Issued 2026-09-16 at $50.76 · now $50.76 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GLP has typically landed between $43.98 and $59.11 — a range of −13.4% to +16.5% from the issuance price $50.76.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($50.76) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GLP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $50.76 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $50.76 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $52.08 (+2.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $49.12–$55.03
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $43.98–$59.11
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −60.8% | −60.8% | +1.0% |
| 2020-02-24 | −54.4% | −60.0% | +3.2% |
| 2020-02-21 | −54.2% | −60.0% | +3.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-10-07 | +83.7% | −13.1% | +83.7% |
| 2008-10-10 | +65.4% | +0.0% | +111.3% |
| 2008-10-06 | +61.2% | −21.8% | +61.2% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
90%
+11.0%
n=20
Feb
60%
−1.2%
n=20
Mar
40%
−4.7%
n=20
Apr
70%
+7.1%
n=20
May
60%
+1.3%
n=20
Jun
45%
−1.3%
n=20
Jul
65%
+3.7%
n=20
Aug
60%
−0.0%
n=20
Sep
50%
−1.6%
n=20
Oct
75%
+7.1%
n=20
Nov
45%
+0.7%
n=20
Dec
45%
−1.0%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $50.55 | $253K | +3.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 161,584 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-15 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $50.89 | $254K | +3.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 156,584 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $52.20 | $261K | +3.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 151,584 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $42.81 | $214K | +3.5% of holding | +13.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 146,584 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $43.28 | $216K | +3.7% of holding | +11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 141,584 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $46.69 | $233K | +3.8% of holding | +7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 136,584 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $46.50 | $233K | +3.9% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 131,584 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $50.17 | $251K | +4.1% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 126,584 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $49.44 | $247K | +4.3% of holding | −2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 121,584 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $49.29 | $246K | +4.5% of holding | −3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 116,584 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-04 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $49.50 | $248K | +4.7% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 111,584 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $49.42 | $247K | +4.9% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 106,584 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $49.19 | $246K | +5.2% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 101,584 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $48.41 | $242K | +5.5% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 96,584 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $47.22 | $236K | +5.8% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 91,584 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-28 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $48.35 | $242K | +6.1% of holding | −0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 86,584 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $48.94 | $245K | +6.5% of holding | +1.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 81,584 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $48.92 | $245K | +7.0% of holding | −3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,584 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-22 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 4,184 @ $50.05 | $209K | +6.2% of holding | −9.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,584 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $51.28 | $256K | +8.0% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,400 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 10,000 @ $51.19 | $512K | +19.1% of holding | −17.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 62,400 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-19 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 7,500 @ $49.27 | $370K | +16.7% of holding | −17.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 52,400 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 7,500 @ $48.86 | $366K | +20.1% of holding | −11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 44,900 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $49.17 | $246K | +15.4% of holding | −13.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,400 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-14 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $49.35 | $247K | +18.2% of holding | −8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,400 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $48.75 | $244K | +22.3% of holding | −3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,400 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 2,065 @ $44.80 | $93K | −1.5% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 139,109 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 435 @ $47.31 | $21K | −0.3% of holding | −8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 141,174 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-20 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 2,020 @ $48.19 | $97K | −1.4% of holding | −9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 141,609 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 3,245 @ $48.10 | $156K | −2.2% of holding | −13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 143,629 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 4,735 @ $47.76 | $226K | −3.1% of holding | −12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 146,874 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-17 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $47.39 | $355K | −4.7% of holding | −9.5% | −2.7% | 151,609 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 3,376 @ $47.00 | $159K | −2.1% of holding | −9.0% | −3.0% | 159,109 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 900 @ $47.50 | $43K | −0.6% of holding | −6.2% | −2.0% | 162,660 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-12 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 1,148 @ $47.56 | $55K | −0.7% of holding | −7.0% | −1.1% | 163,560 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 1,649 @ $48.03 | $79K | −1.0% of holding | −4.3% | +4.4% | 164,708 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 252 @ $48.50 | $12K | −0.2% of holding | −3.9% | +2.7% | 166,357 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Romaine Mark | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $48.00 | $120K | −1.5% of holding | −1.1% | +0.7% | 166,609 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-23 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 1,080 @ $43.02 | $46K | +0.5% of holding | +4.4% | +4.8% | 230,273 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 1,250 @ $42.98 | $54K | +0.5% of holding | +2.8% | +3.6% | 229,193 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-19 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 2,000 @ $42.66 | $85K | +0.9% of holding | +1.8% | −3.0% | 227,943 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 2,500 @ $42.64 | $107K | +1.1% of holding | +4.7% | +2.9% | 225,943 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-17 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 2,156 @ $42.02 | $91K | +1.0% of holding | +4.2% | −6.3% | 223,443 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 1,836 @ $42.35 | $78K | +0.8% of holding | +2.3% | −7.3% | 221,287 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 1,463 @ $43.43 | $64K | +0.7% of holding | +1.3% | −7.3% | 219,451 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-11 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 2,000 @ $44.16 | $88K | +0.9% of holding | −0.8% | −3.7% | 217,988 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 2,467 @ $44.84 | $111K | +1.2% of holding | −7.0% | +6.8% | 215,988 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 1,450 @ $45.48 | $66K | +0.7% of holding | −12.6% | +2.9% | 213,521 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 5,000 @ $45.21 | $226K | +2.4% of holding | −12.1% | +1.8% | 212,071 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-03 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 4,947 @ $44.64 | $221K | +2.4% of holding | −2.9% | +7.1% | 207,071 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 3,809 @ $43.35 | $165K | +1.9% of holding | −2.8% | +6.6% | 202,124 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 1,794 @ $43.97 | $79K | +0.9% of holding | −4.7% | +3.1% | 198,315 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-26 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 1,701 @ $44.10 | $75K | +0.9% of holding | −5.1% | +1.4% | 196,521 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 2,228 @ $42.88 | $96K | +1.2% of holding | −4.5% | −0.1% | 194,820 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-24 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 3,965 @ $42.05 | $167K | +2.1% of holding | −1.8% | +4.4% | 192,592 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 4,005 @ $42.96 | $172K | +2.2% of holding | −2.0% | +1.4% | 188,627 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 3,066 @ $42.96 | $132K | +1.7% of holding | −5.5% | +1.8% | 184,622 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-19 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 2,500 @ $42.56 | $106K | +1.4% of holding | −1.2% | +7.6% | 181,556 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 2,241 @ $42.24 | $95K | +1.3% of holding | −2.5% | +9.2% | 179,056 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | Global GP LLC | other | Purchase | 2,091 @ $43.95 | $92K | +1.2% of holding | −3.4% | +9.1% | 176,815 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
169 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | Global GP LLC | other | Other acquisition | 3,393 | 20,760 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Seabrook Kristin K. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,640 | 1,753 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Global GP LLC | other | Other acquisition | 1,640 | 22,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Seabrook Kristin K. | officer | Option exercise | 3,393 | 6,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Seabrook Kristin K. | officer | Option exercise | 3,393 | 3,393 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | OWENS ROBERT W | director | Award / grant | 3,618 | 3,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Romaine Mark | officer | Award / grant | 24,498 | 24,498 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Seabrook Kristin K. | officer | Award / grant | 11,784 | 11,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Hanson Gregory B. | officer | Award / grant | 19,898 | 19,898 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Slifka Eric | director | Award / grant | 66,208 | 66,208 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Spencer Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 6,874 | 6,874 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | HAILER JOHN T | director | Award / grant | 3,618 | 3,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Kelly Clare McGrory | director | Award / grant | 3,618 | 3,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Pereira Jaime | director | Award / grant | 3,618 | 3,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Global GP LLC | other | Other acquisition | 247,928 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Global GP LLC | other | Other acquisition | 119,871 | 24,153 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Slifka Eric | director | Withheld for tax | 62,253 | 97,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Romaine Mark | officer | Withheld for tax | 22,826 | 169,109 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Hanson Gregory B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 15,770 | 87,085 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Spencer Matthew | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,609 | 55,437 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Hanson Gregory B. | officer | Award / grant | 32,618 | 102,855 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Spencer Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 15,738 | 63,046 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Romaine Mark | officer | Award / grant | 47,210 | 191,935 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Slifka Eric | director | Award / grant | 128,756 | 160,004 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Global GP LLC | other | Other acquisition | 38,925 | 140,321 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Global GP LLC | other | Other acquisition | 11,889 | 152,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Slifka Eric | director | Withheld for tax | 7,272 | 31,248 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Romaine Mark | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,730 | 144,725 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Hanson Gregory B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,513 | 70,237 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Spencer Matthew | officer | Withheld for tax | 504 | 47,308 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Spencer Matthew | officer | Option exercise | 1,719 | 47,812 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | HAILER JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 2,149 | 13,314 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Spencer Matthew | officer | Option exercise | 1,719 | 3,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | HAILER JOHN T | director | Option exercise | 2,149 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Kelly Clare McGrory | director | Option exercise | 2,149 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | OWENS ROBERT W | director | Option exercise | 2,149 | 13,314 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | OWENS ROBERT W | director | Option exercise | 2,149 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Pereira Jaime | director | Option exercise | 2,149 | 13,814 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Romaine Mark | officer | Option exercise | 5,444 | 10,887 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Slifka Eric | director | Option exercise | 15,042 | 38,520 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.