Issued 2026-09-16 at $146.73 · now $146.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GWRE has typically landed between $121.53 and $177.26 — a range of −17.2% to +20.8% from the issuance price $146.73.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,661 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-01-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($146.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GWRE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $146.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $146.73 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $148.72 (+1.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $137.42–$160.03
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $121.53–$177.26
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,661 windows spanning 2012-01-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −36.4% | −36.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-11 | −36.0% | −36.0% | +1.3% |
| 2020-02-13 | −35.9% | −36.1% | +1.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2012-02-27 | +53.4% | −4.9% | +55.1% |
| 2012-02-24 | +50.6% | −7.7% | +50.6% |
| 2012-02-16 | +47.9% | −3.0% | +47.9% |
3,661 overlapping windows · 2012-01-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~15 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
57%
+1.0%
n=14
Feb
60%
+2.9%
n=15
Mar
60%
+2.0%
n=15
Apr
53%
−0.5%
n=15
May
67%
+2.3%
n=15
Jun
73%
+3.2%
n=15
Jul
67%
+4.4%
n=15
Aug
60%
+4.1%
n=15
Sep
60%
−0.2%
n=15
Oct
64%
+1.5%
n=14
Nov
50%
+2.1%
n=14
Dec
43%
−2.7%
n=14
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $145.87 | $175K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 230,082 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $160.52 | $193K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 185,376 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-31 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $204.44 | $245K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 186,576 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | Peterson David Franklin | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $200.00 | $500K | −20.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,787 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-24 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $187.82 | $225K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 187,776 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-19 | Mullen John P | officer | Sale | 14,400 @ $185.00 | $2.7M | −11.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 116,715 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $172.88 | $207K | −0.6% of holding | −12.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 188,976 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-10 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $169.50 | $203K | −0.6% of holding | −16.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 190,176 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $155.92 | $187K | −0.6% of holding | +27.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 191,376 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-27 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $142.31 | $171K | −0.6% of holding | +22.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 192,576 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-20 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $147.42 | $177K | −0.6% of holding | +15.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 193,776 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-13 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $138.47 | $166K | −0.6% of holding | +23.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 194,976 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-09 | King James Winston | officer | Sale | 1,684 @ $130.64 | $220K | −5.3% of holding | +23.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,018 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-06 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $131.63 | $158K | −0.6% of holding | +13.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 196,176 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-29 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $124.29 | $149K | −0.6% of holding | +39.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 197,376 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-22 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Sale | 1,348 @ $105.67 | $142K | −2.1% of holding | +30.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 62,119 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-22 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $105.67 | $127K | −0.6% of holding | +30.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 198,576 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 5,830 @ $118.74 | $692K | −2.8% of holding | +28.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 199,776 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | Mullen John P | officer | Sale | 4,292 @ $118.74 | $510K | −3.2% of holding | +28.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 131,115 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Sale | 2,594 @ $118.74 | $308K | −3.9% of holding | +28.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 63,467 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | King James Winston | officer | Sale | 999 @ $118.74 | $119K | −3.1% of holding | +28.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,702 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | Peterson David Franklin | officer | Sale | 246 @ $118.74 | $29K | −2.0% of holding | +28.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,287 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-15 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $123.85 | $149K | −0.6% of holding | +24.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 205,606 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $135.62 | $163K | −0.6% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 206,806 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-01 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $158.92 | $191K | −0.6% of holding | −24.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 208,006 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $138.51 | $166K | −0.6% of holding | −17.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 209,206 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $128.19 | $154K | −0.6% of holding | −19.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 210,406 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $136.38 | $164K | −0.6% of holding | −11.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 211,606 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $141.91 | $170K | −0.6% of holding | +2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 212,806 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $138.09 | $166K | −0.6% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 214,006 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-20 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $139.75 | $168K | −0.6% of holding | −5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 215,206 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-13 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $118.77 | $143K | −0.6% of holding | −1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 216,406 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-06 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $151.14 | $181K | −0.5% of holding | −15.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 217,606 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-30 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $145.74 | $175K | −0.5% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 218,806 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $155.56 | $187K | −0.5% of holding | −17.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 220,006 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Mullen John P | officer | Sale | 6,576 @ $163.86 | $1.1M | −4.6% of holding | −19.6% | −23.1% | 135,407 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 4,737 @ $163.86 | $776K | −2.1% of holding | −19.6% | −23.1% | 221,206 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Sale | 1,935 @ $163.86 | $317K | −2.8% of holding | −19.6% | −23.1% | 66,061 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | King James Winston | officer | Sale | 1,001 @ $163.86 | $164K | −3.0% of holding | −19.6% | −23.1% | 32,701 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Peterson David Franklin | officer | Sale | 273 @ $163.86 | $45K | −2.1% of holding | −19.6% | −23.1% | 12,533 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $160.00 | $192K | −0.5% of holding | −20.5% | −21.8% | 225,943 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Sale | 4,757 @ $158.72 | $755K | −6.5% of holding | −27.2% | −20.2% | 67,996 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-09 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $166.34 | $200K | −0.5% of holding | −16.1% | −21.8% | 227,143 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-02 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $143.87 | $173K | −0.5% of holding | +5.4% | +25.1% | 228,343 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $125.50 | $151K | −0.5% of holding | +27.3% | +44.5% | 229,543 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-17 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $127.00 | $152K | −0.5% of holding | +33.4% | +32.4% | 230,743 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-09 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $127.77 | $153K | −0.5% of holding | +28.3% | +28.8% | 231,943 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $140.01 | $168K | −0.5% of holding | +12.2% | +3.9% | 233,143 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-26 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $160.32 | $192K | −0.5% of holding | −16.1% | −9.1% | 234,343 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-20 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $156.26 | $188K | −0.5% of holding | −18.1% | −24.7% | 235,543 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-13 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $180.87 | $217K | −0.5% of holding | −28.4% | −25.8% | 236,743 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-13 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Sale | 216 @ $180.87 | $39K | −0.3% of holding | −28.4% | −25.8% | 72,753 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-29 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,400 @ $204.95 | $287K | −0.6% of holding | −28.4% | −46.3% | 237,943 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 1,400 @ $200.72 | $281K | −0.6% of holding | −23.5% | −54.7% | 239,343 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-18 | King James Winston | officer | Sale | 1,860 @ $195.00 | $363K | −5.2% of holding | −21.1% | −53.8% | 33,702 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-18 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Sale | 1,232 @ $195.00 | $240K | −1.7% of holding | −21.1% | −53.8% | 72,969 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-16 | Mullen John P | officer | Sale | 7,975 @ $192.08 | $1.5M | −5.3% of holding | −20.1% | −55.2% | 141,983 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Sale | 6,015 @ $192.08 | $1.2M | −2.4% of holding | −20.1% | −55.2% | 240,743 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Sale | 2,872 @ $192.08 | $552K | −3.7% of holding | −20.1% | −55.2% | 74,201 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | King James Winston | officer | Sale | 1,457 @ $192.08 | $280K | −3.9% of holding | −20.1% | −55.2% | 35,562 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
59 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Option exercise | 123,074 | 353,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Option exercise | 37,826 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Mullen John P | officer | Option exercise | 75,211 | 223,330 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Option exercise | 37,826 | 118,595 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Mullen John P | officer | Option exercise | 75,211 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Peterson David Franklin | officer | Option exercise | 4,351 | 14,138 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Peterson David Franklin | officer | Option exercise | 4,351 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | King James Winston | officer | Option exercise | 19,701 | 57,753 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | King James Winston | officer | Option exercise | 19,701 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Option exercise | 123,074 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Award / grant | 45,906 | 45,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Award / grant | 45,906 | 231,282 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | King James Winston | officer | Award / grant | 8,034 | 8,034 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | King James Winston | officer | Award / grant | 8,034 | 38,052 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Mullen John P | officer | Award / grant | 35,004 | 148,119 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Award / grant | 18,650 | 18,650 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Award / grant | 18,650 | 80,769 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Mullen John P | officer | Award / grant | 35,004 | 35,004 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vollert Karl Alexander | director | Award / grant | 578 | 578 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | KELLER MICHAEL C | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 10,606 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Bauer David S | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 7,099 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Anquillare Mark V | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 2,716 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Ramanathan Rajani | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 11,057 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Dillon Margaret | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 16,393 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Lego Catherine P | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 14,393 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Sloan Jeffrey Steven | director | Award / grant | 1,196 | 2,371 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Other acquisition | 38 | 77,073 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Option exercise | 21,194 | 98,749 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Mullen John P | officer | Option exercise | 18,543 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Mullen John P | officer | Option exercise | 18,543 | 174,827 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | King James Winston | officer | Option exercise | 10,597 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | King James Winston | officer | Option exercise | 10,597 | 52,926 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Option exercise | 45,849 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Option exercise | 45,849 | 295,275 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Peterson David Franklin | officer | Option exercise | 3,179 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Peterson David Franklin | officer | Option exercise | 3,179 | 15,975 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Option exercise | 21,194 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Rosenbaum Michael George | director | Award / grant | 28,958 | 250,826 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Award / grant | 12,636 | 77,555 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Cooper Jeffrey Elliott | officer | Award / grant | 12,636 | 12,636 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.