Issued 2026-09-16 at $162.25 · now $162.25 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GPOR has typically landed between $137.49 and $191.37 — a range of −15.3% to +17.9% from the issuance price $162.25.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,318 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-05-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($162.25) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GPOR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $162.25 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $162.25 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $164.76 (+1.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $153.28–$176.23
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $137.49–$191.37
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-06-03 | −28.5% | −28.5% | +5.2% |
| 2022-06-09 | −27.8% | −30.1% | +0.4% |
| 2022-06-07 | −27.0% | −32.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-02-24 | +32.8% | +0.0% | +32.8% |
| 2022-02-25 | +32.3% | +0.0% | +32.3% |
| 2022-02-23 | +30.6% | +0.0% | +30.6% |
1,318 overlapping windows · 2021-05-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Willrath Matthew | officer | Sale | 325 @ $182.69 | $59K | −13.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,130 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | DELL'OSSO DOMENIC J JR | director | Purchase | 1,600 @ $160.61 | $257K | +7.0% of holding | +11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,349 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Martinez Jason Joseph | director | Sale | 400 @ $213.40 | $85K | −9.3% of holding | −15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,888 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | Zitkus Lester | officer | Sale | 1,873 @ $213.90 | $401K | −23.9% of holding | −18.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,948 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | SLUITER MICHAEL | officer | Sale | 2,055 @ $213.10 | $438K | −18.5% of holding | +0.8% | −27.7% | 9,031 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $210.25 | $210K | −8.3% of holding | +0.8% | −27.7% | 11,060 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $207.93 | $208K | −7.7% of holding | +0.8% | −27.7% | 12,060 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Willrath Matthew | officer | Sale | 497 @ $215.28 | $107K | −16.1% of holding | +0.8% | −27.7% | 2,589 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Cutt Timothy J. | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $209.13 | $523K | −9.5% of holding | +2.7% | −26.3% | 23,755 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Silver Point Capital L.P. | director | Sale | 84,416 @ $204.22 | $17.2M | −3.1% of holding | +2.8% | −25.9% | 2,605,729 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Silver Point Capital L.P. | director | Sale | 759,740 @ $204.22 | $155.2M | −22.0% of holding | +6.2% | −26.5% | 2,690,145 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | SLUITER MICHAEL | officer | Sale | 9,933 @ $210.00 | $2.1M | −45.3% of holding | +6.2% | −26.5% | 11,980 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | HODGES MICHAEL L | officer | Sale | 7,406 @ $209.43 | $1.6M | −21.0% of holding | +6.2% | −26.5% | 27,836 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | HODGES MICHAEL L | officer | Sale | 3,601 @ $211.40 | $761K | −14.1% of holding | +6.2% | −26.5% | 21,936 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Cutt Timothy J. | director | Sale | 2,348 @ $207.58 | $487K | −7.5% of holding | +6.2% | −26.5% | 28,907 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | HODGES MICHAEL L | officer | Sale | 2,299 @ $210.46 | $484K | −8.3% of holding | +6.2% | −26.5% | 25,537 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Cutt Timothy J. | director | Sale | 2,152 @ $209.44 | $451K | −7.4% of holding | +6.2% | −26.5% | 26,755 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | HODGES MICHAEL L | officer | Sale | 1,824 @ $212.24 | $387K | −8.3% of holding | +6.2% | −26.5% | 20,112 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | HODGES MICHAEL L | officer | Sale | 1,639 @ $213.48 | $350K | −8.1% of holding | +6.2% | −26.5% | 18,473 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Cutt Timothy J. | director | Sale | 500 @ $211.05 | $106K | −1.9% of holding | +6.2% | −26.5% | 26,255 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Zitkus Lester | officer | Sale | 2,439 @ $184.58 | $450K | −19.4% of holding | +14.0% | −28.3% | 10,127 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Zitkus Lester | officer | Sale | 1,606 @ $186.68 | $300K | −15.9% of holding | +14.0% | −28.3% | 8,521 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Zitkus Lester | officer | Sale | 700 @ $187.27 | $131K | −8.2% of holding | +14.0% | −28.3% | 7,821 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Rucker Matthew | officer | Sale | 9,798 @ $186.67 | $1.8M | −43.2% of holding | +13.5% | −22.7% | 12,893 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-06 | Rucker Matthew | officer | Sale | 934 @ $185.97 | $174K | −4.0% of holding | +13.5% | −22.7% | 22,691 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-05 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Sale | 11,929 @ $191.87 | $2.3M | −49.2% of holding | +9.5% | −22.2% | 12,340 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-30 | Cutt Timothy J. | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $214.74 | $537K | −7.4% of holding | −4.9% | −29.7% | 31,255 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Silver Point Capital L.P. | director | Sale | 45,546 @ $219.56 | $10.0M | −1.3% of holding | −3.6% | −31.3% | 3,449,885 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Silver Point Capital L.P. | director | Sale | 244,489 @ $219.56 | $53.7M | −6.5% of holding | −6.8% | −35.4% | 3,495,431 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Cutt Timothy J. | director | Sale | 2,635 @ $210.45 | $555K | −6.9% of holding | −4.2% | −24.4% | 35,473 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Wolf David D | director | Sale | 1,525 @ $210.27 | $321K | −25.5% of holding | −4.2% | −24.4% | 4,462 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | Martinez Jason Joseph | director | Sale | 600 @ $171.57 | $103K | −12.3% of holding | +6.5% | +10.4% | 4,288 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-04 | Martinez Jason Joseph | director | Sale | 300 @ $194.61 | $58K | −5.5% of holding | −8.4% | −1.2% | 5,188 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Martinez Jason Joseph | director | Sale | 300 @ $192.83 | $58K | −5.8% of holding | −8.4% | −1.2% | 4,888 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Martinez Jason Joseph | director | Sale | 100 @ $193.50 | $19K | −1.8% of holding | −8.4% | −1.2% | 5,488 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | Willrath Matthew | officer | Sale | 633 @ $193.83 | $123K | −21.3% of holding | −1.4% | −3.3% | 2,342 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-20 | Zitkus Lester | officer | Sale | 1,914 @ $195.47 | $374K | −19.7% of holding | +5.4% | −3.5% | 7,821 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | SLUITER MICHAEL | officer | Sale | 2,571 @ $198.00 | $509K | −19.8% of holding | −2.1% | −9.5% | 10,421 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-13 | Silver Point Capital L.P. | director | Sale | 686,986 @ $194.84 | $133.9M | −25.6% of holding | −5.6% | −10.2% | 1,994,323 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Sale | 200 @ $197.37 | $39K | −1.6% of holding | −5.6% | −10.2% | 12,340 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $196.59 | $393K | −13.8% of holding | −5.3% | −10.6% | 12,540 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Wolf David D | director | Sale | 1,927 @ $194.00 | $374K | −27.0% of holding | −5.3% | −10.6% | 5,217 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Sale | 1,800 @ $193.55 | $348K | −10.4% of holding | −5.3% | −10.6% | 15,540 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $194.57 | $195K | −6.4% of holding | −5.3% | −10.6% | 14,540 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Willrath Matthew | officer | Sale | 230 @ $194.10 | $45K | −6.6% of holding | −5.3% | −10.6% | 3,236 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Sale | 2,150 @ $171.05 | $368K | −11.0% of holding | +13.1% | −12.3% | 17,340 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-13 | Silver Point Capital L.P. | director | Sale | 429,253 @ $185.22 | $79.5M | −13.8% of holding | −7.9% | −8.3% | 2,681,309 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-31 | Martinez Jason Joseph | director | Sale | 868 @ $181.61 | $158K | −15.3% of holding | −3.6% | −7.1% | 4,818 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-19 | Silver Point Capital L.P. | director | Sale | 529,410 @ $162.81 | $86.2M | −14.5% of holding | +11.4% | +16.6% | 3,110,562 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
80 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Secrist Bradley Neil | officer | Withheld for tax | 132 | 1,900 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Reganato David A | director | Award / grant | 1,028 | 1,028 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Silver Point Capital L.P. | director | Award / grant | 1,028 | 1,028 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Wolf David D | director | Award / grant | 1,028 | 5,490 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Shafer-Malicki Mary | director | Award / grant | 1,028 | 4,164 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | SLUITER MICHAEL | officer | Award / grant | 1,307 | 10,338 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Martinez Jason Joseph | director | Award / grant | 1,028 | 4,916 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Powers Jean Marie | director | Award / grant | 1,028 | 4,129 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Cutt Timothy J. | director | Award / grant | 1,028 | 29,513 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | DELL'OSSO DOMENIC J JR | director | Award / grant | 22,749 | 22,749 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Willrath Matthew | officer | Withheld for tax | 134 | 2,455 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-03 | HODGES MICHAEL L | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,480 | 16,993 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Cutt Timothy J. | director | Award / grant | 4,730 | 28,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,073 | 13,060 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Rucker Matthew | officer | Withheld for tax | 966 | 14,447 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | SLUITER MICHAEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 894 | 11,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | REINHART JOHN K. | director | Withheld for tax | 4,335 | 76,164 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | HODGES MICHAEL L | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,522 | 35,242 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Rucker Matthew | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,314 | 15,413 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,179 | 14,133 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | SLUITER MICHAEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 838 | 21,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Willrath Matthew | officer | Withheld for tax | 249 | 3,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Award / grant | 2,972 | 15,312 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | HODGES MICHAEL L | officer | Award / grant | 5,272 | 36,764 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | SLUITER MICHAEL | officer | Award / grant | 2,397 | 22,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Rucker Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 3,834 | 16,727 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Willrath Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 993 | 3,335 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | REINHART JOHN K. | director | Award / grant | 11,502 | 80,499 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-24 | REINHART JOHN K. | director | Withheld for tax | 3,021 | 68,997 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | REINHART JOHN K. | director | Withheld for tax | 24,098 | 72,018 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | HODGES MICHAEL L | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,825 | 31,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Craine Patrick K. | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,487 | 24,269 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Rucker Matthew | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,542 | 23,625 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | SLUITER MICHAEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,914 | 20,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Zitkus Lester | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,821 | 12,566 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Rucker Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 19,274 | 32,167 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | HODGES MICHAEL L | officer | Award / grant | 26,720 | 43,317 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | REINHART JOHN K. | director | Award / grant | 54,558 | 96,116 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Zitkus Lester | officer | Award / grant | 8,566 | 16,387 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | SLUITER MICHAEL | officer | Award / grant | 17,847 | 28,268 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.