Issued 2026-09-16 at $937.98 · now $937.98 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GS has typically landed between $833.36 and $1072.74 — a range of −11.2% to +14.4% from the issuance price $937.98.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($937.98) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $937.98 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $937.98 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $953.17 (+1.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $900.52–$1,006
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $833.36–$1,073
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-22 | −54.7% | −54.7% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-21 | −54.4% | −54.4% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-23 | −50.9% | −52.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-09 | +57.0% | +0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2009-03-06 | +54.2% | −2.3% | +57.8% |
| 2008-11-20 | +48.1% | +0.0% | +55.3% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
$313.1B
market cap
$64.78
EPS (TTM)
16.4
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-13
next earnings
Revenue$125.1B
'20'25
Net income$17.2B
'20'25
Free cash flow−$47.2B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr13.7%
'20'25
ROE · by yr13.7%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr4.88
'20'25
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 69 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$831.29
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.4× · n=69$1,061
- Analyst target · range $995.00–$1,325$1,222
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$937.98
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
+1.9%
n=18
Feb
53%
+0.4%
n=19
Mar
32%
−1.1%
n=19
Apr
58%
+2.6%
n=19
May
53%
+1.1%
n=19
Jun
47%
+0.2%
n=19
Jul
89%
+5.7%
n=19
Aug
58%
−1.3%
n=19
Sep
42%
−2.5%
n=19
Oct
72%
+2.6%
n=18
Nov
56%
+2.8%
n=18
Dec
67%
+2.3%
n=18
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | LESLIE ERICKA T | officer | Sale | 600 @ $1033.80 | $620K | −5.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,960 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | LESLIE ERICKA T | officer | Sale | 129 @ $1054.18 | $136K | −1.1% of holding | −3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,569 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | LESLIE ERICKA T | officer | Sale | 37 @ $1053.05 | $39K | −0.3% of holding | −3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,698 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | LESLIE ERICKA T | officer | Sale | 9 @ $1054.77 | $9K | −0.1% of holding | −3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,560 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | LESLIE ERICKA T | officer | Sale | 149 @ $1152.15 | $172K | −1.3% of holding | −12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,735 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | LESLIE ERICKA T | officer | Sale | 101 @ $1151.29 | $116K | −0.8% of holding | −12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,884 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | COLEMAN DENIS P. | officer | Sale | 2,509 @ $972.29 | $2.4M | −6.6% of holding | +10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,418 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | COLEMAN DENIS P. | officer | Sale | 1,560 @ $973.19 | $1.5M | −4.4% of holding | +10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,858 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | COLEMAN DENIS P. | officer | Sale | 1,428 @ $975.21 | $1.4M | −4.4% of holding | +10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,070 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | COLEMAN DENIS P. | officer | Sale | 1,360 @ $974.53 | $1.3M | −4.0% of holding | +10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,498 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 8,250 @ $940.23 | $7.8M | −34.3% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,777 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 2,671 @ $939.33 | $2.5M | −10.0% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,027 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 837 @ $936.24 | $784K | −2.9% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,715 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 814 @ $938.42 | $764K | −3.0% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,698 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 481 @ $934.76 | $450K | −1.7% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,552 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 479 @ $934.04 | $447K | −1.6% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,033 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 437 @ $933.08 | $408K | −1.5% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,512 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 203 @ $936.70 | $190K | −0.7% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,512 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 120 @ $941.25 | $113K | −0.8% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,657 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | FREDMAN SHEARA J | officer | Sale | 8,166 @ $930.21 | $7.6M | −56.3% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,338 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | SOLOMON DAVID M | director | Sale | 2,310 @ $930.43 | $2.1M | −1.6% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 138,422 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | FREDMAN SHEARA J | officer | Sale | 2,135 @ $925.18 | $2.0M | −12.8% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,504 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | SOLOMON DAVID M | director | Sale | 1,160 @ $931.25 | $1.1M | −0.8% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 137,262 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 468 @ $929.71 | $435K | −1.5% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,029 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 135 @ $928.85 | $125K | −0.4% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,497 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Sale | 80 @ $930.35 | $74K | −0.3% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,949 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | GOLTEN ALEX S | officer | Sale | 581 @ $935.70 | $544K | −15.7% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,113 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | GOLTEN ALEX S | officer | Sale | 535 @ $936.71 | $501K | −17.2% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,578 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | GOLTEN ALEX S | officer | Sale | 706 @ $919.61 | $649K | −16.0% of holding | −1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,694 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | GOLTEN ALEX S | officer | Sale | 409 @ $918.46 | $376K | −8.5% of holding | −1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,400 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 1,461 @ $950.16 | $1.4M | −2.8% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 50,697 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 1,240 @ $960.08 | $1.2M | −2.7% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 44,920 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 1,163 @ $964.20 | $1.1M | −2.7% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 41,172 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 1,005 @ $952.08 | $957K | −2.0% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 49,692 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 960 @ $961.24 | $923K | −2.1% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 43,960 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 945 @ $963.18 | $910K | −2.2% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 42,335 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 699 @ $966.20 | $675K | −1.7% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 39,807 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 680 @ $962.12 | $654K | −1.5% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 43,280 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 677 @ $959.27 | $649K | −1.4% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 46,160 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 666 @ $965.14 | $643K | −1.6% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 40,506 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 659 @ $954.91 | $629K | −1.4% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 47,861 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 640 @ $967.18 | $619K | −1.6% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 39,167 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 646 @ $953.83 | $616K | −1.3% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 48,520 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 526 @ $952.94 | $501K | −1.1% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 49,166 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 464 @ $961.32 | $446K | −4.1% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 10,752 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 444 @ $964.45 | $428K | −4.4% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 9,748 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 392 @ $956.94 | $375K | −0.8% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 47,208 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 371 @ $957.96 | $355K | −0.8% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 46,837 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 320 @ $965.51 | $309K | −3.3% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 9,428 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 320 @ $962.06 | $308K | −3.0% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 10,432 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 305 @ $955.15 | $291K | −2.5% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 11,667 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 261 @ $955.77 | $249K | −0.5% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 47,600 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 240 @ $963.59 | $231K | −2.3% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 10,192 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 200 @ $958.93 | $192K | −1.7% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 11,412 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 196 @ $959.88 | $188K | −1.7% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 11,216 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 160 @ $967.82 | $155K | −0.4% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 39,007 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 120 @ $952.27 | $114K | −1.0% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 11,972 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 55 @ $956.83 | $53K | −0.5% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 11,612 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Sale | 40 @ $950.50 | $38K | −0.3% of holding | −12.5% | −1.6% | 12,092 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | COLEMAN DENIS P. | officer | Sale | 2,844 @ $944.66 | $2.7M | −8.6% of holding | −9.7% | −0.9% | 30,378 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
123 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | JOHNSON KEVIN R | director | Award / grant | 33 | 3,119 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | OPPENHEIMER PETER | director | Award / grant | 50 | 7,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Flaherty Mark A. | director | Award / grant | 22 | 5,270 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | HESS JOHN B | director | Award / grant | 22 | 892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | VINIAR DAVID A | director | Gift | 2,000 | 548,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | SOLOMON DAVID M | director | Withheld for tax | 18,812 | 140,732 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | WALDRON JOHN E. | director | Withheld for tax | 15,178 | 118,536 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,972 | 30,632 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,105 | 49,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | COLEMAN DENIS P. | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,621 | 37,927 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | FREDMAN SHEARA J | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,843 | 16,639 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Option exercise | 21,915 | 60,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | COLEMAN DENIS P. | officer | Option exercise | 19,206 | 48,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | COLEMAN DENIS P. | officer | Option exercise | 19,206 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Option exercise | 27,071 | 45,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Option exercise | 27,071 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | SOLOMON DAVID M | director | Option exercise | 34,017 | 159,544 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | SOLOMON DAVID M | director | Option exercise | 34,017 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | WALDRON JOHN E. | director | Option exercise | 27,446 | 133,714 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | WALDRON JOHN E. | director | Option exercise | 27,446 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | FREDMAN SHEARA J | officer | Option exercise | 14,181 | 24,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Option exercise | 27,071 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | COLEMAN DENIS P. | officer | Option exercise | 19,206 | 48,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | COLEMAN DENIS P. | officer | Option exercise | 19,206 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Option exercise | 21,915 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | FREDMAN SHEARA J | officer | Option exercise | 14,181 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Option exercise | 21,915 | 60,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | ROGERS JOHN F.W. | officer | Option exercise | 21,915 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | SOLOMON DAVID M | director | Option exercise | 34,017 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | SOLOMON DAVID M | director | Option exercise | 34,017 | 159,544 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | WALDRON JOHN E. | director | Option exercise | 27,446 | 133,714 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | WALDRON JOHN E. | director | Option exercise | 27,446 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | FREDMAN SHEARA J | officer | Option exercise | 14,181 | 24,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | FREDMAN SHEARA J | officer | Option exercise | 14,181 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Ruemmler Kathryn H. | officer | Option exercise | 27,071 | 45,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Flaherty Mark A. | director | Award / grant | 28 | 5,248 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | JOHNSON KEVIN R | director | Award / grant | 42 | 3,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | HESS JOHN B | director | Award / grant | 28 | 870 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | OPPENHEIMER PETER | director | Award / grant | 63 | 7,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | MITTAL LAKSHMI N | director | Award / grant | 28 | 6,320 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | purchase | 2026-07-21 | 2026-03-27 | $15–50K |
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | purchase | 2026-07-21 | 2026-03-30 | $1–15K |
| Josh Gottheimer | House | purchase | 2026-05-19 | 2026-04-16 | $1–15K |
| Josh Gottheimer | House | sale | 2026-05-19 | 2026-04-09 | $15–50K |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | House | purchase | 2026-04-21 | 2026-03-19 | $15–50K |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | House | purchase | 2026-04-21 | 2026-03-19 | $15–50K |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | sale | 2026-03-02 | 2026-02-04 | $15–50K |
| David H. McCormick | Senate | sale | 2026-02-22 | 2026-01-23 | $1M+ |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | purchase | 2026-01-16 | 2025-12-29 | $15–50K |
| Julie Johnson | House | sale | 2026-01-15 | 2025-12-18 | $1–15K |
| Steve Cohen | House | sale | 2026-01-14 | 2025-12-17 | $15–50K |
| Steve Cohen | House | sale | 2026-01-14 | 2025-12-17 | $15–50K |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | sale | 2026-01-13 | 2025-12-18 | $15–50K |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | sale | 2026-01-13 | 2025-12-18 | $15–50K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.