Issued 2026-09-16 at $26.13 · now $26.13 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GTX has typically landed between $22.41 and $31.73 — a range of −14.2% to +21.4% from the issuance price $26.13.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,989 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-09-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($26.13) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GTX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $26.13 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $26.13 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $26.38 (+1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $24.64–$28.12
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $22.41–$31.73
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-08-25 | −80.6% | −80.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-08-24 | −75.3% | −75.3% | +0.0% |
| 2020-08-21 | −73.7% | −73.7% | +6.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-09-24 | +144.6% | +0.0% | +157.7% |
| 2020-09-25 | +99.4% | +0.0% | +99.4% |
| 2020-03-31 | +90.6% | −4.7% | +94.6% |
1,989 overlapping windows · 2018-09-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Steyn Julia | director | Sale | 178 @ $28.00 | $5K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 54,560 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Deiro Daniel | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $26.89 | $538K | −14.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 113,783 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Deiro Daniel | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $26.70 | $801K | −18.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 133,783 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Rodrigues Mark Albert | officer | Sale | 6,140 @ $33.30 | $204K | −7.4% of holding | −6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 77,038 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Rodrigues Mark Albert | officer | Sale | 10,516 @ $33.82 | $356K | −11.2% of holding | −7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,178 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | Deason Sean | officer | Sale | 110,000 @ $31.93 | $3.5M | −29.6% of holding | −1.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 261,909 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Mabru Thierry | officer | Sale | 70,000 @ $33.00 | $2.3M | −32.1% of holding | +11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 147,956 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | NINIVAGGI DANIEL A | director | Sale | 17,178 @ $31.22 | $536K | −12.1% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 124,885 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-27 | Rabiller Olivier | director | Sale | 144,000 @ $20.32 | $2.9M | −13.7% of holding | −6.0% | +19.0% | 905,546 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-26 | Rabiller Olivier | director | Sale | 143,000 @ $20.29 | $2.9M | −12.0% of holding | −5.1% | +22.5% | 1,049,546 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | Deiro Daniel | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $20.29 | $406K | −11.1% of holding | −5.1% | +22.5% | 160,994 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Rabiller Olivier | director | Sale | 143,000 @ $20.32 | $2.9M | −10.7% of holding | −2.6% | +23.1% | 1,192,546 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Deiro Daniel | officer | Sale | 13,000 @ $20.31 | $264K | −6.7% of holding | −2.6% | +23.1% | 180,994 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Steyn Julia | director | Sale | 16,500 @ $19.85 | $328K | −24.5% of holding | −4.1% | +18.4% | 50,733 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Steyn Julia | director | Sale | 500 @ $20.31 | $10K | −1.0% of holding | −4.1% | +18.4% | 50,233 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 350,566 @ $13.28 | $4.7M | −1.7% of holding | −3.0% | +31.6% | 20,009,945 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-10 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 239,612 @ $13.23 | $3.2M | −1.2% of holding | −4.6% | +32.3% | 20,360,511 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 23,225 @ $13.25 | $308K | −0.1% of holding | −5.4% | +33.4% | 20,600,123 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 500,000 @ $13.28 | $6.6M | −2.4% of holding | +2.4% | +46.4% | 20,623,348 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $13.25 | $66K | −0.0% of holding | −0.4% | +36.5% | 21,123,348 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,300,000 @ $13.00 | $16.9M | −5.8% of holding | +0.9% | +41.7% | 21,128,348 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 150,629 @ $13.01 | $2.0M | −0.7% of holding | −0.7% | +53.1% | 22,428,348 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 876 @ $13.01 | $11K | −0.0% of holding | −0.8% | +55.4% | 22,578,977 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200 @ $13.01 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | −0.3% | +33.7% | 22,579,853 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-01 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 705 @ $13.02 | $9K | −0.0% of holding | −0.7% | +30.4% | 22,580,053 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-31 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 90,542 @ $13.05 | $1.2M | −0.4% of holding | −2.4% | +29.6% | 22,580,758 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 32,361 @ $13.03 | $422K | −0.1% of holding | −2.3% | +31.2% | 22,671,300 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-29 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 50,000 @ $13.05 | $653K | −0.2% of holding | −0.9% | +30.1% | 22,703,661 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-28 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 93,334 @ $13.14 | $1.2M | −0.4% of holding | +0.0% | +31.6% | 22,753,661 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-23 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 58,829 @ $11.80 | $694K | −0.3% of holding | +10.8% | +47.5% | 22,846,995 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-21 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 43 @ $11.76 | $506 | −0.0% of holding | +10.5% | +47.4% | 22,905,824 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-18 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,172 @ $11.76 | $14K | −0.0% of holding | +9.3% | +50.1% | 22,905,867 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-17 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 24,033 @ $11.82 | $284K | −0.1% of holding | +6.5% | +53.8% | 22,907,039 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-16 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 51,718 @ $11.63 | $601K | −0.2% of holding | +5.9% | +51.6% | 22,931,072 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-10 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 150,896 @ $11.50 | $1.7M | −0.7% of holding | +8.5% | +48.9% | 22,982,790 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-07 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 300,000 @ $11.10 | $3.3M | −1.3% of holding | +13.2% | +51.6% | 23,133,686 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-03 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 219,647 @ $11.04 | $2.4M | ownership Δ n/a | +15.6% | +49.7% | — | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-03 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 219,647 @ $11.04 | $2.4M | ownership Δ n/a | +15.6% | +49.7% | — | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-03 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 219,647 @ $11.04 | $2.4M | ownership Δ n/a | +15.6% | +49.7% | — | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-03 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 219,647 @ $11.04 | $2.4M | ownership Δ n/a | +15.6% | +49.7% | — | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-02 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 51,865 @ $11.00 | $571K | −0.2% of holding | +17.1% | +49.7% | 23,653,333 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-27 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,196,526 @ $10.46 | $12.5M | −4.8% of holding | +21.1% | +54.8% | 23,705,198 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 50,000 @ $12.05 | $603K | −0.2% of holding | −15.5% | +26.7% | 24,901,724 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $11.38 | $2.3M | −0.8% of holding | −15.6% | +34.6% | 24,951,724 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-05 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 155,000 @ $11.25 | $1.7M | −0.6% of holding | −14.5% | +34.7% | 25,151,724 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-01 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $10.00 | $1.0M | −0.4% of holding | −5.6% | +44.5% | 25,306,724 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-17 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 28,233 @ $9.10 | $257K | −0.1% of holding | +19.5% | +15.9% | 25,406,724 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-16 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 150,000 @ $9.00 | $1.4M | −0.6% of holding | +21.1% | +18.4% | 25,434,957 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-15 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 250,000 @ $9.03 | $2.3M | −1.0% of holding | +23.0% | +20.8% | 25,584,957 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-14 | CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,502,441 @ $9.05 | $13.6M | −5.5% of holding | +24.1% | +16.7% | 25,834,957 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-07 | Centerbridge Special Credit Partners III-Flex, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 365,790 @ $9.41 | $3.4M | −1.5% of holding | −2.5% | +27.9% | 23,351,125 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-07 | Centerbridge Special Credit Partners III-Flex, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 154,210 @ $9.41 | $1.5M | −1.5% of holding | −2.5% | +27.9% | 9,795,684 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Centerbridge Special Credit Partners III-Flex, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 351,721 @ $9.45 | $3.3M | −1.5% of holding | −11.0% | +30.4% | 23,716,915 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Centerbridge Special Credit Partners III-Flex, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 148,279 @ $9.45 | $1.4M | −1.5% of holding | −11.0% | +30.4% | 9,949,894 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | Centerbridge Special Credit Partners III-Flex, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 245,748 @ $9.96 | $2.4M | −1.0% of holding | −11.5% | +22.9% | 24,068,636 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | Centerbridge Special Credit Partners III-Flex, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 103,603 @ $9.96 | $1.0M | −1.0% of holding | −11.5% | +22.9% | 10,098,173 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-26 | Centerbridge Special Credit Partners III-Flex, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 247,734 @ $9.93 | $2.5M | −1.0% of holding | −10.4% | +23.2% | 24,314,384 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-26 | Centerbridge Special Credit Partners III-Flex, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 211,033 @ $9.93 | $2.1M | −0.9% of holding | −10.4% | +23.2% | 24,562,118 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-26 | Centerbridge Special Credit Partners III-Flex, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 104,440 @ $9.93 | $1.0M | −1.0% of holding | −10.4% | +23.2% | 10,201,776 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-26 | Centerbridge Special Credit Partners III-Flex, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 88,967 @ $9.93 | $884K | −0.9% of holding | −10.4% | +23.2% | 10,306,216 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
158 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Crompton Dave J | director | Award / grant | 3,951 | 3,951 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Crompton Dave J | director | Award / grant | 3,951 | 3,951 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Drees Joachim | director | Award / grant | 1,023 | 42,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Camuti Paul A | director | Award / grant | 512 | 46,407 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Drees Joachim | director | Award / grant | 1,023 | 42,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Camuti Paul A | director | Award / grant | 512 | 46,407 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | NINIVAGGI DANIEL A | director | Award / grant | 1,042 | 130,432 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | NINIVAGGI DANIEL A | director | Award / grant | 1,042 | 130,432 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Camuti Paul A | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 45,895 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Vanneste Jeffrey H. | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 4,505 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Vanneste Jeffrey H. | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 4,505 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Camuti Paul A | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 45,895 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Drees Joachim | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 41,215 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Drees Joachim | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 41,215 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | NINIVAGGI DANIEL A | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 129,390 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Norman Daun | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 91,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Steyn Julia | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 54,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | NINIVAGGI DANIEL A | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 129,390 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Norman Daun | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 91,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Steyn Julia | director | Award / grant | 4,505 | 54,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Drees Joachim | director | Withheld for tax | 4,026 | 36,710 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Rabiller Olivier | director | Withheld for tax | 40,907 | 918,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Deason Sean | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,951 | 371,909 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Balis Craig | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,129 | 274,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Mabru Thierry | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,396 | 217,956 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Deiro Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,641 | 163,783 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Spenninck Fabrice | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,378 | 154,360 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Drees Joachim | director | Award / grant | 1,848 | 40,736 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | NINIVAGGI DANIEL A | director | Award / grant | 1,882 | 142,063 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Drees Joachim | director | Award / grant | 1,848 | 40,736 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Camuti Paul A | director | Award / grant | 924 | 41,390 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Camuti Paul A | director | Award / grant | 924 | 41,390 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | NINIVAGGI DANIEL A | director | Award / grant | 1,882 | 142,063 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Rabiller Olivier | director | Withheld for tax | 58,752 | 846,794 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Deason Sean | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,268 | 353,524 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Balis Craig | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,767 | 259,394 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Mabru Thierry | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,283 | 201,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Spenninck Fabrice | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,214 | 142,025 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Deiro Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,139 | 151,855 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Martens Nils Eike-Christian | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,898 | 34,361 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.