Issued 2026-08-21 at $1.79 · now $1.79 (2026-08-12, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-08-21 close, GREE has typically landed between $0.97 and $2.87 — a range of −45.9% to +60.3% from the issuance price $1.79.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,977 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-07-14 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,405 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-08-21 issuance close ($1.79) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-09-21, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GREE has typically landed a month from the 2026-08-21 close of $1.79 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.79 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.61 (-9.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.27–$1.96
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.9681–$2.87
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,977 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-08-12. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2021-08-30 | −92.0% | −92.5% | +0.0% |
| 2021-08-31 | −90.6% | −91.3% | +0.0% |
| 2021-09-09 | −89.9% | −89.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-06-12 | +406.2% | −1.9% | +406.2% |
| 2023-06-13 | +390.6% | +0.0% | +415.7% |
| 2021-07-30 | +353.7% | −22.4% | +353.7% |
4,977 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-12 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
30%
+1.8%
n=20
Feb
30%
−6.1%
n=20
Mar
40%
+3.2%
n=20
Apr
50%
+4.4%
n=20
May
40%
−3.5%
n=20
Jun
40%
+0.9%
n=20
Jul
60%
+12.5%
n=20
Aug
45%
+9.4%
n=20
Sep
37%
−3.7%
n=19
Oct
55%
+2.0%
n=20
Nov
25%
−5.8%
n=20
Dec
55%
−1.4%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Rogers George Ted III | director | Purchase | 2,923,976 @ $1.71 | $5.0M | +2531.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,039,467 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Kovler Jordan | director | Purchase | 58,479 @ $1.71 | $100K | +18.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 383,885 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Irwin Dale | officer | Purchase | 58,479 @ $1.71 | $100K | +28.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 260,955 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Purchase | 58,479 @ $1.71 | $100K | +33.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 234,475 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | Kovler Jordan | director | Sale | 35,721 @ $2.45 | $88K | −9.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 325,406 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-24 | Irwin Dale | officer | Sale | 21,154 @ $2.45 | $52K | −9.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 202,476 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-24 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 14,738 @ $2.45 | $36K | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 175,996 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-02 | Irwin Dale | officer | Sale | 1,979 @ $1.28 | $3K | −1.9% of holding | +3.0% | +54.9% | 103,285 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 1,953 @ $1.28 | $2K | −2.0% of holding | +3.0% | +54.9% | 95,451 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Irwin Dale | officer | Sale | 6 @ $1.26 | $8 | −0.0% of holding | +3.0% | +54.9% | 105,264 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 5 @ $1.25 | $6 | −0.0% of holding | +3.0% | +54.9% | 97,404 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-13 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 609 @ $2.07 | $1K | −0.6% of holding | −17.4% | −45.5% | 97,409 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 622 @ $1.46 | $908 | −0.6% of holding | +31.4% | −15.4% | 98,018 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 5 @ $1.47 | $7 | −0.0% of holding | +31.4% | −15.4% | 98,640 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 615 @ $1.36 | $836 | −0.6% of holding | +0.1% | −30.1% | 98,645 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-04 | Irwin Dale | officer | Sale | 1,727 @ $1.50 | $3K | −1.6% of holding | −21.9% | −28.4% | 105,270 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 1,696 @ $1.50 | $3K | −1.7% of holding | −21.9% | −28.4% | 99,260 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-14 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 611 @ $1.88 | $1K | −0.6% of holding | −26.0% | −19.8% | 100,956 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 613 @ $1.45 | $889 | −0.6% of holding | +30.4% | +16.1% | 101,567 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-13 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 14 @ $1.47 | $21 | −0.0% of holding | +30.4% | +16.1% | 102,180 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-23 | Kovler Jordan | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $1.56 | $8K | +3.4% of holding | −27.2% | −28.9% | 152,912 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-21 | Irwin Dale | officer | Sale | 4,681 @ $1.30 | $6K | −4.2% of holding | −19.8% | −22.3% | 107,174 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 4,596 @ $1.30 | $6K | −4.3% of holding | −19.8% | −22.3% | 102,194 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Kovler Jordan | director | Sale | 3,133 @ $1.30 | $4K | −2.1% of holding | −19.8% | −22.3% | 147,912 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Krug Christopher J. | director | Purchase | 125,000 @ $1.32 | $165K | +100.0% of holding | +1.1% | −7.2% | 250,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-20 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Purchase | 10,000 @ $1.35 | $13K | +10.3% of holding | +1.1% | −7.2% | 106,790 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-20 | Kovler Jordan | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $1.30 | $6K | +3.4% of holding | +1.1% | −7.2% | 151,045 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-19 | Kovler Jordan | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $1.11 | $11K | +7.4% of holding | +11.9% | −13.4% | 146,045 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 618 @ $1.12 | $692 | −0.7% of holding | +37.7% | +45.2% | 84,053 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-24 | Krug Christopher J. | director | Purchase | 55,000 @ $0.83 | $46K | +24.8% of holding | +79.5% | +98.0% | 276,607 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-23 | Krug Christopher J. | director | Purchase | 70,000 @ $0.83 | $58K | +46.2% of holding | +113.9% | +118.6% | 221,607 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-14 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 618 @ $0.65 | $402 | −0.7% of holding | +42.9% | +170.0% | 84,671 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-28 | Irwin Dale | officer | Sale | 22,297 @ $0.81 | $18K | −18.4% of holding | +30.1% | +86.2% | 99,118 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-28 | Irwin Dale | officer | Sale | 1,144 @ $0.80 | $915 | −0.9% of holding | +30.1% | +86.2% | 121,528 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-28 | Irwin Dale | officer | Sale | 100 @ $0.81 | $81 | −0.1% of holding | +30.1% | +86.2% | 121,415 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-28 | Irwin Dale | officer | Sale | 13 @ $0.80 | $10 | −0.0% of holding | +30.1% | +86.2% | 121,515 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-27 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 22,945 @ $0.80 | $18K | −20.9% of holding | +31.9% | +79.1% | 86,697 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-27 | Kovler Jordan | director | Sale | 9,113 @ $0.80 | $7K | −6.0% of holding | +31.9% | +79.1% | 143,090 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-27 | Kovler Jordan | director | Sale | 9,100 @ $0.80 | $7K | −6.4% of holding | +31.9% | +79.1% | 133,990 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-27 | Kovler Jordan | director | Sale | 9,000 @ $0.80 | $7K | −6.8% of holding | +31.9% | +79.1% | 123,308 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-27 | Kovler Jordan | director | Sale | 1,682 @ $0.85 | $1K | −1.3% of holding | +31.9% | +79.1% | 132,308 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-27 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 1,408 @ $0.80 | $1K | −1.6% of holding | +31.9% | +79.1% | 85,289 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 738 @ $0.77 | $568 | −1.3% of holding | −12.8% | +63.6% | 54,127 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 425 @ $1.08 | $459 | −0.8% of holding | −11.5% | +27.8% | 55,150 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-13 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 282 @ $1.08 | $305 | −0.5% of holding | −11.5% | +27.8% | 54,865 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-13 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 3 @ $1.07 | $3 | −0.0% of holding | −11.5% | +27.8% | 55,147 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-03 | Irwin Dale | officer | Sale | 2,076 @ $1.29 | $3K | −3.0% of holding | −32.1% | +9.4% | 67,157 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-03 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 1,947 @ $1.29 | $3K | −3.4% of holding | −32.1% | +9.4% | 55,575 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-14 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 723 @ $1.63 | $1K | −1.2% of holding | −39.5% | +10.6% | 57,522 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-23 | Kovler Jordan | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $1.76 | $9K | +9.0% of holding | −9.5% | −37.5% | 60,291 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-17 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Sale | 595 @ $2.20 | $1K | −1.0% of holding | −14.2% | −47.5% | 58,245 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
38 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Rogers George Ted III | director | Conversion | 16,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Rogers George Ted III | director | Conversion | 16,000 | 3,055,467 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | NEUSCHELER MICHAEL P | director | Award / grant | 42,349 | 139,462 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Rogers George Ted III | director | Award / grant | 38,251 | 115,491 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Foley Robert | director | Award / grant | 37,158 | 37,158 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Wu Jacky | director | Award / grant | 37,158 | 37,158 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Rothschild Allan B. | director | Award / grant | 38,251 | 49,362 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | NEUSCHELER MICHAEL P | director | Award / grant | 60,000 | 97,113 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Rogers George Ted III | director | Award / grant | 60,000 | 77,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-20 | Kovler Jordan | director | Award / grant | 125,000 | 361,127 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-20 | Irwin Dale | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 223,630 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-20 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Award / grant | 35,000 | 190,734 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Atlas Capital Resources GP LLC | director | Other acquisition | 114,199 | 4,185,381 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | Atlas Capital Resources GP LLC | director | Other acquisition | 114,865 | 4,071,182 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Irwin Dale | officer | Withheld for tax | 39,655 | 173,630 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Withheld for tax | 34,010 | 156,441 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Kovler Jordan | director | Withheld for tax | 26,785 | 236,127 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Irwin Dale | officer | Award / grant | 110,000 | 213,285 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Kovler Jordan | director | Award / grant | 110,000 | 262,912 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Award / grant | 95,000 | 190,451 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-08 | Atlas Capital Resources GP LLC | director | Other acquisition | 79,320 | 3,956,317 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-09 | Zeynel Charles M. | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 83,493 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-09 | Krug Christopher J. | director | Award / grant | 22,500 | 174,107 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-09 | Fearn Kenneth Hopkins Jr. | director | Award / grant | 22,500 | 174,107 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-09 | Atlas Capital Resources GP LLC | director | Other acquisition | 102,286 | 3,876,997 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-18 | Zeynel Charles M. | director | Award / grant | 68,493 | 68,493 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-02 | Atlas Capital Resources GP LLC | director | Other acquisition | 131,937 | 3,774,711 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-19 | Irwin Dale | officer | Award / grant | 12,737 | 111,855 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-19 | Kovler Jordan | director | Award / grant | 12,737 | 136,045 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-19 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Award / grant | 12,737 | 96,790 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-17 | Fearn Kenneth Hopkins Jr. | director | Award / grant | 151,607 | 151,607 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-17 | Krug Christopher J. | director | Award / grant | 151,607 | 151,607 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-08 | Atlas Capital Resources GP LLC | director | Other acquisition | 90,954 | 3,642,774 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-27 | Irwin Dale | officer | Award / grant | 55,515 | 122,672 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-26 | Mulvihill Christian | officer | Award / grant | 55,515 | 109,642 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-26 | Kovler Jordan | director | Award / grant | 91,912 | 152,203 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-29 | Atlas Capital Resources GP LLC | director | Other acquisition | 752,742 | 3,551,820 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | Kovler Jordan | director | Withheld for tax | 12,991 | 55,291 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.