Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.46 · now $11.46 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GO has typically landed between $9.47 and $13.74 — a range of −17.4% to +19.9% from the issuance price $11.46.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,787 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-06-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.46) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.46 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $11.46 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.38 (-0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.47–$12.28
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.47–$13.74
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,787 windows spanning 2019-06-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-02-18 | −43.5% | −43.5% | +0.4% |
| 2026-02-19 | −43.2% | −43.2% | +1.6% |
| 2026-02-13 | −43.1% | −43.1% | +0.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-10-30 | +51.1% | +0.0% | +52.9% |
| 2025-07-08 | +44.0% | −0.2% | +44.0% |
| 2025-07-10 | +43.9% | +0.0% | +44.3% |
1,787 overlapping windows · 2019-06-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
57%
−0.9%
n=7
Feb
43%
−5.6%
n=7
Mar
86%
+4.9%
n=7
Apr
71%
+5.3%
n=7
May
43%
−3.1%
n=7
Jun
86%
+5.7%
n=7
Jul
63%
+2.5%
n=8
Aug
38%
+3.0%
n=8
Sep
0%
−10.3%
n=8
Oct
43%
−3.9%
n=7
Nov
57%
+5.7%
n=7
Dec
14%
−6.5%
n=7
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Jaros Carey F. | director | Purchase | 15,000 @ $11.70 | $176K | +33.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 60,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Kerr Frank Michael | officer | Sale | 1,432 @ $11.30 | $16K | −2.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 54,342 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Miller Paul Blaine | officer | Purchase | 8,000 @ $10.90 | $87K | +12.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 72,171 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Miller Paul Blaine | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $9.50 | $48K | +8.5% of holding | +1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 64,171 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | Miller Paul Blaine | officer | Purchase | 10,000 @ $9.37 | $94K | +20.3% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,171 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Sale | 1,851 @ $7.00 | $13K | −2.3% of holding | +11.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 77,287 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Ragatz Erik D. | director | Purchase | 125,000 @ $7.06 | $883K | +23.7% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 651,500 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | Potter Jason J. N. | director | Purchase | 2,556 @ $6.68 | $17K | +0.4% of holding | +11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 687,174 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Potter Jason J. N. | director | Purchase | 110,252 @ $6.35 | $700K | +19.2% of holding | +16.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 684,618 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Potter Jason J. N. | director | Purchase | 286,097 @ $5.90 | $1.7M | +99.2% of holding | +26.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 574,366 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Ragatz Erik D. | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $5.75 | $288K | +10.5% of holding | +26.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 526,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-18 | Ragatz Erik D. | director | Purchase | 33,997 @ $5.85 | $199K | +7.7% of holding | +20.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 476,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Ragatz Erik D. | director | Purchase | 16,003 @ $5.85 | $94K | +3.8% of holding | +17.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 442,503 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-16 | Ragatz Erik D. | director | Purchase | 100,000 @ $6.09 | $609K | +30.6% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 426,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Wilson Steven K. | officer | Sale | 4,721 @ $6.06 | $29K | −3.8% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 120,171 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Sale | 3,705 @ $6.06 | $22K | −4.5% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 79,138 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Thompson Luke D | officer | Sale | 3,425 @ $6.06 | $21K | −3.6% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 92,813 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Ragatz Erik D. | director | Purchase | 125,000 @ $6.00 | $750K | +62.0% of holding | +9.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 326,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Jaros Carey F. | director | Purchase | 40,000 @ $6.26 | $250K | +110.9% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,066 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Sale | 1,630 @ $6.30 | $10K | −8.1% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,408 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Lindberg Eric J. Jr. | director | Purchase | 275,000 @ $5.98 | $1.6M | +163.0% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 443,705 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | York Jeffrey | director | Purchase | 118,000 @ $5.82 | $687K | +5900.0% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 120,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Potter Jason J. N. | director | Sale | 67,397 @ $5.84 | $394K | −40.0% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 101,095 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Wilson Steven K. | officer | Sale | 5,141 @ $5.84 | $30K | −4.0% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 124,892 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | MILLER CHRISTOPHER M | officer | Sale | 5,024 @ $5.84 | $29K | −11.5% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,675 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Sale | 4,053 @ $5.84 | $24K | −16.8% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,038 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Thompson Luke D | officer | Sale | 3,785 @ $5.84 | $22K | −9.6% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,523 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | York Jeffrey | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $5.72 | $11K | ownership Δ n/a | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | BACHMAN JOHN E. | director | Purchase | 11,442 @ $6.46 | $74K | +18.5% of holding | +7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 73,367 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | BACHMAN JOHN E. | director | Purchase | 4,558 @ $6.45 | $29K | +7.9% of holding | +7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 61,925 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Wilson Steven K. | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $12.53 | $313K | −17.6% of holding | −8.1% | −45.1% | 116,923 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Wilson Steven K. | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $18.24 | $91K | −3.4% of holding | −11.1% | −52.0% | 141,923 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Wilson Steven K. | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $19.20 | $384K | −12.0% of holding | −7.4% | −54.4% | 146,923 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Thompson Luke D | officer | Sale | 1,368 @ $13.77 | $19K | −4.4% of holding | −0.1% | −37.0% | 29,799 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Ragatz Erik D. | director | Purchase | 19,000 @ $14.46 | $275K | ownership Δ n/a | −12.2% | −35.2% | 19,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Sale | 1,931 @ $13.79 | $27K | −6.7% of holding | +19.7% | −1.3% | 27,106 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Lindberg Eric J. Jr. | director | Sale | 35,438 @ $13.16 | $466K | −18.3% of holding | +11.3% | +13.8% | 158,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Wilson Steven K. | officer | Sale | 6,682 @ $13.16 | $88K | −3.8% of holding | +11.3% | +13.8% | 166,923 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Burke Pamela B. | officer | Sale | 6,033 @ $13.16 | $79K | −7.0% of holding | +11.3% | +13.8% | 79,568 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Sale | 5,506 @ $13.16 | $72K | −15.9% of holding | +11.3% | +13.8% | 29,037 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Sale | 3,091 @ $13.14 | $41K | −8.2% of holding | +11.3% | +13.8% | 34,543 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Gray Lindsay E. | officer | Sale | 1,856 @ $13.16 | $24K | −4.5% of holding | +11.3% | +13.8% | 39,592 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Thompson Luke D | officer | Sale | 1,133 @ $13.16 | $15K | −3.5% of holding | +11.3% | +13.8% | 31,167 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Sale | 1,425 @ $11.32 | $16K | −3.6% of holding | +28.8% | +46.0% | 37,634 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | BACHMAN JOHN E. | director | Purchase | 14,000 @ $11.36 | $159K | +42.8% of holding | +23.0% | +48.3% | 46,675 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Wilson Steven K. | officer | Sale | 6,477 @ $11.34 | $73K | −3.6% of holding | +23.0% | +48.3% | 173,605 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Lindberg Eric J. Jr. | director | Sale | 6,051 @ $11.34 | $69K | −3.0% of holding | +23.0% | +48.3% | 193,451 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Burke Pamela B. | officer | Sale | 5,706 @ $11.34 | $65K | −6.2% of holding | +23.0% | +48.3% | 85,601 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Sale | 5,260 @ $11.34 | $60K | −11.9% of holding | +23.0% | +48.3% | 39,059 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Jaros Carey F. | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $11.40 | $57K | +24.5% of holding | +23.0% | +48.3% | 25,374 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Thompson Luke D | officer | Sale | 3,614 @ $11.34 | $41K | −10.1% of holding | +23.0% | +48.3% | 32,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Gray Lindsay E. | officer | Sale | 2,741 @ $11.34 | $31K | −6.2% of holding | +23.0% | +48.3% | 41,448 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | CHIKKALA RAMESH | officer | Sale | 2,506 @ $11.34 | $28K | −9.9% of holding | +23.0% | +48.3% | 22,698 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Alterman Kenneth W. | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $11.88 | $297K | +63.1% of holding | +25.9% | +54.4% | 64,592 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-28 | Ragatz Erik D. | director | Purchase | 165,000 @ $12.25 | $2.0M | +452.1% of holding | +23.3% | +43.4% | 201,500 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | MILLER CHRISTOPHER M | officer | Purchase | 10,000 @ $11.68 | $117K | ownership Δ n/a | +16.7% | +41.3% | 10,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-04 | Lindberg Eric J. Jr. | director | Sale | 29,536 @ $16.88 | $499K | −19.8% of holding | −27.7% | +3.0% | 119,874 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
80 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Jaros Carey F. | director | Other acquisition | 45,000 | 45,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Jaros Carey F. | director | Other acquisition | 45,000 | 49,934 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Miller Paul Blaine | officer | Award / grant | 27,431 | 49,171 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Leary Susan Michelle | officer | Award / grant | 4,433 | 50,642 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Ferry Ian Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 12,893 | 114,196 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Leary Susan Michelle | officer | Award / grant | 6,650 | 6,650 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Ferry Ian Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 19,339 | 19,339 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Ferry Ian Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 19,339 | 19,339 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Miller Paul Blaine | officer | Award / grant | 41,146 | 41,146 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Miller Paul Blaine | officer | Award / grant | 41,146 | 41,146 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Leary Susan Michelle | officer | Award / grant | 6,650 | 6,650 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Molloy Lawrence | director | Award / grant | 18,868 | 30,707 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Allen Frances L. | director | Award / grant | 22,022 | 22,022 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | BACHMAN JOHN E. | director | Award / grant | 18,868 | 92,235 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | HABEN MARY KAY | director | Award / grant | 18,868 | 52,235 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | THORNTON FELICIA D | director | Award / grant | 22,022 | 22,022 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | KOBAYASHI MICHAEL K | director | Award / grant | 18,868 | 30,707 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lindberg Eric J. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 18,868 | 462,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | York Jeffrey | director | Award / grant | 18,868 | 109,659 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Jaros Carey F. | director | Award / grant | 18,868 | 94,934 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Kerr Frank Michael | officer | Award / grant | 43,805 | 55,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | MILLER CHRISTOPHER M | officer | Award / grant | 49,022 | 87,697 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Thompson Luke D | officer | Award / grant | 40,475 | 75,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Delly Matthew Patrick | officer | Award / grant | 43,494 | 43,494 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Thompson Luke D | officer | Award / grant | 20,240 | 96,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Potter Jason J. N. | director | Award / grant | 187,174 | 288,269 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Award / grant | 21,479 | 82,843 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Award / grant | 42,956 | 61,364 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Thompson Luke D | officer | Award / grant | 60,712 | 60,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Delly Matthew Patrick | officer | Award / grant | 65,241 | 65,241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | MILLER CHRISTOPHER M | officer | Award / grant | 73,533 | 73,533 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Thompson Luke D | officer | Award / grant | 30,359 | 30,359 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Award / grant | 64,433 | 64,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Award / grant | 32,218 | 32,218 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Kerr Frank Michael | officer | Award / grant | 65,707 | 65,707 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Award / grant | 64,433 | 64,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Bortner Andrea Renee | officer | Award / grant | 32,218 | 32,218 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Potter Jason J. N. | director | Award / grant | 280,761 | 280,761 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Kerr Frank Michael | officer | Award / grant | 65,707 | 65,707 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Delly Matthew Patrick | officer | Award / grant | 65,241 | 65,241 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Goldman | House | sale | 2023-04-17 | 2023-03-06 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | sale | 2021-02-10 | 2021-01-28 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | sale | 2020-06-15 | 2020-04-28 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2020-02-25 | 2020-01-30 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2020-02-25 | 2020-01-28 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.