Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.97 · now $12.97 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GMRS has typically landed between $10.38 and $17.18 — a range of −19.9% to +32.5% from the issuance price $12.97.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
66 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-05-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.97) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GMRS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.97 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $12.97 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.15 (+1.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.91–$14.39
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.38–$17.18
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-07-08 | −21.9% | −21.9% | +1.0% |
| 2026-07-09 | −20.1% | −22.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-30 | −19.0% | −19.0% | +1.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-06-08 | +48.8% | +0.0% | +48.8% |
| 2026-06-05 | +42.9% | −2.9% | +42.9% |
| 2026-06-02 | +36.9% | −0.3% | +45.7% |
66 overlapping windows · 2026-05-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Loporcaro Nicola | director | Sale | 1,457,102 @ $12.20 | $17.8M | −33.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,855,580 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Tierney Brian Scott | officer | Sale | 265,794 @ $12.20 | $3.2M | −32.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 554,955 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Van Horne Edward | officer | Sale | 262,278 @ $12.20 | $3.2M | −31.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 575,004 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | COOK THOMAS A A | officer | Sale | 251,882 @ $12.20 | $3.1M | −27.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 675,686 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Jacoba Lisa | officer | Sale | 92,680 @ $12.20 | $1.1M | −31.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 198,603 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Hall Jessica | officer | Sale | 23,687 @ $12.20 | $289K | −27.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 62,566 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Jacoba Lisa | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $15.00 | $15K | +0.3% of holding | −14.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 291,283 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
30 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Tierney Brian Scott | officer | Withheld for tax | 30,721 | 820,749 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Tierney Brian Scott | officer | Option exercise | 42,500 | 851,470 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Jacoba Lisa | officer | Withheld for tax | 23 | 198,580 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Van Horne Edward | officer | Withheld for tax | 1 | 575,003 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | COOK THOMAS A A | officer | Withheld for tax | 1 | 675,685 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Tierney Brian Scott | officer | Option exercise | 42,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Wicks Timothy A | director | Award / grant | 976 | 976 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Desai Amar | director | Award / grant | 976 | 976 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Zane Ellen M | director | Award / grant | 976 | 976 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | REED JAN STERN | director | Award / grant | 976 | 976 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Desai Amar | director | Award / grant | 9,972 | 9,972 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Zane Ellen M | director | Award / grant | 9,972 | 9,972 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Loporcaro Nicola | director | Award / grant | 600,000 | 600,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Tierney Brian Scott | officer | Award / grant | 120,000 | 120,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | COOK THOMAS A A | officer | Award / grant | 75,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | REED JAN STERN | director | Award / grant | 12,334 | 12,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Wicks Timothy A | director | Award / grant | 12,334 | 12,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Van Horne Edward | officer | Award / grant | 120,000 | 120,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Jacoba Lisa | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Loporcaro Nicola | director | Award / grant | 2,483,414 | 4,312,682 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Jacoba Lisa | officer | Award / grant | 149,004 | 290,283 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Jacoba Lisa | officer | Award / grant | 112,952 | 112,952 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Van Horne Edward | officer | Award / grant | 271,085 | 271,085 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Tierney Brian Scott | officer | Award / grant | 271,085 | 271,085 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Tierney Brian Scott | officer | Award / grant | 397,346 | 808,970 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Van Horne Edward | officer | Award / grant | 447,014 | 837,282 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | COOK THOMAS A A | officer | Award / grant | 169,428 | 169,428 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | COOK THOMAS A A | officer | Award / grant | 248,342 | 927,568 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Loporcaro Nicola | director | Award / grant | 1,355,422 | 1,355,422 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | Jacoba Lisa | officer | Other acquisition | 4,564 | 141,279 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.