GTY · TickerCove

GTYGetty Realty Corp.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.08 · now $30.08 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GTY has typically landed between $27.65 and $32.95 — a range of −8.1% to +9.5% from the issuance price $30.08.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.08) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$30.08 · 46% of range

$24.44 low$36.61 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.6%

typical move · IQR 7.1%

−8.1%worst (p90)+9.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

8 buys · 6 sells · 3 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where GTY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30.08 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $30.08 (+0.0%)
typical $30.26 (+0.6%)
middle 50% $29.2–$31.32
90% range $27.65–$32.95

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−46.9%	−46.9%	+0.0%
2008-02-27	−45.7%	−47.2%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−44.9%	−46.8%	+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20	+49.0%	+0.0%	+54.3%
2009-03-05	+48.9%	−2.3%	+48.9%
2008-07-07	+44.0%	+0.0%	+44.0%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

56%

+1.3%

n=18

Feb

63%

−1.2%

n=19

Mar

58%

−1.3%

n=19

Apr

63%

+2.5%

n=19

May

47%

−0.5%

n=19

Jun

53%

+1.9%

n=19

Jul

63%

+4.0%

n=19

Aug

63%

−0.2%

n=19

Sep

53%

−1.6%

n=19

Oct

56%

+2.2%

n=18

Nov

67%

+1.6%

n=18

Dec

61%

+1.6%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

88 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-13	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	5,480	746,942	Form 4
2026-05-13	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	1,848,092	0	Form 4
2026-05-13	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	616,031	741,462	Form 4
2026-05-13	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Gift	3,119	148,682	Form 4
2026-05-13	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	16,440	0	Form 4
2026-03-06	Ryan Robert John	officer	Award / grant	20	266	Form 4
2026-03-02	Dicker Joshua	officer	Award / grant	33,000	241,400	Form 4
2026-03-02	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Award / grant	7,000	74,500	Form 4
2026-03-02	SHNAYDERMAN EUGENE	officer	Award / grant	16,400	108,650	Form 4
2026-03-02	CONSTANT CHRISTOPHER J	director	Award / grant	62,500	387,000	Form 4
2026-03-02	COOPER MILTON	director	Award / grant	7,000	74,500	Form 4
2026-03-02	COVIELLO PHILIP E JR	director	Award / grant	7,000	74,500	Form 4
2026-03-02	Infurna Evelyn Leon	director	Award / grant	7,000	38,500	Form 4
2026-03-02	COVIELLO PHILIP E JR	director	Award / grant	7,000	74,500	Form 4
2026-03-02	COOPER MILTON	director	Award / grant	7,000	74,500	Form 4
2026-03-02	CONSTANT CHRISTOPHER J	director	Award / grant	62,500	387,000	Form 4
2026-03-02	Dickman Brian Robert	officer	Award / grant	34,000	180,000	Form 4
2026-03-02	Malanoski Mary Louise	director	Award / grant	7,000	59,000	Form 4
2026-03-02	Ryan Robert John	officer	Award / grant	19,000	113,500	Form 4
2026-03-02	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Award / grant	7,000	74,500	Form 4
2026-03-02	SHNAYDERMAN EUGENE	officer	Award / grant	16,400	108,650	Form 4
2026-03-02	Dicker Joshua	officer	Award / grant	33,000	241,400	Form 4
2026-03-02	Dickman Brian Robert	officer	Award / grant	34,000	180,000	Form 4
2026-03-02	Infurna Evelyn Leon	director	Award / grant	7,000	38,500	Form 4
2026-03-02	Malanoski Mary Louise	director	Award / grant	7,000	59,000	Form 4
2026-03-02	Ryan Robert John	officer	Award / grant	19,000	113,500	Form 4
2025-12-18	CONSTANT CHRISTOPHER J	director	Award / grant	20	1,242	Form 4
2025-12-18	OLEAR MARK JAMES	officer	Award / grant	20	220	Form 4
2025-12-18	Dickman Brian Robert	officer	Award / grant	20	120	Form 4
2025-12-18	SHNAYDERMAN EUGENE	officer	Award / grant	20	250	Form 4
2025-12-18	Dicker Joshua	officer	Award / grant	20	331	Form 4
2025-05-13	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	376,032	16,516	Form 4
2025-05-13	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	87	125,431	Form 4
2025-05-13	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	125,344	125,344	Form 4
2025-05-13	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	260	0	Form 4
2025-05-12	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	315,798	332,314	Form 4
2025-05-12	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	12,034	23,620	Form 4
2025-05-12	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	15,179	15,179	Form 4
2025-05-12	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	80	80	Form 4
2025-05-12	SAFENOWITZ HOWARD B	director	Other acquisition	89,798	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Lisa Mcclain	House	sale	2025-11-21	2025-10-31	$1–15K
Lisa Mcclain	House	purchase	2025-11-21	2025-10-30	$1–15K
Lisa Mcclain	House	sale	2025-11-21	2025-10-30	$1–15K
Lisa Mcclain	House	purchase	2025-10-22	2025-09-25	$1–15K
Lisa Mcclain	House	sale	2025-08-13	2025-06-11	$1–15K
Lisa Mcclain	House	purchase	2025-08-13	2025-06-09	$1–15K
Daniel Goldman	House	sale	2023-08-13	2023-07-12	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2020-05-06	2020-03-30	$15–50K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2020-05-06	2020-03-30	$15–50K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2020-05-06	2020-03-23	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2020-05-06	2020-03-19	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2020-05-06	2020-03-13	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2020-05-06	2020-03-11	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2020-05-06	2020-03-06	$1–15K

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i