GLREGreenlight Capital Re, Ltd.Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsuranceas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $15.12 · now $15.12 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GLRE has typically landed between $13.79 and $17.07 — a range of −8.8% to +12.9% from the issuance price $15.12.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,838 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-05-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($15.12) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GLRE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $15.12 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$13.79worst · -8.8%$17.07best · +12.9%
  • now $15.12 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $15.22 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.63–$15.82
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $13.79–$17.07
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,838 windows spanning 2007-05-24 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-30−49.5%−52.1%+0.0%
2020-03-03−44.2%−44.2%+0.0%
2020-02-21−41.8%−43.5%+0.0%
3 best
2008-12-04+39.5%+0.0%+39.5%
2008-12-03+37.9%+0.0%+37.9%
2008-11-20+36.8%+0.0%+41.3%

4,838 overlapping windows · 2007-05-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
47%
+1.4%
n=19
Feb
53%
+0.8%
n=19
Mar
47%
+0.8%
n=19
Apr
37%
+0.1%
n=19
May
42%
+0.0%
n=19
Jun
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Jul
40%
−1.5%
n=20
Aug
50%
−0.1%
n=20
Sep
35%
−1.0%
n=20
Oct
63%
−0.2%
n=19
Nov
47%
+1.8%
n=19
Dec
37%
−0.2%
n=19

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$19$122026-09-14: 1 insider sale, $73K — Isaacs Ian2026-08-28: 1 insider sale, $63K — Isaacs Ian2026-08-27: 1 insider sale, $15K — Isaacs Ian2026-08-10: 1 insider purchase, $93K — Goldberg Leonard R2026-08-07: 1 insider purchase, $94K — Goldberg Leonard R2026-06-29: 1 insider sale, $20K — Isaacs Ian2026-06-25: 1 insider sale, $64K — Isaacs Ian2026-06-24: 1 insider sale, $83K — Isaacs Ian2026-06-23: 2 insider sales, $200K — Isaacs Ian, O'BRIEN PATRICK2026-06-22: 1 insider sale, $27K — Isaacs Ian2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $198K — Platt Joseph P JR2026-05-19: 1 insider sale, $425K — Platt Joseph P JR2026-05-14: 2 insider sales, $340K — Platt Joseph P JR, Sigmon David2026-05-13: 1 insider sale, $14K — Platt Joseph P JR2026-05-12: 1 insider sale, $119K — Platt Joseph P JR2026-03-09: 5 insider sales, $0 — CURNOCK THOMAS JAMES, Strommer Richard Paul, OReilly Brian Joseph, Romer Faramarz …2025-11-20: 1 insider purchase, $65K — Foley Ursuline F2025-11-18: 1 insider purchase, $65K — Platt Joseph P JR2025-11-07: 1 insider purchase, $258K — Richardson Greg2025-11-07: 1 insider sale, $125K — CURNOCK THOMAS JAMES2025-11-06: 1 insider purchase, $379K — Richardson Greg2025-09-17: 1 insider sale, $107K — Isaacs Ian2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $149K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $107K2025-11: 4 open-market purchases, $767K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $125K2026-05: 6 open-market sales, $1.1M2026-06: 6 open-market sales, $395K2026-08: 2 open-market purchases, $186K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $77K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $73K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Isaacs Ian — Sale on 2026-09-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Isaacs Ian — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Isaacs Ian — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Goldberg Leonard R — Purchase on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Goldberg Leonard R — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Isaacs Ian — Sale on 2026-06-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Isaacs Ian — Sale on 2026-06-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Isaacs Ian — Sale on 2026-06-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Isaacs Ian — Sale on 2026-06-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer O'BRIEN PATRICK — Sale on 2026-06-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Isaacs Ian — Sale on 2026-06-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Platt Joseph P JR — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Platt Joseph P JR — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Platt Joseph P JR — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Sigmon David — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Platt Joseph P JR — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Platt Joseph P JR — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer CURNOCK THOMAS JAMES — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Strommer Richard Paul — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer OReilly Brian Joseph — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Romer Faramarz — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Diaz Sherry — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foley Ursuline F — Purchase on 2025-11-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Platt Joseph P JR — Purchase on 2025-11-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Richardson Greg — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer CURNOCK THOMAS JAMES — Sale on 2025-11-07, filed same daydirector Richardson Greg — Purchase on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Isaacs Ian — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Isaacs IandirectorSale4,850 @ $15.13$73K−8.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open53,142Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-28Isaacs IandirectorSale4,054 @ $15.42$63K−16.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open20,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-27Isaacs IandirectorSale946 @ $15.43$15K−3.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open24,054Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-10Goldberg Leonard RdirectorPurchase6,000 @ $15.42$93K+20.0% of holding−1.0%not yet — horizon still open36,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07Goldberg Leonard RdirectorPurchase6,000 @ $15.62$94K+25.0% of holding−1.8%not yet — horizon still open30,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-29Isaacs IandirectorSale1,191 @ $16.72$20K−2.3% of holding+6.3%not yet — horizon still open50,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-25Isaacs IandirectorSale4,000 @ $16.06$64K−7.2% of holding+6.3%not yet — horizon still open51,191Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-24Isaacs IandirectorSale5,000 @ $16.64$83K−8.3% of holding+2.1%not yet — horizon still open55,191Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-23Isaacs IandirectorSale9,230 @ $16.33$151K−13.3% of holding−1.2%not yet — horizon still open60,191Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-23O'BRIEN PATRICKofficerSale3,026 @ $16.36$50K−1.4% of holding−1.2%not yet — horizon still open208,633Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-22Isaacs IandirectorSale1,716 @ $15.92$27K−2.4% of holding+0.9%not yet — horizon still open69,421Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Platt Joseph P JRdirectorSale11,747 @ $16.87$198K−100.0% of holding−2.1%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19Platt Joseph P JRdirectorSale23,613 @ $18.01$425K−66.8% of holding−12.6%not yet — horizon still open11,747Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Platt Joseph P JRdirectorSale12,000 @ $17.50$210K−25.3% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open35,360Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-14Sigmon DavidofficerSale7,500 @ $17.33$130K−18.7% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open32,678Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Platt Joseph P JRdirectorSale820 @ $17.50$14K−1.7% of holding−7.5%not yet — horizon still open47,360Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Platt Joseph P JRdirectorSale6,820 @ $17.50$119K−12.4% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open48,180Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09CURNOCK THOMAS JAMESofficerSale6,552 @ $0.00$0−3.9% of holding+29.5%−7.3%163,338Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Strommer Richard PaulofficerSale2,786 @ $0.00$0−3.9% of holding+29.5%−7.3%68,025Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09OReilly Brian JosephofficerSale2,195 @ $0.00$0−2.2% of holding+29.5%−7.3%97,135Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Romer FaramarzofficerSale2,689 @ $0.00$0−1.7% of holding+29.5%−7.3%152,481Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Diaz SherryofficerSale987 @ $0.00$0−1.0% of holding+29.5%−7.3%96,571Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-20Foley Ursuline FdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $12.92$65K+10.2% of holding+9.7%+17.3%54,100Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-18Platt Joseph P JRdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $12.97$65Kownership Δ n/a+10.0%+22.6%5,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-07Richardson GregdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $12.92$258K+33.3% of holding+4.8%+24.3%80,091Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-07CURNOCK THOMAS JAMESofficerSale9,942 @ $12.58$125K−5.5% of holding+4.8%+24.3%169,890Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-06Richardson GregdirectorPurchase30,000 @ $12.63$379K+99.7% of holding+5.7%+28.4%60,091Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-17Isaacs IandirectorSale8,393 @ $12.79$107K−10.6% of holding−3.7%+27.7%71,137Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-08CURNOCK THOMAS JAMESofficerSale11,500 @ $12.93$149K−6.0% of holding−4.8%−3.0%179,832Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-25Isaacs IandirectorSale13,000 @ $14.92$194K−15.4% of holding−13.5%−12.5%71,484Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-14O'BRIEN PATRICKofficerSale5,000 @ $13.22$66K−2.9% of holding+8.9%−17.9%170,425Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-13O'BRIEN PATRICKofficerSale7,500 @ $13.26$99K−4.1% of holding+8.8%−18.0%175,425Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12O'BRIEN PATRICKofficerSale7,500 @ $13.48$101K−3.9% of holding+7.8%−21.4%182,925Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-26OReilly Brian JosephofficerSale8,000 @ $14.00$112K−7.5% of holding−1.4%−22.8%99,330Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10CURNOCK THOMAS JAMESofficerSale32,946 @ $0.00$0−15.3% of holding+4.5%−24.8%182,555Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10OReilly Brian JosephofficerSale13,799 @ $0.00$0−12.0% of holding+4.5%−24.8%101,218Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Diaz SherryofficerSale4,416 @ $0.00$0−4.5% of holding+4.5%−24.8%93,356Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Strommer Richard PaulofficerSale4,139 @ $0.00$0−5.9% of holding+4.5%−24.8%66,423Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Romer FaramarzofficerSale16,558 @ $0.00$0−10.2% of holding+4.5%−24.8%146,393Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

44 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03Welch JohndirectorAward / grant13,35613,356Form 4
2026-08-07Murphy BryandirectorAward / grant7,992173,562Form 4
2026-08-07Warszawski ArieldirectorAward / grant14,38614,386Form 4
2026-08-07Guest Victoria WdirectorAward / grant7,99257,092Form 4
2026-08-07Platt Joseph P JRdirectorAward / grant7,992177,611Form 4
2026-08-07Foley Ursuline FdirectorAward / grant7,99262,092Form 4
2026-08-07FERRARI JOHNNYdirectorAward / grant7,99257,092Form 4
2026-08-07Goldberg Leonard RdirectorAward / grant7,992250,597Form 4
2026-08-07Isaacs IandirectorAward / grant7,99257,992Form 4
2026-08-03EINHORN DAVIDdirectorDisposition106,0601,284,428Form 4
2026-05-08Sigmon DavidofficerAward / grant5,00640,178Form 4
2026-03-13Archambault StevenofficerAward / grant6,25816,158Form 4
2026-03-13CURNOCK THOMAS JAMESofficerAward / grant9,158172,496Form 4
2026-03-13O'BRIEN PATRICKofficerAward / grant9,273211,659Form 4
2026-03-09O'BRIEN PATRICKofficerAward / grant31,961202,386Form 4
2025-08-07Platt Joseph P JRdirectorAward / grant8,046169,619Form 4
2025-08-07Platt Joseph P JRdirectorAward / grant8,046169,619Form 4
2025-08-07Guest Victoria WdirectorAward / grant8,04649,100Form 4
2025-08-07Goldberg Leonard RdirectorAward / grant8,046242,605Form 4
2025-08-07FERRARI JOHNNYdirectorAward / grant8,04649,100Form 4
2025-08-07Foley Ursuline FdirectorAward / grant8,04649,100Form 4
2025-08-07FERRARI JOHNNYdirectorAward / grant8,04649,100Form 4
2025-08-07Foley Ursuline FdirectorAward / grant8,04649,100Form 4
2025-08-07Isaacs IandirectorAward / grant8,04679,530Form 4
2025-08-07Murphy BryandirectorAward / grant8,046165,570Form 4
2025-08-07Goldberg Leonard RdirectorAward / grant8,046242,605Form 4
2025-08-07Guest Victoria WdirectorAward / grant8,04649,100Form 4
2025-08-07Isaacs IandirectorAward / grant8,04679,530Form 4
2025-08-07Murphy BryandirectorAward / grant8,046165,570Form 4
2025-03-14Strommer Richard PaulofficerAward / grant4,38870,811Form 4
2025-03-14Sigmon DavidofficerAward / grant5,26635,172Form 4
2025-03-14Romer FaramarzofficerAward / grant8,777155,170Form 4
2025-03-14Diaz SherryofficerAward / grant4,20297,558Form 4
2025-03-14CURNOCK THOMAS JAMESofficerAward / grant8,777191,332Form 4
2025-03-14Richardson GregdirectorAward / grant30,09130,091Form 4
2025-03-14OReilly Brian JosephofficerAward / grant6,112107,330Form 4
2025-03-14O'BRIEN PATRICKofficerAward / grant9,389190,425Form 4
2025-03-14Archambault StevenofficerAward / grant4,8119,900Form 4
2025-03-13OReilly Brian JosephofficerAward / grant6,395103,530Form 4
2025-03-13Strommer Richard PaulofficerAward / grant4,62372,648Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.