GTN · TickerCove

GTNGray Media, Inc.Communication Services · Broadcastingas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.76 · now $4.76 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GTN has typically landed between $3.53 and $6.10 — a range of −25.9% to +28.1% from the issuance price $4.76.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.76) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$4.76 · 47% of range

$3.58 low$6.07 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.1%

typical move · IQR 22.5%

−25.9%worst (p90)+28.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where GTN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.76 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $4.76 (+0.0%)
typical $4.71 (-1.1%)
middle 50% $4.17–$5.24
90% range $3.53–$6.1

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−77.7%	−77.7%	+0.0%
2008-10-14	−73.5%	−73.5%	+0.0%
2008-09-24	−72.6%	−72.6%	+5.1%
3 best
2009-08-21	+571.7%	+0.0%	+571.7%
2009-08-20	+571.7%	+0.0%	+571.7%
2009-08-19	+463.5%	−6.4%	+463.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

+6.1%

n=20

Feb

55%

−0.0%

n=20

Mar

45%

+0.2%

n=20

Apr

60%

+11.4%

n=20

May

35%

−3.8%

n=20

Jun

45%

+0.1%

n=20

Jul

55%

+2.8%

n=20

Aug

50%

−0.2%

n=20

Sep

50%

+8.2%

n=20

Oct

45%

−3.0%

n=20

Nov

55%

+2.9%

n=20

Dec

50%

+1.6%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-19	BOGER RICHARD LEE	director	Sale	55,000 @ $4.19	$230K	−59.7% of holding	−2.8%	not yet — horizon still open	37,084	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-19	BOGER RICHARD LEE	director	Sale	2,000 @ $10.12	$20K	−30.3% of holding	−2.8%	not yet — horizon still open	4,591	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-09	BOGER RICHARD LEE	director	Sale	20,000 @ $5.82	$116K	−24.6% of holding	−12.4%	−16.3%	61,343	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-05	Gignac Jeffrey R	officer	Purchase	12,500 @ $3.68	$46K	+2.0% of holding	+41.6%	+16.7%	644,599	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-28	BOGER RICHARD LEE	director	Sale	16,000 @ $3.85	$62K	−22.4% of holding	+22.7%	+60.3%	55,347	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-16	McTear Paul	director	Sale	17,780 @ $3.77	$67K	−15.7% of holding	−4.2%	+28.1%	95,360	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

73 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-06	Spainhour Sterling A Jr.	director	Award / grant	30,741	107,440	Form 4
2026-05-06	Hare Richard B	director	Award / grant	30,741	124,765	Form 4
2026-05-06	McTear Paul	director	Award / grant	30,741	161,990	Form 4
2026-05-06	Howell Robin Robinson	director	Award / grant	30,741	171,595	Form 4
2026-05-06	Garcia Luis A.	director	Award / grant	30,741	130,647	Form 4
2026-05-06	McClain Lorri	director	Award / grant	30,741	126,638	Form 4
2026-05-06	BOGER RICHARD LEE	director	Award / grant	30,741	92,084	Form 4
2026-05-06	NEWTON HOWELL	director	Award / grant	30,741	145,265	Form 4
2026-05-06	HOWELL HILTON H JR	director	Award / grant	30,741	171,595	Form 4
2026-04-01	Gignac Jeffrey R	officer	Withheld for tax	43,434	770,457	Form 4
2026-02-28	HOWELL HILTON H JR	director	Withheld for tax	468,050	4,008,929	Form 4
2026-02-28	Howell Robin Robinson	director	Withheld for tax	468,050	4,008,929	Form 4
2026-02-28	Latek Kevin Paul	officer	Withheld for tax	306,021	606,677	Form 4
2026-02-28	LaPlatney D Patrick	director	Withheld for tax	180,613	1,452,065	Form 4
2026-02-28	McNamara Sandra Breland	officer	Withheld for tax	124,825	676,820	Form 4
2026-02-28	Gignac Jeffrey R	officer	Withheld for tax	68,855	813,891	Form 4
2026-02-28	McNamara Sandra Breland	officer	Award / grant	18,989	801,645	Form 4
2026-02-28	Howell Robin Robinson	director	Award / grant	124,921	4,476,979	Form 4
2026-02-28	LaPlatney D Patrick	director	Award / grant	51,323	1,632,678	Form 4
2026-02-28	HOWELL HILTON H JR	director	Award / grant	124,921	4,476,979	Form 4
2026-02-28	Latek Kevin Paul	officer	Award / grant	36,818	912,698	Form 4
2026-02-12	Howell Robin Robinson	director	Award / grant	327,303	4,024,755	Form 4
2026-02-12	HOWELL HILTON H JR	director	Award / grant	327,303	4,352,058	Form 4
2026-02-12	Howell Robin Robinson	director	Award / grant	327,303	4,352,058	Form 4
2026-02-12	HOWELL HILTON H JR	director	Award / grant	327,303	4,024,755	Form 4
2026-02-12	LaPlatney D Patrick	director	Award / grant	365,302	1,581,355	Form 4
2026-02-12	Latek Kevin Paul	officer	Award / grant	262,123	875,880	Form 4
2026-02-12	McNamara Sandra Breland	officer	Award / grant	238,147	782,656	Form 4
2026-02-12	Gignac Jeffrey R	officer	Award / grant	238,147	882,746	Form 4
2025-12-01	Howell Robin Robinson	director	Withheld for tax	28,578	3,697,452	Form 4
2025-12-01	HOWELL HILTON H JR	director	Withheld for tax	28,578	3,697,452	Form 4
2025-12-01	Latek Kevin Paul	officer	Withheld for tax	24,249	613,757	Form 4
2025-12-01	LaPlatney D Patrick	director	Withheld for tax	17,010	1,216,053	Form 4
2025-05-07	Hare Richard B	director	Award / grant	43,011	94,024	Form 4
2025-05-07	Spainhour Sterling A Jr.	director	Award / grant	43,011	76,699	Form 4
2025-05-07	NEWTON HOWELL	director	Award / grant	43,011	114,524	Form 4
2025-05-07	BOGER RICHARD LEE	director	Award / grant	43,011	81,343	Form 4
2025-05-07	HOWELL HILTON H JR	director	Award / grant	43,011	140,854	Form 4
2025-05-07	Howell Robin Robinson	director	Award / grant	43,011	140,854	Form 4
2025-05-07	McClain Lorri	director	Award / grant	43,011	95,897	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i