GNE · TickerCove

GNEGenie Energy Ltd.Utilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $16.08 · now $16.08 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GNE has typically landed between $13.70 and $19.79 — a range of −14.8% to +23.1% from the issuance price $16.08.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,722 overlapping 1 month windows · 2011-10-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($16.08) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$16.08 · 100% of range

$12.98 low$16.08 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.5%

typical move · IQR 13.6%

−14.8%worst (p90)+23.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where GNE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $16.08 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $16.08 (+0.0%)
typical $16.17 (+0.5%)
middle 50% $15.07–$17.26
90% range $13.7–$19.79

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,722 windows spanning 2011-10-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2019-07-08	−43.1%	−43.1%	+0.0%
2013-11-27	−41.5%	−42.3%	+1.1%
2013-12-04	−41.4%	−41.8%	+2.1%
3 best
2023-03-13	+81.3%	+0.0%	+81.3%
2015-03-31	+79.2%	+0.0%	+79.2%
2013-03-04	+75.9%	+0.0%	+75.9%

3,722 overlapping windows · 2011-10-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~15 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

53%

−0.2%

n=15

Feb

67%

+4.5%

n=15

Mar

60%

+4.0%

n=15

Apr

47%

+4.0%

n=15

May

53%

+4.9%

n=15

Jun

60%

+1.7%

n=15

Jul

40%

−1.9%

n=15

Aug

67%

+0.2%

n=15

Sep

33%

−2.9%

n=15

Oct

50%

+2.4%

n=14

Nov

60%

+5.6%

n=15

Dec

47%

−2.1%

n=15

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-11-18	GOLDIN AVI	officer	Sale	12,000 @ $14.61	$175K	−11.1% of holding	−4.1%	−18.1%	96,491	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-15	SASS ALLAN	director	Sale	2,920 @ $17.72	$52K	−7.0% of holding	+41.4%	−30.9%	38,690	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

26 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-03	STEIN MICHAEL M	officer	Withheld for tax	21,079	516,936	Form 4
2026-08-03	JONAS HOWARD S	director	Withheld for tax	9,105	690,999	Form 4
2026-08-03	GOLDIN AVI	officer	Withheld for tax	5,116	87,155	Form 4
2026-06-10	KATSOF IRWIN	director	Award / grant	2,190	2,190	Form 4
2026-02-10	STEIN MICHAEL M	officer	Withheld for tax	15,015	538,015	Form 4
2026-02-10	JONAS HOWARD S	director	Withheld for tax	11,114	700,104	Form 4
2026-02-10	GOLDIN AVI	officer	Withheld for tax	4,220	92,271	Form 4
2026-01-05	PERRY WILLIAM WESLEY	director	Award / grant	6,579	171,934	Form 4
2026-01-05	SASS ALLAN	director	Award / grant	2,920	41,610	Form 4
2026-01-05	ROSENTHAL ALAN B	director	Award / grant	2,920	29,773	Form 4
2025-08-03	STEIN MICHAEL M	officer	Withheld for tax	10,845	553,030	Form 4
2025-08-03	JONAS HOWARD S	director	Withheld for tax	10,420	711,218	Form 4
2025-08-03	GOLDIN AVI	officer	Withheld for tax	6,415	108,491	Form 4
2025-08-01	STEIN MICHAEL M	officer	Withheld for tax	15,063	563,875	Form 4
2025-08-01	JONAS HOWARD S	director	Withheld for tax	7,105	721,638	Form 4
2025-08-01	GOLDIN AVI	officer	Withheld for tax	6,791	114,906	Form 4
2025-05-29	STEIN MICHAEL M	officer	Gift	4,000	578,938	Form 4
2025-05-29	GOLDIN AVI	officer	Gift	1,200	121,697	Form 4
2025-05-14	STEIN MICHAEL M	officer	Other acquisition	258,732	260,288	Form 4
2025-03-20	JONAS HOWARD S	director	Gift	2,565	728,743	Form 4
2025-02-10	JONAS HOWARD S	director	Withheld for tax	11,007	731,308	Form 4
2025-02-10	STEIN MICHAEL M	officer	Withheld for tax	10,296	582,938	Form 4
2025-02-10	GOLDIN AVI	officer	Withheld for tax	4,802	122,897	Form 4
2025-01-06	PERRY WILLIAM WESLEY	director	Award / grant	6,155	165,355	Form 4
2025-01-06	SASS ALLAN	director	Award / grant	2,920	41,610	Form 4
2025-01-06	ROSENTHAL ALAN B	director	Award / grant	2,920	26,853	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i