Issued 2026-09-16 at $81.90 · now $81.90 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GSAT has typically landed between $65.52 and $109.41 — a range of −20.0% to +33.6% from the issuance price $81.90.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,972 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-11-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($81.90) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GSAT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $81.9 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $81.9 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $81.9 (+0.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $72.81–$90.99
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $65.52–$109.41
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-23 | −82.3% | −82.7% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-19 | −82.2% | −82.2% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-22 | −82.0% | −82.0% | +4.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2021-01-07 | +507.1% | +0.0% | +507.1% |
| 2021-01-11 | +351.5% | +0.0% | +351.5% |
| 2020-12-16 | +298.3% | −4.1% | +298.3% |
4,972 overlapping windows · 2006-11-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Sale | 19,998 @ $81.98 | $1.6M | −82.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,116 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Lynch James F | director | Sale | 110,000 @ $81.78 | $9.0M | −13.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 712,714 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Sale | 19,998 @ $82.21 | $1.6M | −82.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,116 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 24,100 @ $82.17 | $2.0M | −20.0% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 96,540 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Sale | 75,000 @ $82.82 | $6.2M | −30.6% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 170,244 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-12 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Sale | 75,000 @ $83.15 | $6.2M | −23.4% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 245,244 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Sale | 32,711 @ $83.19 | $2.7M | −88.8% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,116 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-11 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Sale | 24,000 @ $83.54 | $2.0M | −39.5% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 36,827 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Ponder L Barbee IV | officer | Sale | 4,720 @ $83.52 | $394K | −3.6% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 126,583 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-07 | Ponder L Barbee IV | officer | Sale | 12,045 @ $83.21 | $1.0M | −8.4% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 131,303 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 920 @ $81.75 | $75K | −0.8% of holding | −2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 120,278 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-28 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 4,066 @ $81.24 | $330K | −3.2% of holding | −2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 121,198 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-15 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 4,037 @ $79.85 | $322K | −3.4% of holding | −5.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 115,741 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-19 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Sale | 713 @ $59.56 | $42K | −1.1% of holding | +22.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,032 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-19 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Sale | 1 @ $59.58 | $60 | −0.0% of holding | +22.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,745 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-11 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Sale | 1,153 @ $57.31 | $66K | −1.9% of holding | +26.3% | +29.7% | 61,080 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 762 @ $57.31 | $44K | −0.7% of holding | +26.3% | +29.7% | 110,254 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Ponder L Barbee IV | officer | Sale | 682 @ $57.31 | $39K | −0.5% of holding | +26.3% | +29.7% | 143,348 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Ponder L Barbee IV | officer | Sale | 492 @ $55.38 | $27K | −0.3% of holding | +23.8% | +25.8% | 142,635 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-10 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 351 @ $55.38 | $19K | −0.3% of holding | +23.8% | +25.8% | 109,459 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-03 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 1,210 @ $61.09 | $74K | −1.1% of holding | +16.8% | +22.1% | 109,810 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-07 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Sale | 845 @ $65.80 | $56K | −1.4% of holding | −5.4% | +21.6% | 58,830 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-29 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 1,260 @ $61.42 | $77K | −1.2% of holding | +6.9% | +26.0% | 108,123 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-29 | Ponder L Barbee IV | officer | Sale | 1,260 @ $61.42 | $77K | −0.9% of holding | +6.9% | +26.0% | 135,568 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | Ponder L Barbee IV | officer | Sale | 420 @ $63.01 | $26K | −0.3% of holding | −3.1% | +12.2% | 136,828 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 420 @ $63.01 | $26K | −0.4% of holding | −3.1% | +12.2% | 109,383 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-17 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 3,529 @ $55.93 | $197K | −3.2% of holding | +3.9% | +28.5% | 108,292 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-17 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 800 @ $57.50 | $46K | −0.7% of holding | +3.9% | +28.5% | 107,492 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-17 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 500 @ $60.27 | $30K | −0.5% of holding | +3.9% | +28.5% | 106,992 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-08 | Ponder L Barbee IV | officer | Sale | 1,221 @ $67.88 | $83K | −0.9% of holding | −13.0% | +11.7% | 134,437 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-08 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 1,221 @ $67.88 | $83K | −1.2% of holding | −13.0% | +11.7% | 102,297 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 4,380 @ $59.92 | $262K | −4.1% of holding | +1.0% | +24.2% | 103,518 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-17 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 16,316 @ $58.32 | $952K | −14.2% of holding | −4.7% | +27.3% | 98,374 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-17 | Ponder L Barbee IV | officer | Sale | 9,790 @ $58.32 | $571K | −6.7% of holding | −4.7% | +27.3% | 135,658 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-14 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 1,188 @ $60.84 | $72K | −1.0% of holding | +0.2% | +20.1% | 114,690 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Ponder L Barbee IV | officer | Sale | 56 @ $61.34 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | +13.6% | +18.6% | 145,448 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-12 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 56 @ $61.34 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | +13.6% | +18.6% | 115,878 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-06 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 4,572 @ $48.31 | $221K | −3.8% of holding | +38.5% | +59.5% | 115,804 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-16 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 4,333 @ $44.43 | $193K | −3.8% of holding | +40.5% | +73.6% | 110,852 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-25 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Sale | 53,479 @ $34.95 | $1.9M | −47.6% of holding | +27.7% | +88.3% | 58,895 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-25 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 2,100 @ $35.01 | $74K | −1.9% of holding | +27.7% | +88.3% | 105,661 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-15 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 3,691 @ $29.70 | $110K | −3.3% of holding | +38.5% | +92.9% | 109,429 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-15 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 1,538 @ $29.80 | $46K | −1.4% of holding | +38.5% | +92.9% | 107,891 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-15 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Sale | 130 @ $30.78 | $4K | −0.1% of holding | +38.5% | +92.9% | 107,761 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-11 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Sale | 21,841 @ $30.43 | $665K | −6.3% of holding | +43.7% | +92.4% | 324,737 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Sale | 4,493 @ $31.24 | $140K | −1.4% of holding | +43.7% | +92.4% | 320,244 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Sale | 13,981 @ $31.40 | $439K | −3.7% of holding | +48.0% | +80.8% | 358,930 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Sale | 5,771 @ $32.47 | $187K | −1.6% of holding | +48.0% | +80.8% | 353,159 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Sale | 4,592 @ $33.46 | $154K | −1.3% of holding | +48.0% | +80.8% | 348,567 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Sale | 1,054 @ $36.72 | $39K | −0.3% of holding | +48.0% | +80.8% | 346,578 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Sale | 762 @ $34.58 | $26K | −0.2% of holding | +48.0% | +80.8% | 347,805 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Sale | 173 @ $35.41 | $6K | −0.0% of holding | +48.0% | +80.8% | 347,632 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Monroe James III | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $18.68 | $934K | +0.1% of holding | +26.6% | +229.3% | 58,833,076 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | Monroe James III | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $18.77 | $469K | +0.0% of holding | +16.0% | +228.0% | 58,783,076 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-12 | Monroe James III | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $18.56 | $928K | +0.1% of holding | +12.0% | +184.7% | 58,758,076 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-28 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Sale | 209,546 @ $22.52 | $4.7M | −100.0% of holding | −7.3% | +46.1% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-28 | Monroe James III | director | Purchase | 209,546 @ $22.52 | $4.7M | +36.1% of holding | −7.3% | +46.1% | 790,097 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-21 | Monroe James III | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $22.31 | $1.1M | +5.6% of holding | −7.1% | +45.2% | 947,273 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | Monroe James III | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $21.83 | $546K | +2.9% of holding | −3.1% | +44.0% | 897,273 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-19 | Monroe James III | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $21.71 | $543K | +3.0% of holding | −2.9% | +41.8% | 872,273 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
76 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Option exercise | 6,666 | 17,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Option exercise | 4,444 | 21,892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Option exercise | 6,666 | 10,782 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Option exercise | 2,222 | 24,114 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Option exercise | 6,666 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Option exercise | 2,222 | 4,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Option exercise | 4,444 | 2,222 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Option exercise | 6,666 | 17,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Option exercise | 6,666 | 10,782 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Option exercise | 6,666 | 24,114 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Option exercise | 6,666 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | HASLER WILLIAM A | director | Award / grant | 3,333 | 65,546 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Award / grant | 3,333 | 60,827 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Award / grant | 3,333 | 255,467 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | COWAN KEITH O | director | Award / grant | 3,333 | 61,746 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Award / grant | 9,523 | 125,264 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Award / grant | 9,524 | 119,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Option exercise | 4,444 | 65,524 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Option exercise | 2,222 | 67,746 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Option exercise | 2,222 | 4,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Option exercise | 4,444 | 2,222 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Award / grant | 3,403 | 62,233 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Award / grant | 1,557 | 111,016 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Award / grant | 1,310 | 252,134 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Ponder L Barbee IV | officer | Award / grant | 1,395 | 144,030 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Award / grant | 6,666 | 6,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | COWAN KEITH O | director | Award / grant | 780 | 58,413 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | COWAN KEITH O | director | Award / grant | 6,666 | 6,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Lynch James F | director | Award / grant | 780 | 57,879 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Lynch James F | director | Award / grant | 6,666 | 6,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | HASLER WILLIAM A | director | Award / grant | 780 | 62,213 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | HASLER WILLIAM A | director | Award / grant | 6,666 | 6,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Award / grant | 780 | 59,675 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | JACOBS PAUL E | director | Award / grant | 6,666 | 6,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Wolff Benjamin G | director | Award / grant | 780 | 57,494 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Monroe James III | director | Award / grant | 780 | 45,880 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Monroe James III | director | Award / grant | 6,666 | 6,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Award / grant | 6,666 | 6,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Taylor Timothy Evan | director | Award / grant | 780 | 250,824 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Clary Rebecca | officer | Award / grant | 2,811 | 109,803 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.