Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.50 · now $35.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GPCR has typically landed between $25.21 and $51.49 — a range of −29.0% to +45.0% from the issuance price $35.50.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
885 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-02-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GPCR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $35.5 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $35.18 (-0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $30.22–$40.14
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $25.21–$51.49
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-11-20 | −38.3% | −38.3% | +20.0% |
| 2025-03-07 | −36.7% | −36.7% | +0.0% |
| 2025-03-06 | −35.7% | −35.7% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-09-12 | +119.5% | +0.0% | +119.5% |
| 2023-09-13 | +118.0% | +0.0% | +118.0% |
| 2025-11-07 | +109.9% | −3.7% | +109.9% |
885 overlapping windows · 2023-02-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Lin Xichen | officer | Sale | 4,539 @ $47.20 | $214K | −97.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 100 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Lin Xichen | officer | Sale | 1,300 @ $45.86 | $60K | −21.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,639 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Lin Xichen | officer | Sale | 100 @ $47.83 | $5K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Lin Xichen | officer | Sale | 3,020 @ $53.13 | $160K | −76.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 919 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Lin Xichen | officer | Sale | 519 @ $54.20 | $28K | −56.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 400 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Lin Xichen | officer | Sale | 400 @ $55.05 | $22K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Lin Xichen | officer | Sale | 3,100 @ $49.29 | $153K | −78.7% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 839 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Lin Xichen | officer | Sale | 839 @ $50.03 | $42K | −100.0% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 16,085 @ $50.07 | $805K | −50.0% of holding | −1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,086 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 1,367 @ $50.07 | $68K | −50.0% of holding | −1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,369 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Lin Xichen | officer | Sale | 6,278 @ $50.80 | $319K | −79.7% of holding | +3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,600 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Lin Xichen | officer | Sale | 1,600 @ $51.71 | $83K | −100.0% of holding | +3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Lin Xichen | officer | Sale | 7,878 @ $49.08 | $387K | −100.0% of holding | +0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 16,085 @ $55.07 | $886K | −33.3% of holding | −35.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,171 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 1,367 @ $55.07 | $75K | −33.3% of holding | −35.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,736 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 6,498 @ $84.22 | $547K | −11.8% of holding | −14.7% | −52.5% | 48,486 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 5,477 @ $82.10 | $450K | −8.5% of holding | −14.7% | −52.5% | 58,864 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 3,880 @ $83.35 | $323K | −6.6% of holding | −14.7% | −52.5% | 54,984 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 552 @ $84.22 | $46K | −11.8% of holding | −14.7% | −52.5% | 4,123 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 465 @ $82.10 | $38K | −8.5% of holding | −14.7% | −52.5% | 5,005 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 330 @ $83.35 | $28K | −6.6% of holding | −14.7% | −52.5% | 4,675 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 230 @ $85.04 | $20K | −0.5% of holding | −14.7% | −52.5% | 48,256 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 20 @ $85.04 | $2K | −0.5% of holding | −14.7% | −52.5% | 4,103 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 16,635 @ $61.05 | $1.0M | −51.7% of holding | +93.0% | +13.8% | 15,535 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 15,535 @ $61.45 | $955K | −100.0% of holding | +93.0% | +13.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 8,337 @ $92.52 | $771K | −17.3% of holding | +93.0% | +13.8% | 39,918 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 5,589 @ $94.61 | $529K | −14.8% of holding | +93.0% | +13.8% | 32,170 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 2,159 @ $94.00 | $203K | −5.4% of holding | +93.0% | +13.8% | 37,759 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 1,414 @ $61.05 | $86K | −51.7% of holding | +93.0% | +13.8% | 1,321 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 1,320 @ $61.45 | $81K | −99.9% of holding | +93.0% | +13.8% | 1 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 709 @ $92.52 | $66K | −17.3% of holding | +93.0% | +13.8% | 3,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 475 @ $94.61 | $45K | −14.8% of holding | +93.0% | +13.8% | 2,735 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 183 @ $94.00 | $17K | −5.4% of holding | +93.0% | +13.8% | 3,210 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 26,310 @ $17.87 | $470K | −1.7% of holding | +5.1% | +386.4% | 1,515,558 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-06 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 41 @ $30.54 | $1K | −100.0% of holding | −25.3% | −51.4% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
92 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Lin Xichen | officer | Option exercise | 17,817 | 246,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Lin Xichen | officer | Conversion | 17,817 | 228,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Lin Xichen | officer | Option exercise | 17,817 | 125,081 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Lin Xichen | officer | Conversion | 5,939 | 5,939 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lin Xichen | officer | Option exercise | 11,817 | 240,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lin Xichen | officer | Conversion | 3,939 | 3,939 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lin Xichen | officer | Conversion | 11,817 | 228,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lin Xichen | officer | Option exercise | 11,817 | 142,898 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Berrios John Joseph | officer | Award / grant | 140,766 | 140,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Berrios John Joseph | officer | Award / grant | 174,612 | 174,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lin Xichen | officer | Option exercise | 11,817 | 240,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lin Xichen | officer | Conversion | 3,939 | 3,939 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lin Xichen | officer | Conversion | 11,817 | 228,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lin Xichen | officer | Option exercise | 11,817 | 154,715 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-14 | Lin Xichen | officer | Option exercise | 23,634 | 252,594 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-14 | Lin Xichen | officer | Conversion | 7,878 | 7,878 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-14 | Lin Xichen | officer | Conversion | 23,634 | 228,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-14 | Lin Xichen | officer | Option exercise | 23,634 | 166,532 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Lin Xichen | officer | Option exercise | 23,634 | 252,594 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Lin Xichen | officer | Option exercise | 23,634 | 190,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Lin Xichen | officer | Conversion | 23,634 | 228,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Lin Xichen | officer | Conversion | 7,878 | 7,878 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | WELCH DANIEL G | director | Award / grant | 39,453 | 39,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | DOBMEIER ERIC | director | Award / grant | 39,453 | 39,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | LOVE TED W | director | Award / grant | 39,453 | 39,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Russell Angus C. | director | Award / grant | 39,453 | 39,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | TETLOW SHARON | director | Award / grant | 39,453 | 39,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Waldstreicher Joanne | director | Award / grant | 39,453 | 39,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Lang Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 184,614 | 184,614 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Lang Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 223,776 | 223,776 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Hall Ashley | officer | Award / grant | 59,073 | 59,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Yoon Jun | officer | Award / grant | 104,085 | 1,401,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Yoon Jun | officer | Award / grant | 128,892 | 128,892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Lin Xichen | officer | Award / grant | 43,368 | 228,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Lin Xichen | officer | Award / grant | 53,703 | 53,703 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Ma Yingli | officer | Award / grant | 32,526 | 139,917 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Ma Yingli | officer | Award / grant | 40,278 | 40,278 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Hall Ashley | officer | Award / grant | 47,706 | 155,187 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Coll Crespo Blas | officer | Award / grant | 93,984 | 93,984 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Coll Crespo Blas | officer | Award / grant | 75,897 | 280,878 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.