GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $40.35 · now $40.35 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GLPI has typically landed between $37.15 and $43.59 — a range of −7.9% to +8.0% from the issuance price $40.35.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,229 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-10-142026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($40.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GLPI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $40.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$37.15worst · -7.9%$43.59best · +8.0%
  • now $40.35 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $40.51 (+0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $39.2$41.82
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $37.15$43.59
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,229 windows spanning 2013-10-14 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−69.0%−69.0%+1.5%
2020-02-19−63.6%−68.6%+2.8%
2020-02-14−61.0%−61.0%+1.5%
3 best
2020-03-18+74.5%+0.0%+88.2%
2020-05-06+56.7%+0.0%+56.7%
2020-05-05+55.2%−0.5%+55.2%

3,229 overlapping windows · 2013-10-142026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
54%
+0.7%
n=13
Feb
69%
+1.7%
n=13
Mar
62%
+0.3%
n=13
Apr
62%
+1.3%
n=13
May
54%
+1.7%
n=13
Jun
85%
+1.6%
n=13
Jul
62%
+1.4%
n=13
Aug
46%
−0.3%
n=13
Sep
23%
−2.4%
n=13
Oct
33%
+0.6%
n=12
Nov
69%
+1.5%
n=13
Dec
77%
+2.1%
n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$48$402026-08-18: 1 insider purchase, $422K — SHANKS EARL C2026-06-10: 1 insider sale, $145K — Urdang E Scott2026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $481K — Burke Desiree A.2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $811K — Moore Brandon John2026-02-23: 2 insider sales, $195K — Urdang E Scott, Moore Brandon John2026-02-20: 1 insider sale, $66K — Moore Brandon John2026-01-07: 1 insider sale, $604K — Ladany Steven2026-01-05: 1 insider sale, $125K — Ladany Steven2026-01-02: 1 insider sale, $116K — Ladany Steven2025-12-31: 1 insider sale, $806K — Ladany Steven2025-11-04: 1 insider sale, $182K — Urdang E Scott2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $140K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $182K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $806K2026-01: 3 open-market sales, $845K2026-02: 5 open-market sales, $1.6M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $145K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $422K↑ buys↓ salesdirector SHANKS EARL C — Purchase on 2026-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Urdang E Scott — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Burke Desiree A. — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed same dayofficer Moore Brandon John — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed same daydirector Urdang E Scott — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Moore Brandon John — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Moore Brandon John — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Ladany Steven — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed same dayofficer Ladany Steven — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed same dayofficer Ladany Steven — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Ladany Steven — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Urdang E Scott — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-18SHANKS EARL CdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $42.24$422K+10.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open107,259Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-10Urdang E ScottdirectorSale3,000 @ $48.32$145K−2.3% of holding−11.0%not yet — horizon still open127,429Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-27Burke Desiree A.officerSale9,804 @ $49.02$481K−7.1% of holding−1.0%−22.7%128,352Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-24Moore Brandon JohnofficerSale16,884 @ $48.05$811K−6.1% of holding+0.2%−19.9%257,874Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-23Urdang E ScottdirectorSale4,000 @ $47.37$189K−3.0% of holding+1.7%−17.6%130,429Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Moore Brandon JohnofficerSale114 @ $48.01$5K−0.0% of holding+1.7%−17.6%274,758Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-20Moore Brandon JohnofficerSale1,376 @ $48.05$66K−0.5% of holding+4.1%−16.3%274,872Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-07Ladany StevenofficerSale13,409 @ $45.04$604K−18.8% of holding+0.8%−10.6%57,886Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-05Ladany StevenofficerSale2,825 @ $44.30$125K−3.8% of holding+1.1%−10.5%71,295Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-02Ladany StevenofficerSale2,630 @ $44.09$116K−4.0% of holding−1.3%−7.4%62,469Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-31Ladany StevenofficerSale18,000 @ $44.77$806K−21.7% of holding−2.7%−10.0%65,099Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-04Urdang E ScottdirectorSale4,000 @ $45.49$182K−3.0% of holding−6.7%+0.9%129,953Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-05Urdang E ScottdirectorSale3,000 @ $46.54$140K−2.2% of holding+0.5%−8.7%133,953Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-13Urdang E ScottdirectorSale4,000 @ $46.58$186K−2.8% of holding−1.9%−17.4%136,953Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-11Urdang E ScottdirectorSale5,000 @ $50.89$254K−3.4% of holding−3.2%−20.1%140,953Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-10Demchyk MatthewofficerSale1,903 @ $51.99$99K−4.4% of holding+3.3%−18.6%41,298Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05Demchyk MatthewofficerSale6,419 @ $50.45$324K−12.9% of holding+7.3%−13.0%43,201Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-03Demchyk MatthewofficerSale3,382 @ $50.48$171K−6.4% of holding+7.1%−11.9%49,620Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-28Demchyk MatthewofficerSale1,138 @ $50.45$57K−2.1% of holding+8.7%−10.4%53,002Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-25Urdang E ScottdirectorSale5,000 @ $49.72$249K−3.3% of holding+8.7%−9.6%145,953Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-27Demchyk MatthewofficerSale17,617 @ $49.40$870K−24.6% of holding+1.2%−10.4%54,140Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-21Demchyk MatthewofficerSale10,474 @ $48.62$509K−12.7% of holding−0.7%−6.8%71,757Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-03Ladany StevenofficerSale28,276 @ $47.41$1.3M−24.4% of holding+0.5%−3.7%87,449Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-03Moore Brandon JohnofficerSale7,909 @ $47.45$375K−2.8% of holding+0.5%−3.7%270,725Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-03Demchyk MatthewofficerSale5,039 @ $47.59$240K−5.5% of holding+0.5%−3.7%86,581Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-02Moore Brandon JohnofficerSale3,982 @ $47.84$190K−1.4% of holding−1.3%−4.1%278,634Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-02Ladany StevenofficerSale1,905 @ $47.84$91K−1.6% of holding−1.3%−4.1%115,725Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-02Demchyk MatthewofficerSale1,149 @ $47.80$55K−1.2% of holding−1.3%−4.1%91,620Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

101 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-01-03CARLINO PETER MdirectorWithheld for tax7,9746,057,808Form 4
2026-01-03Moore Brandon JohnofficerWithheld for tax3,190276,248Form 4
2026-01-03Burke Desiree A.officerWithheld for tax2,610138,156Form 4
2026-01-03Ladany StevenofficerWithheld for tax2,17574,120Form 4
2026-01-02CARLINO PETER MdirectorWithheld for tax37,8426,063,668Form 4
2026-01-02Moore Brandon JohnofficerWithheld for tax15,137282,496Form 4
2026-01-02Burke Desiree A.officerWithheld for tax12,385142,831Form 4
2026-01-02Ladany StevenofficerWithheld for tax10,32175,878Form 4
2026-01-02CARLINO PETER MdirectorWithheld for tax8,1076,065,782Form 4
2026-01-02CARLINO PETER MdirectorWithheld for tax4,0686,073,889Form 4
2026-01-02CARLINO PETER MdirectorWithheld for tax3,7996,068,604Form 4
2026-01-02Moore Brandon JohnofficerWithheld for tax3,770279,438Form 4
2026-01-02Moore Brandon JohnofficerWithheld for tax3,376283,208Form 4
2026-01-02Burke Desiree A.officerWithheld for tax2,799143,376Form 4
2026-01-02Burke Desiree A.officerWithheld for tax2,610140,766Form 4
2026-01-02Ladany StevenofficerWithheld for tax2,37076,295Form 4
2026-01-02Moore Brandon JohnofficerWithheld for tax1,627286,584Form 4
2026-01-02Moore Brandon JohnofficerWithheld for tax1,520284,470Form 4
2026-01-02Burke Desiree A.officerWithheld for tax1,332146,175Form 4
2026-01-02Burke Desiree A.officerWithheld for tax1,244144,446Form 4
2026-01-02Ladany StevenofficerWithheld for tax1,11078,665Form 4
2026-01-02Ladany StevenofficerWithheld for tax1,03777,224Form 4
2026-01-02Ladany StevenofficerAward / grant2,38378,261Form 4
2026-01-02SHANKS EARL CdirectorAward / grant4,47697,259Form 4
2026-01-02Ladany StevenofficerAward / grant2,55179,775Form 4
2026-01-02Borofsky Michael C.directorAward / grant4,4764,476Form 4
2026-01-02Chase Debra MdirectorAward / grant4,47611,862Form 4
2026-01-02Burke Desiree A.officerAward / grant18,000126,740Form 4
2026-01-02Burke Desiree A.officerAward / grant28,476155,216Form 4
2026-01-02Burke Desiree A.officerAward / grant2,859145,690Form 4
2026-01-02Burke Desiree A.officerAward / grant3,061147,507Form 4
2026-01-02CARLINO PETER MdirectorAward / grant87,0106,101,510Form 4
2026-01-02CARLINO PETER MdirectorAward / grant8,7356,072,403Form 4
2026-01-02CARLINO PETER MdirectorAward / grant9,3536,077,957Form 4
2026-01-02Urdang E ScottdirectorAward / grant4,476134,429Form 4
2026-01-02CARLINO PETER MdirectorAward / grant55,000110,000Form 4
2026-01-02Lynton CaroldirectorAward / grant2,90934,181Form 4
2026-01-02Ladany StevenofficerAward / grant15,00030,000Form 4
2026-01-02Moore Brandon JohnofficerAward / grant34,804297,633Form 4
2026-01-02Moore Brandon JohnofficerAward / grant3,494285,990Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.