917,957Form 4
2026-08-31Krygier Christopher DofficerAward / grant259,029Form 4
2026-08-31Lenderking John CarrollofficerAward / grant31,093Form 4
2026-08-31Huckelbridge BrettdirectorAward / grant4712,165Form 4
2026-08-31Alexander Richard MdirectorAward / grant542,928Form 4
2026-08-31Cohn Andrew M.directorAward / grant51,745Form 4
2026-08-31Corwin Jonathan C.officerAward / grant2552Form 4
2026-08-19Alexander Richard MdirectorAward / grant1,49151,052Form 4
2026-08-19Steele ChristadirectorAward / grant1,1614,026Form 4
2026-08-19Rousseau DaviddirectorAward / grant1,15810,710Form 4
2026-08-19Huckelbridge BrettdirectorAward / grant1,04911,704Form 4
2026-08-19Levine Jonathan LdirectorAward / grant8005,426Form 4
2026-08-19Cohn Andrew M.directorAward / grant8002,702,150Form 4
2026-08-19Alexander Richard MdirectorWithheld for tax75650,296Form 4
2026-07-31Corwin Jonathan C.officerAward / grant2550Form 4
2026-07-31Fleming Ronnie LdirectorAward / grant9927,986Form 4
2026-07-31Lenderking John CarrollofficerAward / grant41,090Form 4
2026-07-31Huckelbridge BrettdirectorAward / grant6012,118Form 4
2026-07-31Liebman Michael JofficerAward / grant6317,908Form 4
2026-07-31Rousseau DaviddirectorAward / grant5612,406Form 4
2026-07-31Krygier Christopher DofficerAward / grant329,004Form 4
2026-07-31Alexander Richard MdirectorAward / grant692,874Form 4
2026-07-31Cohn Andrew M.directorAward / grant61,740Form 4
2026-06-30Fleming Ronnie LdirectorDisposition4,575108,987Form 4
2026-06-30Liebman Michael JofficerDisposition2,92989,065Form 4
2026-06-30Krygier Christopher DofficerDisposition1,46832,789Form 4
2026-06-30Lenderking John CarrollofficerDisposition2769,356Form 4
2026-06-30Corwin Jonathan C.officerDisposition13214,014Form 4
2026-06-30Krygier Christopher DofficerAward / grant3610,440Form 4
2026-06-30Alexander Richard MdirectorAward / grant682,805Form 4
2026-06-30Cohn Andrew M.directorAward / grant61,734Form 4
2026-06-30Corwin Jonathan C.officerOption exercise13214,146Form 4
2026-06-30Corwin Jonathan C.officerAward / grant2680Form 4
2026-06-30Corwin Jonathan C.officerOption exercise132548Form 4
2026-06-30Fleming Ronnie LdirectorOption exercise4,575113,562Form 4
2026-06-30Fleming Ronnie LdirectorAward / grant11332,462Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.