GNSSGenasys Inc.Technology · Communication Equipmentas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.50 · now $1.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GNSS has typically landed between $1.17 and $1.92 — a range of −21.7% to +27.9% from the issuance price $1.50.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GNSS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.17worst · -21.7%$1.92best · +27.9%
  • now $1.5 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.47 (-2.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.32–$1.62
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.17–$1.92
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-01-10−78.2%−78.2%+1.4%
2008-01-15−78.0%−78.3%+1.3%
2008-01-14−77.7%−78.3%+1.1%
3 best
2009-03-31+208.0%+0.0%+208.0%
2009-03-30+203.8%+0.0%+203.8%
2009-04-01+195.8%+0.0%+203.9%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−3.5%
n=20
Feb
45%
−0.3%
n=20
Mar
35%
−0.7%
n=20
Apr
50%
+10.4%
n=20
May
45%
−2.2%
n=20
Jun
60%
+0.7%
n=20
Jul
45%
+0.2%
n=20
Aug
45%
+1.5%
n=20
Sep
45%
+3.8%
n=20
Oct
40%
−2.1%
n=20
Nov
40%
−2.0%
n=20
Dec
50%
+6.5%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$3$12026-08-26: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Malhotra R. Rimmy2026-02-19: 1 insider purchase, $50K — Dodd William H2026-02-18: 1 insider purchase, $53 — Dodd William H2026-02: 2 open-market purchases, $50K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $2K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Malhotra R. Rimmy — Purchase on 2026-08-26, filed same daydirector Dodd William H — Purchase on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Dodd William H — Purchase on 2026-02-18, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-26Malhotra R. RimmydirectorPurchase1,000 @ $1.54$2K+0.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open197,285Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-19Dodd William HdirectorPurchase25,430 @ $1.98$50K+24.5% of holding−5.8%−28.3%129,163Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18Dodd William HdirectorPurchase27 @ $1.97$53+0.0% of holding−4.6%−20.7%103,733Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-12Osgood Richard Hoe IIIdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $2.64$264K+24.5% of holding+4.7%−42.8%507,883Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-11Dodd William HdirectorPurchase16,327 @ $2.65$43K+38.1% of holding+4.2%−42.5%59,159Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

26 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-14Danforth RicharddirectorDisposition200,000394,692Form 4
2026-05-14HERNANDEZ-MONTEON CASSANDRA LofficerDisposition11,66776,039Form 4
2026-03-26Hagenbuch Lawrence FdirectorAward / grant48,49848,498Form 4
2026-03-17Fugate William CraigdirectorAward / grant47,620115,821Form 4
2026-03-17Malhotra R. RimmydirectorAward / grant47,620196,285Form 4
2026-03-17Dodd William HdirectorAward / grant47,620176,783Form 4
2026-03-17Schmeiser Susan LeedirectorAward / grant47,620193,256Form 4
2026-01-26Danforth RicharddirectorAward / grant400,000594,692Form 4
2025-12-24HERNANDEZ-MONTEON CASSANDRA LofficerAward / grant70,00087,706Form 4
2025-12-11HERNANDEZ-MONTEON CASSANDRA LofficerAward / grant10,00017,706Form 4
2025-10-01Dodd William HdirectorAward / grant6,411103,706Form 4
2025-10-01Malhotra R. RimmydirectorAward / grant6,411148,665Form 4
2025-10-01Osgood Richard Hoe IIIdirectorAward / grant6,411552,430Form 4
2025-10-01Culhane MarkdirectorAward / grant6,411114,547Form 4
2025-10-01Fugate William CraigdirectorAward / grant6,41168,201Form 4
2025-03-17Dodd William HdirectorAward / grant38,13697,295Form 4
2025-03-17Culhane MarkdirectorAward / grant38,136108,136Form 4
2025-03-17Malhotra R. RimmydirectorAward / grant38,136142,254Form 4
2025-03-17Osgood Richard Hoe IIIdirectorAward / grant38,136546,019Form 4
2025-03-17Fugate William CraigdirectorAward / grant38,13661,790Form 4
2025-03-17Schmeiser Susan LeedirectorAward / grant38,136145,636Form 4
2025-02-14Klahn Dennis DofficerWithheld for tax4,10872,389Form 4
2025-02-10Klahn Dennis DofficerWithheld for tax1,36976,497Form 4
2025-01-15Malhotra R. RimmydirectorAward / grant5,000104,118Form 4
2024-12-12Klahn Dennis DofficerAward / grant90,00090,000Form 4
2024-10-03Danforth RicharddirectorAward / grant200,000200,000Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.