Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.55 · now $2.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GOGO has typically landed between $1.93 and $3.24 — a range of −24.2% to +26.9% from the issuance price $2.55.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,308 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-06-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GOGO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.55 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.47 (-3.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.22–$2.72
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.93–$3.24
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-13 | −64.8% | −64.8% | +0.2% |
| 2020-02-11 | −64.5% | −64.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −58.3% | −64.1% | +2.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-08-17 | +212.3% | −2.6% | +212.3% |
| 2020-08-06 | +206.1% | −0.9% | +206.1% |
| 2020-08-18 | +196.8% | +0.0% | +220.5% |
3,308 overlapping windows · 2013-06-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | TOWNSEND CHARLES C | director | Purchase | 158,591 @ $4.57 | $724K | +61.0% of holding | −2.8% | −57.0% | 418,686 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | TOWNSEND CHARLES C | director | Purchase | 91,409 @ $4.54 | $415K | +54.2% of holding | −1.2% | −56.1% | 260,095 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | THORNE OAKLEIGH | director | Purchase | 150,000 @ $5.35 | $803K | +18.7% of holding | −6.5% | −40.2% | 954,098 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | THORNE OAKLEIGH | director | Purchase | 20,000 @ $5.24 | $105K | +2.6% of holding | −6.5% | −40.2% | 804,098 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | TOWNSEND CHARLES C | director | Purchase | 31,228 @ $7.17 | $224K | +22.7% of holding | −37.9% | −51.0% | 168,686 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | TOWNSEND CHARLES C | director | Purchase | 58,763 @ $6.87 | $404K | +74.7% of holding | −34.0% | −54.2% | 137,458 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | TOWNSEND CHARLES C | director | Purchase | 78,695 @ $7.07 | $556K | ownership Δ n/a | −32.4% | −52.7% | 78,695 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | TOWNSEND CHARLES C | director | Purchase | 31,314 @ $7.10 | $222K | +1.6% of holding | −35.2% | −52.7% | 1,972,002 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Moore Christopher John | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $12.11 | $121K | ownership Δ n/a | −16.7% | −75.2% | 10,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | Begler Michael | officer | Sale | 107,136 @ $15.00 | $1.6M | −88.1% of holding | +3.5% | −80.4% | 14,454 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-22 | Silver (Equity) Holdings, LP | director | Sale | 8,500,000 @ $11.00 | $93.5M | −67.1% of holding | +7.9% | −59.9% | 4,174,482 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | CRANDALL ROBERT L | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $11.84 | $296K | +31.7% of holding | −1.4% | −54.7% | 103,934 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | TOWNSEND CHARLES C | director | Purchase | 101,956 @ $6.74 | $687K | +5.5% of holding | +5.6% | +11.5% | 1,940,688 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | TOWNSEND CHARLES C | director | Purchase | 98,044 @ $6.57 | $644K | +5.6% of holding | +15.0% | +27.8% | 1,838,732 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | THORNE OAKLEIGH | director | Purchase | 45,259 @ $6.57 | $297K | +0.2% of holding | +15.0% | +27.8% | 27,303,395 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | THORNE OAKLEIGH | director | Purchase | 30,173 @ $6.57 | $198K | +4.4% of holding | +15.0% | +27.8% | 711,341 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
207 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | ANDERSON MARK M. | director | Award / grant | 19,354 | 138,984 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | WILLIAMS HARRIS N | director | Award / grant | 15,322 | 195,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | JONES HUGH W | director | Award / grant | 15,322 | 184,285 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Koch Monte JM | director | Award / grant | 15,322 | 62,912 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | THORNE OAKLEIGH | director | Award / grant | 15,322 | 67,748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Minihan Michael A | director | Award / grant | 15,322 | 42,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | TOWNSEND CHARLES C | director | Award / grant | 19,354 | 256,206 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | GTCR Partners XII/A&C LP | director | Award / grant | 19,354 | 138,984 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | MAYES MICHELE COLEMAN | director | Award / grant | 16,129 | 231,323 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Gordon Crystal L | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,101 | 86,511 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Goldfine Leigh | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,254 | 29,114 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Gordon Crystal L | officer | Option exercise | 17,743 | 35,484 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Goldfine Leigh | officer | Option exercise | 4,365 | 8,729 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Gordon Crystal L | officer | Option exercise | 17,743 | 91,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Goldfine Leigh | officer | Option exercise | 4,365 | 30,368 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Gordon Crystal L | officer | Option exercise | 17,743 | 91,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Goldfine Leigh | officer | Option exercise | 4,365 | 30,368 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | WILLIAMS HARRIS N | director | Award / grant | 11,815 | 180,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | ANDERSON MARK M. | director | Award / grant | 14,925 | 119,630 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Koch Monte JM | director | Award / grant | 11,815 | 47,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | THORNE OAKLEIGH | director | Award / grant | 11,815 | 52,426 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | TOWNSEND CHARLES C | director | Award / grant | 14,925 | 236,852 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | MAYES MICHELE COLEMAN | director | Award / grant | 12,437 | 215,194 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | JONES HUGH W | director | Award / grant | 11,815 | 168,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Minihan Michael A | director | Award / grant | 11,815 | 27,537 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | GTCR Partners XII/A&C LP | director | Award / grant | 14,925 | 119,630 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Moore Christopher John | director | Withheld for tax | 73,703 | 251,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Cotner Zachary | officer | Withheld for tax | 22,110 | 34,055 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gordon Crystal L | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,592 | 73,869 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Olson Hayden | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,281 | 13,979 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Goldfine Leigh | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,401 | 26,003 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Cotner Zachary | officer | Option exercise | 50,539 | 151,617 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gordon Crystal L | officer | Option exercise | 43,801 | 131,401 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Moore Christopher John | director | Option exercise | 168,464 | 505,390 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Olson Hayden | officer | Option exercise | 13,477 | 40,434 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Goldfine Leigh | officer | Option exercise | 4,874 | 14,621 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Moore Christopher John | director | Option exercise | 168,464 | 324,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Cotner Zachary | officer | Option exercise | 50,539 | 56,165 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Olson Hayden | officer | Option exercise | 13,477 | 17,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Cotner Zachary | officer | Option exercise | 50,539 | 56,165 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.