GRCThe Gorman-Rupp CompanyIndustrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $72.17 · now $72.17 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GRC has typically landed between $63.74 and $84.01 — a range of −11.7% to +16.4% from the issuance price $72.17.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($72.17) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GRC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $72.17 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$63.74worst · -11.7%$84.01best · +16.4%
  • now $72.17 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $73.05 (+1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $68.55–$77.56
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $63.74–$84.01
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-05−46.6%−46.6%+3.8%
2009-02-03−43.0%−43.0%+5.6%
2009-02-04−42.7%−43.0%+5.7%
3 best
2008-12-04+45.1%+0.0%+45.1%
2008-12-01+42.0%+0.0%+42.0%
2009-03-05+41.5%−4.6%+48.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
−1.4%
n=20
Feb
25%
−2.9%
n=20
Mar
75%
+3.2%
n=20
Apr
50%
+0.4%
n=20
May
65%
+2.3%
n=20
Jun
60%
+2.1%
n=20
Jul
60%
+3.3%
n=20
Aug
45%
−1.6%
n=20
Sep
40%
+0.3%
n=20
Oct
55%
+3.5%
n=20
Nov
85%
+4.5%
n=20
Dec
55%
+1.7%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$92$412026-08-26: 1 insider sale, $400K — Wischmeier D Patrick2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $400K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Wischmeier D Patrick — Sale on 2026-08-26, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-26Wischmeier D PatrickofficerSale5,153 @ $77.62$400K−78.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,409Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

63 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-07GORMAN JEFFREY SdirectorGift1,8801,388,459Form 4
2026-05-07GORMAN JEFFREY SdirectorGift3,360760,491Form 4
2026-05-07GORMAN JEFFREY SdirectorGift1,680113,921Form 4
2026-04-24McClelland Sonja KdirectorAward / grant1,34415,826Form 4
2026-04-24PETRELLA VINCENT KdirectorAward / grant1,34414,156Form 4
2026-04-24Reynolds Kenneth RdirectorAward / grant1,34435,406Form 4
2026-04-24LAKE CHRISTOPHER HdirectorAward / grant1,34444,945Form 4
2026-04-24BULLOCK DONALD HdirectorAward / grant1,34416,156Form 4
2026-04-24HARLAN M ANNdirectorAward / grant1,34432,662Form 4
2026-04-24Heminger Pamela AdirectorAward / grant1,3444,915Form 4
2026-04-01LAKE CHRISTOPHER HdirectorGift1,00043,601Form 4
2026-03-03Kerr JamesofficerWithheld for tax4,27548,349Form 4
2026-03-03King Scott AdirectorWithheld for tax9,21176,660Form 4
2026-03-03Burnell Brigette AofficerWithheld for tax3,56640,453Form 4
2026-03-03Wischmeier D PatrickofficerWithheld for tax1,06214,834Form 4
2026-03-03Morehead Angela MofficerWithheld for tax9249,896Form 4
2026-03-03Stoops Ronald FofficerWithheld for tax9127,752Form 4
2026-03-03Woodman Barbara AofficerWithheld for tax1,03313,413Form 4
2026-02-25Stoops Ronald FofficerAward / grant8628,661Form 4
2026-02-25Burnell Brigette AofficerAward / grant2,85244,010Form 4
2026-02-25Burnell Brigette AofficerAward / grant1,71541,158Form 4
2026-02-25Kerr JamesofficerAward / grant3,88149,455Form 4
2026-02-25Kerr JamesofficerAward / grant3,16052,615Form 4
2026-02-25Wischmeier D PatrickofficerAward / grant50414,963Form 4
2026-02-25Wischmeier D PatrickofficerAward / grant92415,887Form 4
2026-02-25Woodman Barbara AofficerAward / grant50413,513Form 4
2026-02-25Woodman Barbara AofficerAward / grant92414,437Form 4
2026-02-25Morehead Angela MofficerAward / grant5049,887Form 4
2026-02-25Morehead Angela MofficerAward / grant92410,811Form 4
2026-02-25King Scott AdirectorAward / grant6,21079,695Form 4
2026-02-25King Scott AdirectorAward / grant6,16785,862Form 4
2026-02-25Stoops Ronald FofficerAward / grant5047,790Form 4
2025-04-25Reynolds Kenneth RdirectorAward / grant2,55334,062Form 4
2025-04-25McClelland Sonja KdirectorAward / grant2,55314,482Form 4
2025-04-25Heminger Pamela AdirectorAward / grant2,5533,553Form 4
2025-04-25BULLOCK DONALD HdirectorAward / grant2,55314,812Form 4
2025-04-25LAKE CHRISTOPHER HdirectorAward / grant2,55342,601Form 4
2025-04-25HARLAN M ANNdirectorAward / grant2,55327,362Form 4
2025-04-25PETRELLA VINCENT KdirectorAward / grant2,55312,812Form 4
2025-03-06Kerr JamesofficerWithheld for tax2,96243,458Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.