GORO · TickerCove

GOROGoldgroup Mining Inc.Basic Materials · Other Precious Metalsas of 2026-09-17

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-17 at $3.51 · now $3.51 (2026-09-17, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-17 close, GORO has typically landed between $2.76 and $5.28 — a range of −21.4% to +50.5% from the issuance price $3.51.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,828 overlapping 1 month windows · 2011-04-06 – 2026-08-18 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,377 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-17 issuance close ($3.51) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-16, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$3.51 · 35% of range

$2 low$6.28 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-17 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,377 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.0%

typical move · IQR 18.5%

−21.4%worst (p90)+50.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where GORO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-17 close of $3.51 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $3.51 (+0.0%)
typical $3.51 (+0.0%)
middle 50% $3.19–$3.83
90% range $2.76–$5.28

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,828 windows spanning 2011-04-06 to 2026-09-17. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-24	−66.7%	−66.7%	+0.0%
2020-03-06	−66.7%	−66.7%	+0.0%
2024-01-18	−66.7%	−66.7%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-06-29	+300.0%	+0.0%	+400.0%
2024-08-05	+250.0%	+0.0%	+250.0%
2020-07-16	+250.0%	+0.0%	+250.0%

3,828 overlapping windows · 2011-04-06 – 2026-09-17 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

53%

+15.3%

n=15

Feb

40%

+12.6%

n=15

Mar

47%

+3.5%

n=15

Apr

27%

−2.4%

n=15

May

19%

−2.3%

n=16

Jun

19%

−1.8%

n=16

Jul

38%

+18.8%

n=16

Aug

44%

+14.8%

n=16

Sep

19%

−7.1%

n=16

Oct

27%

−5.1%

n=15

Nov

27%

−8.9%

n=15

Dec

27%

+5.4%

n=15

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

33 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-30	LITTLE RONALD	director	Award / grant	11,082	11,082	Form 4
2026-06-30	MURPHY LILA A	director	Award / grant	5,565	5,565	Form 4
2026-03-31	LITTLE RONALD	director	Award / grant	12,060	12,060	Form 4
2026-03-31	MURPHY LILA A	director	Award / grant	6,056	6,056	Form 4
2026-03-06	PALMIERE ALLEN J	director	Award / grant	332,033	1,313,591	Form 4
2026-03-06	LITTLE RONALD	director	Award / grant	158,800	158,800	Form 4
2026-03-06	Alexandri Armando	officer	Award / grant	141,615	141,615	Form 4
2026-03-06	HOLYOAK CHET	officer	Award / grant	129,683	323,534	Form 4
2026-03-06	MURPHY LILA A	director	Award / grant	127,040	127,040	Form 4
2026-03-06	Gianulis Peter Lawrence	director	Award / grant	63,520	63,520	Form 4
2025-12-31	LITTLE RONALD	director	Award / grant	14,228	14,228	Form 4
2025-12-31	MURPHY LILA A	director	Award / grant	8,573	8,573	Form 4
2025-09-30	LITTLE RONALD	director	Award / grant	16,051	16,051	Form 4
2025-09-30	MURPHY LILA A	director	Award / grant	9,672	9,672	Form 4
2025-06-30	LITTLE RONALD	director	Award / grant	19,778	19,778	Form 4
2025-06-30	MURPHY LILA A	director	Award / grant	11,918	11,918	Form 4
2025-03-31	LITTLE RONALD	director	Award / grant	21,845	21,845	Form 4
2025-03-31	MURPHY LILA A	director	Award / grant	13,163	13,163	Form 4
2025-03-21	Reyes Alberto	officer	Withheld for tax	10,772	410,747	Form 4
2025-03-17	Reyes Alberto	officer	Withheld for tax	14,991	421,519	Form 4
2025-03-17	HOLYOAK CHET	officer	Withheld for tax	2,142	193,851	Form 4
2025-03-15	PALMIERE ALLEN J	director	Disposition	131,801	981,558	Form 4
2025-03-15	Reyes Alberto	officer	Disposition	65,900	436,510	Form 4
2025-03-15	Reyes Alberto	officer	Option exercise	65,900	0	Form 4
2025-03-15	PALMIERE ALLEN J	director	Option exercise	131,801	0	Form 4
2025-03-15	PALMIERE ALLEN J	director	Option exercise	131,801	1,113,359	Form 4
2025-03-15	Reyes Alberto	officer	Option exercise	65,900	502,410	Form 4
2025-03-15	Reyes Alberto	officer	Option exercise	65,900	502,410	Form 4
2025-03-15	PALMIERE ALLEN J	director	Option exercise	131,801	1,113,359	Form 4
2025-01-01	HOLYOAK CHET	officer	Withheld for tax	11,542	195,993	Form 4
2025-01-01	HOLYOAK CHET	officer	Withheld for tax	11,542	207,535	Form 4
2024-12-31	LITTLE RONALD	director	Award / grant	71,064	71,064	Form 4
2024-12-31	MURPHY LILA A	director	Award / grant	42,821	42,821	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-181% elapsed2026-10-16

Logged immutably 2026-09-18; scored automatically on 2026-10-16 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i