Issued 2026-09-16 at $40.35 · now $40.35 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GLPI has typically landed between $37.15 and $43.59 — a range of −7.9% to +8.0% from the issuance price $40.35.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,229 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-10-14 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($40.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GLPI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $40.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $40.35 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $40.51 (+0.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $39.2–$41.82
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $37.15–$43.59
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −69.0% | −69.0% | +1.5% |
| 2020-02-19 | −63.6% | −68.6% | +2.8% |
| 2020-02-14 | −61.0% | −61.0% | +1.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +74.5% | +0.0% | +88.2% |
| 2020-05-06 | +56.7% | +0.0% | +56.7% |
| 2020-05-05 | +55.2% | −0.5% | +55.2% |
3,229 overlapping windows · 2013-10-14 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | SHANKS EARL C | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $42.24 | $422K | +10.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 107,259 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Urdang E Scott | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $48.32 | $145K | −2.3% of holding | −11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 127,429 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | Burke Desiree A. | officer | Sale | 9,804 @ $49.02 | $481K | −7.1% of holding | −1.0% | −22.7% | 128,352 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-24 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Sale | 16,884 @ $48.05 | $811K | −6.1% of holding | +0.2% | −19.9% | 257,874 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Urdang E Scott | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $47.37 | $189K | −3.0% of holding | +1.7% | −17.6% | 130,429 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Sale | 114 @ $48.01 | $5K | −0.0% of holding | +1.7% | −17.6% | 274,758 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Sale | 1,376 @ $48.05 | $66K | −0.5% of holding | +4.1% | −16.3% | 274,872 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Ladany Steven | officer | Sale | 13,409 @ $45.04 | $604K | −18.8% of holding | +0.8% | −10.6% | 57,886 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-05 | Ladany Steven | officer | Sale | 2,825 @ $44.30 | $125K | −3.8% of holding | +1.1% | −10.5% | 71,295 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-02 | Ladany Steven | officer | Sale | 2,630 @ $44.09 | $116K | −4.0% of holding | −1.3% | −7.4% | 62,469 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-31 | Ladany Steven | officer | Sale | 18,000 @ $44.77 | $806K | −21.7% of holding | −2.7% | −10.0% | 65,099 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | Urdang E Scott | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $45.49 | $182K | −3.0% of holding | −6.7% | +0.9% | 129,953 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Urdang E Scott | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $46.54 | $140K | −2.2% of holding | +0.5% | −8.7% | 133,953 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Urdang E Scott | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $46.58 | $186K | −2.8% of holding | −1.9% | −17.4% | 136,953 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Urdang E Scott | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $50.89 | $254K | −3.4% of holding | −3.2% | −20.1% | 140,953 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-10 | Demchyk Matthew | officer | Sale | 1,903 @ $51.99 | $99K | −4.4% of holding | +3.3% | −18.6% | 41,298 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Demchyk Matthew | officer | Sale | 6,419 @ $50.45 | $324K | −12.9% of holding | +7.3% | −13.0% | 43,201 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-03 | Demchyk Matthew | officer | Sale | 3,382 @ $50.48 | $171K | −6.4% of holding | +7.1% | −11.9% | 49,620 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | Demchyk Matthew | officer | Sale | 1,138 @ $50.45 | $57K | −2.1% of holding | +8.7% | −10.4% | 53,002 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-25 | Urdang E Scott | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $49.72 | $249K | −3.3% of holding | +8.7% | −9.6% | 145,953 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-27 | Demchyk Matthew | officer | Sale | 17,617 @ $49.40 | $870K | −24.6% of holding | +1.2% | −10.4% | 54,140 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | Demchyk Matthew | officer | Sale | 10,474 @ $48.62 | $509K | −12.7% of holding | −0.7% | −6.8% | 71,757 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Ladany Steven | officer | Sale | 28,276 @ $47.41 | $1.3M | −24.4% of holding | +0.5% | −3.7% | 87,449 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Sale | 7,909 @ $47.45 | $375K | −2.8% of holding | +0.5% | −3.7% | 270,725 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Demchyk Matthew | officer | Sale | 5,039 @ $47.59 | $240K | −5.5% of holding | +0.5% | −3.7% | 86,581 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Sale | 3,982 @ $47.84 | $190K | −1.4% of holding | −1.3% | −4.1% | 278,634 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | Ladany Steven | officer | Sale | 1,905 @ $47.84 | $91K | −1.6% of holding | −1.3% | −4.1% | 115,725 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | Demchyk Matthew | officer | Sale | 1,149 @ $47.80 | $55K | −1.2% of holding | −1.3% | −4.1% | 91,620 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
101 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CARLINO PETER M | director | Withheld for tax | 7,974 | 6,057,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-03 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,190 | 276,248 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-03 | Burke Desiree A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,610 | 138,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-03 | Ladany Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,175 | 74,120 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | CARLINO PETER M | director | Withheld for tax | 37,842 | 6,063,668 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Withheld for tax | 15,137 | 282,496 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Burke Desiree A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,385 | 142,831 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Ladany Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,321 | 75,878 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | CARLINO PETER M | director | Withheld for tax | 8,107 | 6,065,782 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | CARLINO PETER M | director | Withheld for tax | 4,068 | 6,073,889 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | CARLINO PETER M | director | Withheld for tax | 3,799 | 6,068,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,770 | 279,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,376 | 283,208 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Burke Desiree A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,799 | 143,376 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Burke Desiree A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,610 | 140,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Ladany Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,370 | 76,295 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,627 | 286,584 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,520 | 284,470 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Burke Desiree A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,332 | 146,175 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Burke Desiree A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,244 | 144,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Ladany Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,110 | 78,665 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Ladany Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,037 | 77,224 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Ladany Steven | officer | Award / grant | 2,383 | 78,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | SHANKS EARL C | director | Award / grant | 4,476 | 97,259 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Ladany Steven | officer | Award / grant | 2,551 | 79,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Borofsky Michael C. | director | Award / grant | 4,476 | 4,476 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Chase Debra M | director | Award / grant | 4,476 | 11,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Burke Desiree A. | officer | Award / grant | 18,000 | 126,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Burke Desiree A. | officer | Award / grant | 28,476 | 155,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Burke Desiree A. | officer | Award / grant | 2,859 | 145,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Burke Desiree A. | officer | Award / grant | 3,061 | 147,507 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | CARLINO PETER M | director | Award / grant | 87,010 | 6,101,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | CARLINO PETER M | director | Award / grant | 8,735 | 6,072,403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | CARLINO PETER M | director | Award / grant | 9,353 | 6,077,957 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Urdang E Scott | director | Award / grant | 4,476 | 134,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | CARLINO PETER M | director | Award / grant | 55,000 | 110,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Lynton Carol | director | Award / grant | 2,909 | 34,181 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Ladany Steven | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Award / grant | 34,804 | 297,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Moore Brandon John | officer | Award / grant | 3,494 | 285,990 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.