GNL · TickerCove

GNLGlobal Net Lease, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Diversifiedas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.87 · now $8.87 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GNL has typically landed between $7.67 and $10.09 — a range of −13.5% to +13.7% from the issuance price $8.87.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,819 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-06-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.87) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$8.87 · 72% of range

$7.09 low$9.56 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.2%

typical move · IQR 10.6%

−13.5%worst (p90)+13.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where GNL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.87 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $8.87 (+0.0%)
typical $8.89 (+0.2%)
middle 50% $8.42–$9.35
90% range $7.67–$10.09

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,819 windows spanning 2015-06-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−58.2%	−58.2%	+0.5%
2020-02-21	−46.3%	−58.4%	+0.0%
2020-02-19	−46.3%	−57.8%	+1.4%
3 best
2020-03-18	+47.2%	+0.0%	+67.8%
2020-05-15	+33.4%	+0.0%	+36.6%
2024-06-26	+32.4%	+0.0%	+32.4%

2,819 overlapping windows · 2015-06-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

+1.1%

n=11

Feb

36%

−0.9%

n=11

Mar

55%

+0.4%

n=11

Apr

45%

+0.7%

n=11

May

45%

−0.7%

n=11

Jun

36%

+1.7%

n=11

Jul

67%

+4.0%

n=12

Aug

50%

+1.2%

n=12

Sep

33%

−4.1%

n=12

Oct

36%

−1.5%

n=11

Nov

73%

+3.3%

n=11

Dec

45%

−0.2%

n=11

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-07-10	Weil Edward M Jr.	director	Sale	150,000 @ $7.61	$1.1M	−20.4% of holding	+1.9%	+12.2%	584,053	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-13	SCHORSCH NICHOLAS S	other	Sale	300,000 @ $7.33	$2.2M	−1.5% of holding	−4.9%	+3.0%	19,607,384	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-12	SCHORSCH NICHOLAS S	other	Sale	7,103,000 @ $7.43	$52.8M	−26.3% of holding	−3.6%	+0.9%	19,907,384	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-19	SCHORSCH NICHOLAS S	other	Sale	4,039 @ $262570.14	$1.1B	−50.0% of holding	−7.4%	−7.6%	4,039	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-16	SCHORSCH NICHOLAS S	other	Sale	10,000 @ $726946.00	$7.3B	−50.0% of holding	−9.8%	−9.1%	10,000	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-15	SCHORSCH NICHOLAS S	other	Sale	100,000 @ $7.99	$799K	−6.1% of holding	−9.8%	−9.4%	1,529,073	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-05	Bellevue Capital Partners, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	20 @ $800.00	$16K	−50.0% of holding	−4.3%	−14.2%	20	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-02	Bellevue Capital Partners, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	11,000 @ $385000.00	$4.2B	−50.0% of holding	−2.6%	−13.9%	11,000	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-02	Bellevue Capital Partners, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	5,000 @ $170014.00	$850.1M	−50.0% of holding	−2.6%	−13.9%	5,000	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-04-03	SCHORSCH NICHOLAS S	other	Sale	200,000 @ $7.95	$1.6M	−10.9% of holding	−6.8%	−14.6%	1,629,073	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

73 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-10	KAUFFMAN ROBERT I	director	Award / grant	4,055	70,303	Form 4
2026-07-10	Monahan Michael J. U.	director	Award / grant	1,718	64,339	Form 4
2026-07-10	MICHELSON LESLIE D	director	Award / grant	1,568	129,258	Form 4
2026-07-10	Richardson Leon	director	Award / grant	1,414	32,468	Form 4
2026-07-02	Weil Edward M Jr.	director	Other acquisition	2,169,000	2,918,313	Form 4
2026-07-02	Weil Edward M Jr.	director	Other acquisition	2,169,000	2,918,313	Form 4
2026-06-12	Masterson Christopher J.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,105	305,747	Form 4
2026-06-12	Kravel Ori	officer	Withheld for tax	3,803	247,089	Form 4
2026-05-21	KAUFFMAN ROBERT I	director	Award / grant	13,859	66,248	Form 4
2026-05-21	Antone M. Therese	director	Award / grant	13,859	67,770	Form 4
2026-05-21	Kabnick Lisa	director	Award / grant	13,859	281,883	Form 4
2026-05-21	MICHELSON LESLIE D	director	Award / grant	13,859	127,690	Form 4
2026-05-21	Monahan Michael J. U.	director	Award / grant	13,859	62,621	Form 4
2026-05-21	PERLA STANLEY R	director	Award / grant	13,859	117,518	Form 4
2026-05-21	Richardson Leon	director	Award / grant	13,859	31,054	Form 4
2026-04-25	Masterson Christopher J.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,944	310,852	Form 4
2026-04-25	Kravel Ori	officer	Withheld for tax	3,055	250,892	Form 4
2026-04-10	KAUFFMAN ROBERT I	director	Award / grant	3,873	52,389	Form 4
2026-04-10	Monahan Michael J. U.	director	Award / grant	3,072	48,762	Form 4
2026-04-10	MICHELSON LESLIE D	director	Award / grant	2,804	113,831	Form 4
2026-04-10	Portia Sue Perrotty	director	Award / grant	2,537	124,115	Form 4
2026-03-04	Galloway Jesse Charles	officer	Withheld for tax	15,153	261,390	Form 4
2026-03-04	Masterson Christopher J.	officer	Withheld for tax	9,378	314,796	Form 4
2026-03-04	Kravel Ori	officer	Withheld for tax	6,484	253,947	Form 4
2026-03-04	Galloway Jesse Charles	officer	Withheld for tax	3,484	276,543	Form 4
2026-01-02	Galloway Jesse Charles	officer	Award / grant	49,887	280,027	Form 4
2026-01-02	Kravel Ori	officer	Award / grant	49,887	260,431	Form 4
2026-01-02	Weil Edward M Jr.	director	Award / grant	263,039	749,313	Form 4
2026-01-02	Masterson Christopher J.	officer	Award / grant	54,422	324,174	Form 4
2026-01-01	Weil Edward M Jr.	director	Withheld for tax	48,990	486,274	Form 4
2026-01-01	Masterson Christopher J.	officer	Withheld for tax	11,322	269,752	Form 4
2026-01-01	Kravel Ori	officer	Withheld for tax	10,496	210,544	Form 4
2026-01-01	Galloway Jesse Charles	officer	Withheld for tax	10,082	230,140	Form 4
2026-01-01	KAUFFMAN ROBERT I	director	Award / grant	4,215	48,516	Form 4
2026-01-01	Monahan Michael J. U.	director	Award / grant	3,343	45,690	Form 4
2026-01-01	MICHELSON LESLIE D	director	Award / grant	3,052	111,027	Form 4
2026-01-01	Portia Sue Perrotty	director	Award / grant	2,762	121,578	Form 4
2025-10-01	Weil Edward M Jr.	director	Withheld for tax	48,685	535,264	Form 4
2025-10-01	Masterson Christopher J.	officer	Withheld for tax	19,855	281,074	Form 4
2025-10-01	Kravel Ori	officer	Withheld for tax	16,096	221,040	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i