GPGIGPGI, Inc.Industrials · Manufacturing - Metal Fabricationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.92 · now $11.92 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GPGI has typically landed between $9.65 and $14.91 — a range of −19.0% to +25.1% from the issuance price $11.92.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,440 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-11-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.92) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GPGI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.92 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$9.65worst · -19.0%$14.91best · +25.1%
  • now $11.92 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.94 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11–$12.88
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.65–$14.91
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,440 windows spanning 2020-11-19 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-02-11−33.9%−33.9%+0.0%
2026-05-06−31.9%−33.7%+0.0%
2026-02-12−31.8%−33.1%+0.0%
3 best
2024-08-07+56.9%+0.0%+57.4%
2024-03-04+53.9%+0.0%+53.9%
2024-08-05+51.4%−1.0%+55.9%

1,440 overlapping windows · 2020-11-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+7.4%
n=6
Feb
50%
−1.2%
n=6
Mar
50%
+2.8%
n=6
Apr
67%
−1.2%
n=6
May
17%
−1.7%
n=6
Jun
67%
+1.4%
n=6
Jul
67%
+2.8%
n=6
Aug
83%
+11.6%
n=6
Sep
67%
+1.3%
n=6
Oct
60%
+0.9%
n=5
Nov
40%
−3.7%
n=5
Dec
33%
−2.8%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$26$122026-06-11: 1 insider purchase, $995K — Knott Thomas R.2026-05-26: 1 insider purchase, $50K — Moriarty Kevin M2026-05-14: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Mikkilineni Krishna2026-05-13: 1 insider purchase, $50K — Schoen Kurt2026-05-12: 1 insider purchase, $51K — Loree Rebecca Corbin2026-03-17: 3 insider purchases, $902K — Knott Thomas R., Cote John D., Schoen Kurt2026-03-17: 2 insider sales, $462K — THOMPSON JANE J. …2026-03: 3 open-market purchases, $902K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $462K2026-05: 4 open-market purchases, $251K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $995K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Knott Thomas R. — Purchase on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Moriarty Kevin M — Purchase on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Mikkilineni Krishna — Purchase on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schoen Kurt — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Loree Rebecca Corbin — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Knott Thomas R. — Purchase on 2026-03-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector THOMPSON JANE J. — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector THOMPSON JANE J. — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cote John D. — Purchase on 2026-03-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schoen Kurt — Purchase on 2026-03-17, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-11Knott Thomas R.directorPurchase85,250 @ $11.67$995K+193.8% of holding+18.3%not yet — horizon still open129,250Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-26Moriarty Kevin MdirectorPurchase3,956 @ $12.64$50K+5.9% of holding+16.8%not yet — horizon still open71,011Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-14Mikkilineni KrishnadirectorPurchase8,106 @ $12.34$100K+300.5% of holding+16.4%not yet — horizon still open10,804Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Schoen KurtofficerPurchase4,000 @ $12.58$50K+0.7% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open586,317Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12Loree Rebecca CorbindirectorPurchase3,925 @ $12.87$51K+6.6% of holding−5.1%not yet — horizon still open63,220Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-17Knott Thomas R.directorPurchase44,000 @ $17.08$752Kownership Δ n/a−10.4%−44.0%44,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-17THOMPSON JANE J.directorSale13,667 @ $16.91$231K−14.0% of holding−10.4%−44.0%83,813Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-17THOMPSON JANE J.directorSale13,667 @ $16.91$231K−14.0% of holding−10.4%−44.0%83,813Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-17Cote John D.directorPurchase5,800 @ $17.10$99Kownership Δ n/a−10.4%−44.0%5,800Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-17Schoen KurtofficerPurchase3,000 @ $17.00$51Kownership Δ n/a−10.4%−44.0%3,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

18 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-11DEANGELO JOSEPH JdirectorAward / grant30,73830,738Form 4
2026-06-11DEANGELO JOSEPH JdirectorAward / grant15,36915,369Form 4
2026-06-11Galant PauldirectorAward / grant30,73830,738Form 4
2026-06-11Galant PauldirectorAward / grant10,24610,246Form 4
2026-06-11Hughes Brian F.directorAward / grant30,73830,738Form 4
2026-06-11James Mark R.directorAward / grant40,98440,984Form 4
2026-06-11Loree Rebecca CorbindirectorAward / grant51,23051,230Form 4
2026-06-11Loree Rebecca CorbindirectorAward / grant10,24610,246Form 4
2026-06-11Mikkilineni KrishnadirectorAward / grant30,73830,738Form 4
2026-06-11Mikkilineni KrishnadirectorAward / grant12,29512,295Form 4
2026-06-11Moriarty Kevin MdirectorAward / grant71,72271,722Form 4
2026-06-11Moriarty Kevin MdirectorAward / grant10,24610,246Form 4
2026-06-11THOMPSON JANE J.directorAward / grant30,73830,738Form 4
2026-06-11Cote John D.directorAward / grant30,73830,738Form 4
2026-02-26COTE DAVID MdirectorAward / grant1,265,0321,265,032Form 4
2026-02-26Knott Thomas R.directorAward / grant1,150,0291,150,029Form 4
2026-02-26Schoen KurtofficerAward / grant143,754143,754Form 4
2026-01-22Robinson GrahamdirectorAward / grant178,926178,926Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.