Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.42 · now $27.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GNK has typically landed between $22.91 and $32.45 — a range of −16.4% to +18.3% from the issuance price $27.42.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,041 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-07-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GNK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $27.42 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $28.16 (+2.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $26.39–$29.93
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $22.91–$32.45
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,041 windows spanning 2014-07-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2016-01-11 | −58.9% | −58.9% | +1.8% |
| 2016-01-21 | −57.8% | −61.0% | +0.0% |
| 2016-01-22 | −57.5% | −60.7% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2016-10-18 | +111.8% | −3.5% | +111.8% |
| 2016-10-17 | +93.1% | −1.8% | +93.1% |
| 2016-02-11 | +75.5% | −5.5% | +144.5% |
3,041 overlapping windows · 2014-07-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
−0.6%
n=12
Feb
67%
+7.0%
n=12
Mar
33%
−2.7%
n=12
Apr
50%
+10.4%
n=12
May
58%
−6.4%
n=12
Jun
58%
+3.3%
n=12
Jul
67%
+3.5%
n=12
Aug
38%
−2.4%
n=13
Sep
54%
−2.9%
n=13
Oct
33%
−6.0%
n=12
Nov
58%
+3.2%
n=12
Dec
42%
−2.0%
n=12
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $26.73 | $2.0M | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,130,585 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $26.64 | $2.0M | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,205,585 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 125,000 @ $26.02 | $3.3M | −2.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,280,585 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,280 @ $26.00 | $59K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,405,585 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,427 @ $26.13 | $220K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,407,865 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 348,256 @ $26.56 | $9.2M | −7.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,416,292 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $26.62 | $2.0M | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,989,548 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $26.52 | $2.0M | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,914,548 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $26.51 | $2.0M | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,764,548 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $26.50 | $2.0M | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,839,548 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 375,000 @ $26.74 | $10.0M | −6.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,064,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $27.22 | $2.0M | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,739,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $26.94 | $2.0M | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,664,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $26.65 | $2.0M | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,589,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $26.54 | $2.0M | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,514,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $26.50 | $2.0M | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,439,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 375,000 @ $26.59 | $10.0M | −6.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,814,548 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $26.93 | $2.0M | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,189,548 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 20,000 @ $24.49 | $490K | −0.3% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,264,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 20,000 @ $24.45 | $489K | −0.3% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,284,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 50,000 @ $24.59 | $1.2M | −0.8% of holding | −4.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,304,548 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 50,000 @ $24.74 | $1.2M | −0.8% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,363,151 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | DIANA SHIPPING INC. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,603 @ $25.01 | $215K | −0.1% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,354,548 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | WOBENSMITH JOHN C | director | Sale | 39,244 @ $23.66 | $929K | −6.5% of holding | +3.6% | +5.8% | 564,617 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Christensen Jesper | officer | Sale | 18,450 @ $23.66 | $437K | −15.8% of holding | +3.6% | +5.8% | 98,299 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Allen Peter George | officer | Sale | 12,402 @ $23.66 | $293K | −15.7% of holding | +3.6% | +5.8% | 66,702 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Adamo Joseph | officer | Sale | 6,340 @ $23.67 | $150K | −14.1% of holding | +3.6% | +5.8% | 38,519 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Allen Peter George | officer | Sale | 913 @ $23.63 | $22K | −1.1% of holding | +3.6% | +5.8% | 79,104 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-18 | WOBENSMITH JOHN C | director | Sale | 18,642 @ $23.26 | $434K | −3.4% of holding | +2.5% | +3.6% | 525,375 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-18 | Christensen Jesper | officer | Sale | 8,260 @ $23.27 | $192K | −9.5% of holding | +2.5% | +3.6% | 78,311 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-18 | Allen Peter George | officer | Sale | 6,232 @ $23.27 | $145K | −10.7% of holding | +2.5% | +3.6% | 52,002 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-18 | Adamo Joseph | officer | Sale | 3,227 @ $23.27 | $75K | −9.5% of holding | +2.5% | +3.6% | 30,772 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-15 | WOBENSMITH JOHN C | director | Sale | 19,000 @ $18.44 | $350K | −3.6% of holding | −12.2% | +22.6% | 506,733 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-12 | WOBENSMITH JOHN C | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $18.12 | $362K | −3.7% of holding | −11.7% | +19.3% | 525,733 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | WOBENSMITH JOHN C | director | Sale | 10,752 @ $18.11 | $195K | −1.9% of holding | −11.8% | +16.3% | 545,733 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | WOBENSMITH JOHN C | director | Sale | 65,885 @ $18.06 | $1.2M | −9.8% of holding | −8.1% | +18.9% | 608,485 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | WOBENSMITH JOHN C | director | Sale | 52,000 @ $18.01 | $937K | −8.5% of holding | −8.1% | +18.9% | 556,485 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Christensen Jesper | officer | Sale | 14,000 @ $18.06 | $253K | −16.8% of holding | −8.1% | +18.9% | 69,363 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Christensen Jesper | officer | Sale | 12,810 @ $18.06 | $231K | −14.2% of holding | −8.1% | +18.9% | 77,283 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Christensen Jesper | officer | Sale | 7,392 @ $18.06 | $133K | −8.1% of holding | −8.1% | +18.9% | 83,363 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
260 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Orsel Karin Y | director | Award / grant | 297 | 9,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Das Paramita | director | Award / grant | 204 | 6,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Das Paramita | director | Award / grant | 172 | 5,717 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 427 | 14,161 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 242 | 8,019 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 501 | 16,624 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 661 | 21,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 255 | 8,465 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 200 | 6,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 276 | 9,163 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 204 | 6,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 297 | 9,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 95 | 3,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 172 | 5,717 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | HAINES KATHLEEN C | director | Award / grant | 64 | 2,118 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 59 | 1,962 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 848 | 28,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 427 | 14,161 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 242 | 8,019 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 501 | 16,624 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 661 | 21,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 255 | 8,465 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 200 | 6,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 276 | 9,163 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 204 | 6,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 297 | 9,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | MAVROLEON BASIL G | director | Award / grant | 172 | 5,717 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | REGAN ARTHUR L | director | Award / grant | 255 | 8,465 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | REGAN ARTHUR L | director | Award / grant | 200 | 6,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | REGAN ARTHUR L | director | Award / grant | 276 | 9,163 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | REGAN ARTHUR L | director | Award / grant | 204 | 6,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | REGAN ARTHUR L | director | Award / grant | 297 | 9,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | REGAN ARTHUR L | director | Award / grant | 172 | 5,717 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Orsel Karin Y | director | Award / grant | 255 | 8,465 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Orsel Karin Y | director | Award / grant | 200 | 6,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Orsel Karin Y | director | Award / grant | 276 | 9,163 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Orsel Karin Y | director | Award / grant | 204 | 6,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Orsel Karin Y | director | Award / grant | 172 | 5,717 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Das Paramita | director | Award / grant | 5,545 | 5,545 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Das Paramita | director | Option exercise | 9,554 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.