GMGeneral Motors CompanyConsumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturersas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $84.29 · now $84.29 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GM has typically landed between $72.14 and $98.23 — a range of −14.4% to +16.5% from the issuance price $84.29.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,958 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-11-182026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($84.29) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $84.29 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$72.14worst · -14.4%$98.23best · +16.5%
  • now $84.29 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $85.64 (+1.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $79.51$91.78
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $72.14$98.23
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,958 windows spanning 2010-11-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−50.6%−50.6%+2.6%
2020-02-19−48.7%−51.3%+1.1%
2020-02-21−48.6%−50.9%+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-04+40.1%+0.0%+40.1%
2020-05-06+39.9%−2.0%+39.9%
2020-05-05+37.1%+0.0%+37.1%

3,958 overlapping windows · 2010-11-182026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$74.7B
market cap
$1.98
EPS (TTM)
41.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-20
next earnings
Revenue$185.0B
'20'25
Net income$2.7B
'20'25
Free cash flow$11.1B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr1.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr4.4%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr2.13
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 50 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $84.29$-174.02$131.04
  • DCF (intrinsic)$-152.98
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 23.8× · n=50$47.17
  • Analyst target · range $61.00$110.00$101.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$84.29

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+2.1%
n=16
Feb
44%
−1.0%
n=16
Mar
31%
−2.8%
n=16
Apr
50%
−1.0%
n=16
May
63%
+2.8%
n=16
Jun
31%
−1.1%
n=16
Jul
44%
+1.8%
n=16
Aug
50%
−0.4%
n=16
Sep
50%
−1.1%
n=16
Oct
73%
+8.4%
n=15
Nov
87%
+4.9%
n=15
Dec
56%
+0.6%
n=16

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$90$542026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $3.5M — DIXTON GRANT MICHAEL2026-07-28: 6 insider sales, $35.8M — Barra Mary T, Reuss Mark L, Hatto Christopher …2026-07-27: 3 insider sales, $9.7M — Barra Mary T, Harvey Rory …2026-06-16: 3 insider sales, $8.4M — Barra Mary T …2026-06-09: 1 insider sale, $1.7M — Barra Mary T2026-05-29: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Barra Mary T2026-05-28: 4 insider sales, $12.8M — Barra Mary T, Harvey Rory, Hatto Christopher …2026-05-27: 3 insider sales, $15.1M — Barra Mary T, Harvey Rory …2026-05-26: 5 insider sales, $20.4M — Barra Mary T, Jacobson Paul A …2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $450K — Harvey Rory2026-02-17: 4 insider sales, $38.7M — Reuss Mark L …2025-11-12: 1 insider sale, $556K — Hatto Christopher2025-10-28: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Hatto Christopher2025-10-22: 3 insider sales, $17.3M — Reuss Mark L …2025-09-26: 3 insider sales, $1.8M — Hatto Christopher, Harvey Rory …2025-09-25: 2 insider sales, $8.2M — Reuss Mark L …2025-09-24: 5 insider sales, $46.8M — Barra Mary T, Reuss Mark L …2025-09-23: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Barra Mary T2025-09-12: 2 insider sales, $2.0M — Barra Mary T, Harvey Rory2025-08-29: 1 insider sale, $5.1M — Barra Mary T2025-08-28: 3 insider sales, $52.8M — Barra Mary T …2025-08-27: 1 insider sale, $865K — Hatto Christopher2025-08-13: 2 insider sales, $2.0M — Hatto Christopher …2025-08: 10 open-market sales, $62.1M2025-09: 13 open-market sales, $60.3M2025-10: 4 open-market sales, $18.4M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $556K2026-02: 4 open-market sales, $38.7M2026-05: 14 open-market sales, $50.8M2026-06: 4 open-market sales, $10.2M2026-07: 9 open-market sales, $45.5M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $3.5M↑ buys↓ salesofficer DIXTON GRANT MICHAEL — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed same daydirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hatto Christopher — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-07-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-07-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Harvey Rory — Sale on 2026-07-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-05-29, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed same daydirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed same dayofficer Harvey Rory — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hatto Christopher — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Harvey Rory — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed same dayofficer Harvey Rory — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed same daydirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jacobson Paul A — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Harvey Rory — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hatto Christopher — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hatto Christopher — Sale on 2025-10-28, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2025-10-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2025-10-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2025-10-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hatto Christopher — Sale on 2025-09-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hatto Christopher — Sale on 2025-09-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Harvey Rory — Sale on 2025-09-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reuss Mark L — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Harvey Rory — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2025-08-29, filed same daydirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Barra Mary T — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hatto Christopher — Sale on 2025-08-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hatto Christopher — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hatto Christopher — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-03DIXTON GRANT MICHAELofficerSale40,000 @ $88.44$3.5M−42.1% of holding−3.1%not yet — horizon still open54,992Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-28Barra Mary TdirectorSale108,382 @ $90.38$9.8M−20.2% of holding−7.8%not yet — horizon still open428,994Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28Barra Mary TdirectorSale91,843 @ $90.38$8.3M−14.6% of holding−7.8%not yet — horizon still open537,376Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28Reuss Mark LdirectorSale71,079 @ $89.97$6.4M−43.5% of holding−7.8%not yet — horizon still open92,293Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28Barra Mary TdirectorSale69,564 @ $90.38$6.3M−11.5% of holding−7.8%not yet — horizon still open537,376Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28Barra Mary TdirectorSale48,659 @ $90.38$4.4M−8.3% of holding−7.8%not yet — horizon still open537,376Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28Hatto ChristopherofficerSale6,895 @ $90.00$621K−26.7% of holding−7.8%not yet — horizon still open18,899Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-27Barra Mary TdirectorSale54,866 @ $85.32$4.7M−9.3% of holding−5.0%not yet — horizon still open537,376Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-27Barra Mary TdirectorSale49,495 @ $85.33$4.2M−7.7% of holding−5.0%not yet — horizon still open592,242Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-27Harvey RoryofficerSale8,882 @ $86.95$772K−23.8% of holding−5.0%not yet — horizon still open28,513Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Barra Mary TdirectorSale83,476 @ $85.10$7.1M−12.4% of holding−7.1%not yet — horizon still open592,242Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Barra Mary TdirectorSale8,896 @ $85.10$757K−1.5% of holding−7.1%not yet — horizon still open592,242Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Barra Mary TdirectorSale6,867 @ $85.10$584K−1.1% of holding−7.1%not yet — horizon still open592,242Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-09Barra Mary TdirectorSale20,582 @ $85.00$1.7M−3.4% of holding−9.7%not yet — horizon still open592,242Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-29Barra Mary TdirectorSale23,000 @ $85.00$2.0M−3.7% of holding−6.2%not yet — horizon still open592,242Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-28Barra Mary TdirectorSale75,192 @ $85.03$6.4M−11.3% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open592,242Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-28Barra Mary TdirectorSale59,762 @ $85.03$5.1M−8.2% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open667,434Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-28Harvey RoryofficerSale9,124 @ $84.97$775K−19.6% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open37,395Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-28Hatto ChristopherofficerSale6,895 @ $85.00$586K−21.1% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open25,794Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-27Barra Mary TdirectorSale103,057 @ $82.32$8.5M−13.4% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open667,434Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27Harvey RoryofficerSale65,912 @ $83.03$5.5M−58.6% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open46,519Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-27Harvey RoryofficerSale13,582 @ $82.97$1.1M−10.8% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open112,431Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-26Barra Mary TdirectorSale91,843 @ $80.01$7.3M−10.6% of holding+0.5%not yet — horizon still open775,816Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Barra Mary TdirectorSale69,564 @ $80.01$5.6M−8.2% of holding+0.5%not yet — horizon still open775,816Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Barra Mary TdirectorSale48,659 @ $80.01$3.9M−5.9% of holding+0.5%not yet — horizon still open775,816Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Jacobson Paul AofficerSale40,000 @ $80.00$3.2M−8.6% of holding+0.5%not yet — horizon still open425,675Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Barra Mary TdirectorSale5,325 @ $80.01$426K−0.7% of holding+0.5%not yet — horizon still open770,491Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-22Harvey RoryofficerSale5,652 @ $79.57$450K−4.3% of holding+1.8%not yet — horizon still open126,013Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-17Reuss Mark LdirectorSale249,567 @ $80.61$20.1M−72.8% of holding−6.1%−9.5%93,392Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17Reuss Mark LdirectorSale147,569 @ $80.61$11.9M−30.1% of holding−6.1%−9.5%342,959Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17Reuss Mark LdirectorSale82,489 @ $80.10$6.6M−19.4% of holding−6.1%−9.5%342,959Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17Reuss Mark LdirectorSale1,099 @ $80.94$89K−1.2% of holding−6.1%−9.5%92,293Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-12Hatto ChristopherofficerSale7,724 @ $72.00$556K−39.1% of holding+13.1%−4.1%12,007Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-28Hatto ChristopherofficerSale15,697 @ $70.00$1.1M−56.7% of holding+5.3%+5.3%12,007Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-22Reuss Mark LdirectorSale147,570 @ $66.46$9.8M−53.0% of holding+3.4%+8.9%131,036Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-22Reuss Mark LdirectorSale80,000 @ $66.46$5.3M−37.9% of holding+3.4%+8.9%131,036Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-22Reuss Mark LdirectorSale33,030 @ $66.38$2.2M−25.2% of holding+3.4%+8.9%98,006Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-26Hatto ChristopherofficerSale13,816 @ $61.01$843K−53.5% of holding+9.8%+23.3%12,007Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-26Hatto ChristopherofficerSale9,584 @ $61.00$585K−44.4% of holding+9.8%+23.3%12,007Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-26Harvey RoryofficerSale6,600 @ $61.95$409K−43.7% of holding+9.8%+23.3%8,513Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-25Reuss Mark LdirectorSale69,876 @ $60.12$4.2M−34.8% of holding+12.0%+24.1%131,036Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-25Reuss Mark LdirectorSale66,285 @ $60.11$4.0M−24.8% of holding+12.0%+24.1%200,912Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-24Barra Mary TdirectorSale372,024 @ $59.95$22.3M−37.0% of holding+9.9%+28.6%633,527Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-24Barra Mary TdirectorSale200,000 @ $59.95$12.0M−31.6% of holding+9.9%+28.6%433,527Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-24Barra Mary TdirectorSale181,696 @ $59.95$10.9M−22.3% of holding+9.9%+28.6%633,527Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-24Reuss Mark LdirectorSale13,715 @ $60.03$823K−6.0% of holding+9.9%+28.6%214,066Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-24Reuss Mark LdirectorSale13,154 @ $60.03$790K−6.1% of holding+9.9%+28.6%200,912Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-23Barra Mary TdirectorSale23,818 @ $59.90$1.4M−3.6% of holding+14.2%+31.7%633,527Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-12Barra Mary TdirectorSale29,486 @ $59.92$1.8M−4.4% of holding−6.1%+22.9%633,527Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-12Harvey RoryofficerSale4,459 @ $59.95$267K−34.4% of holding−6.1%+22.9%8,513Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-29Barra Mary TdirectorSale87,839 @ $58.13$5.1M−100.0% of holding+0.8%+26.4%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-28Barra Mary TdirectorSale372,024 @ $58.24$21.7M−40.3% of holding+2.2%+27.2%552,238Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-28Barra Mary TdirectorSale300,000 @ $58.24$17.5M−35.2% of holding+2.2%+27.2%552,238Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-28Barra Mary TdirectorSale235,000 @ $58.24$13.7M−29.9% of holding+2.2%+27.2%552,238Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-27Hatto ChristopherofficerSale14,667 @ $59.00$865K−55.0% of holding+1.9%+27.9%12,007Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-13Hatto ChristopherofficerSale26,042 @ $55.11$1.4M−68.4% of holding+3.6%+38.2%12,007Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-13Hatto ChristopherofficerSale10,762 @ $55.09$593K−47.3% of holding+3.6%+38.2%12,007Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05Harvey RoryofficerSale11,454 @ $53.05$608K−42.7% of holding+7.2%+55.0%15,384Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05Harvey RoryofficerSale6,871 @ $52.69$362K−44.7% of holding+7.2%+55.0%8,513Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05Harvey RoryofficerSale5,652 @ $53.32$301K−39.9% of holding+7.2%+55.0%8,513Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

212 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-30DIXTON GRANT MICHAELofficerWithheld for tax35,05694,992Form 4
2026-07-30DIXTON GRANT MICHAELofficerOption exercise79,132130,048Form 4
2026-07-30DIXTON GRANT MICHAELofficerOption exercise79,1320Form 4
2026-07-29Anderson SterlingdirectorWithheld for tax48,82059,853Form 4
2026-07-29Anderson SterlingdirectorOption exercise95,951108,673Form 4
2026-07-29Anderson SterlingdirectorOption exercise95,95195,951Form 4
2026-07-28Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise91,843629,219Form 4
2026-07-28Reuss Mark LdirectorOption exercise71,079163,372Form 4
2026-07-28Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise69,564606,940Form 4
2026-07-28Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise48,659586,035Form 4
2026-07-28Reuss Mark LdirectorOption exercise71,07971,080Form 4
2026-07-28Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise91,84373,474Form 4
2026-07-28Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise69,56455,650Form 4
2026-07-28Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise48,65938,928Form 4
2026-07-27Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise49,495641,737Form 4
2026-07-27Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise49,49587,587Form 4
2026-06-16Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise83,476675,718Form 4
2026-06-16Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise8,896601,138Form 4
2026-06-16Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise6,867599,109Form 4
2026-06-16Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise83,476125,214Form 4
2026-06-16Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise6,867165,317Form 4
2026-06-16Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise8,896137,082Form 4
2026-06-09Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise20,582612,824Form 4
2026-06-09Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise20,582172,184Form 4
2026-05-29Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise23,000615,242Form 4
2026-05-29Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise23,000192,766Form 4
2026-05-28Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise59,762727,196Form 4
2026-05-28Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise59,762215,766Form 4
2026-05-26Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise91,843867,659Form 4
2026-05-26Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise69,564845,380Form 4
2026-05-26Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise48,659824,475Form 4
2026-05-26Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise91,843275,528Form 4
2026-05-26Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise69,564208,690Form 4
2026-05-26Barra Mary TdirectorOption exercise48,659145,978Form 4
2026-05-22Harvey RoryofficerOption exercise5,652131,665Form 4
2026-05-22Harvey RoryofficerOption exercise5,6520Form 4
2026-02-17Reuss Mark LdirectorOption exercise147,569490,528Form 4
2026-02-17Reuss Mark LdirectorOption exercise82,489425,448Form 4
2026-02-17Reuss Mark LdirectorOption exercise147,5690Form 4
2026-02-17Reuss Mark LdirectorOption exercise82,4890Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Thomas H. Kean JrHousesale2026-02-192026-01-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-22$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-22$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-20$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-20$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-20$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-06$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.