Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.07 · now $4.07 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GLOO has typically landed between $2.62 and $5.49 — a range of −35.6% to +34.9% from the issuance price $4.07.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
186 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-11-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.07) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GLOO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.07 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.07 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.63 (-10.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.13–$4.14
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.62–$5.49
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 186 windows spanning 2025-11-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-06-08 | −40.2% | −40.2% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-09 | −38.3% | −38.3% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-20 | −37.5% | −37.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-03-23 | +64.0% | −1.0% | +65.6% |
| 2026-03-24 | +53.5% | −1.6% | +64.6% |
| 2026-04-01 | +46.2% | +0.0% | +66.3% |
186 overlapping windows · 2025-11-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 5,000 @ $3.34 | $17K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,018,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-14 | GELSINGER PATRICK P | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $3.45 | $86K | +6.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 390,499 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-14 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 16,000 @ $3.55 | $57K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,023,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | GELSINGER PATRICK P | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $3.34 | $167K | +15.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 365,499 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-11 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 36,000 @ $3.23 | $116K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,039,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 10,000 @ $3.03 | $30K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,075,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-09 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 9,000 @ $3.25 | $29K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,085,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 10,000 @ $3.20 | $32K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,094,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 5,500 @ $3.09 | $17K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,104,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-03 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 1,000 @ $3.06 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,109,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 500 @ $3.12 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,110,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 3,000 @ $3.41 | $10K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,111,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 4,000 @ $3.37 | $13K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,114,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-26 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 2,800 @ $3.25 | $9K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,118,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 1,721 @ $3.35 | $6K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,120,800 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 479 @ $3.44 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,122,521 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 2,000 @ $3.44 | $7K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,123,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 6,000 @ $3.44 | $21K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,125,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 4,000 @ $3.34 | $13K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,131,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-18 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 2,000 @ $3.23 | $6K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,135,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 2,000 @ $3.30 | $7K | −0.0% of holding | +29.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,137,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 6,000 @ $3.52 | $21K | −0.1% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,139,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-13 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 3,200 @ $3.46 | $11K | −0.1% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,145,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 4,800 @ $3.42 | $16K | −0.1% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,148,200 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 4,000 @ $3.52 | $14K | −0.1% of holding | −11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,153,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-07 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 11,000 @ $3.55 | $39K | −0.3% of holding | −10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,157,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 7,000 @ $3.39 | $24K | −0.2% of holding | −9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,168,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-05 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 6,000 @ $3.43 | $21K | −0.1% of holding | −9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,175,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 15,000 @ $3.53 | $53K | −0.4% of holding | −11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,181,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 21,000 @ $3.46 | $73K | −0.5% of holding | −12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,196,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-31 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 20,000 @ $3.23 | $65K | −0.5% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,217,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-30 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 6,600 @ $3.14 | $21K | −0.2% of holding | +4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,237,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 1,000 @ $3.14 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | +2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,243,600 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 100 @ $3.37 | $337 | −0.0% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,244,600 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 8,300 @ $3.36 | $28K | −0.2% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,244,700 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 7,000 @ $3.44 | $24K | −0.2% of holding | −7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,253,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-17 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 5,000 @ $3.28 | $16K | −0.1% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,260,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 5,000 @ $3.26 | $16K | −0.1% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,265,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 9,000 @ $3.40 | $31K | −0.2% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,270,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-14 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 62,000 @ $3.48 | $216K | −1.4% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,279,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-13 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 119,000 @ $3.27 | $389K | −2.7% of holding | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,341,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | Beck Scott Arthur | director | Purchase | 1,076,923 @ $3.25 | $3.5M | +241.3% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,523,309 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-10 | Green Derek Todd | director | Purchase | 615,384 @ $3.25 | $2.0M | +246.2% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 865,384 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-10 | GELSINGER PATRICK P | director | Purchase | 153,846 @ $3.25 | $500K | +95.2% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 315,499 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-10 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 20,000 @ $2.98 | $60K | −0.4% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,460,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-09 | Grace & Mercy Foundation, Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 923,076 @ $3.25 | $3.0M | +36.9% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,423,076 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 125,000 @ $3.08 | $385K | −2.7% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,480,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 13,000 @ $3.98 | $52K | −0.3% of holding | −17.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,605,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 11,000 @ $3.76 | $41K | −0.2% of holding | −14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,618,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-06 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 13,700 @ $4.01 | $55K | −0.3% of holding | −15.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,629,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 300 @ $4.64 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | −22.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,642,700 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 12,000 @ $4.82 | $58K | −0.3% of holding | −30.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,643,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-30 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 4,000 @ $4.55 | $18K | −0.1% of holding | −30.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,655,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 4,000 @ $4.51 | $18K | −0.1% of holding | −29.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,659,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 15,600 @ $4.33 | $68K | −0.3% of holding | −29.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,663,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-25 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 1,600 @ $4.21 | $7K | −0.0% of holding | −23.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,678,600 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 3,800 @ $4.54 | $17K | −0.1% of holding | −30.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,680,200 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 27,859 @ $4.59 | $128K | −0.6% of holding | −31.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,684,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-22 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 430 @ $4.73 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −30.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,711,859 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Sale | 6,711 @ $4.70 | $32K | −0.1% of holding | −29.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,712,289 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
25 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | FURST JACK D | director | Conversion | 732,856 | 732,856 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | FURST JACK D | director | Conversion | 544,444 | 544,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | FURST JACK D | director | Conversion | 544,444 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | FURST JACK D | director | Conversion | 732,856 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | FURST JACK D | director | Conversion | 732,856 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | FURST JACK D | director | Conversion | 544,444 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | FURST JACK D | director | Conversion | 732,856 | 732,856 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | FURST JACK D | director | Conversion | 544,444 | 544,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Conversion | 4,786,477 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Conversion | 4,786,477 | 4,786,477 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS | other | Conversion | 4,786,477 | 4,786,477 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | GELSINGER PATRICK P | director | Gift | 223,907 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-26 | Jones Nona | director | Award / grant | 7,500 | 7,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-26 | Seamon Paul E. | officer | Award / grant | 116,666 | 116,666 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-26 | Gruenewald Robert | director | Award / grant | 138,889 | 138,889 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Green Derek Todd | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | FURST JACK D | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 275,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Alexander Claude | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Gruenewald Robert | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Jones Nona | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Grennan Elizabeth Lyons | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Beck Scott Arthur | director | Conversion | 15,984,099 | 28,759,750 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | GELSINGER PATRICK P | director | Conversion | 159,745 | 159,745 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Beck Scott Arthur | director | Conversion | 15,984,099 | 28,759,750 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | GELSINGER PATRICK P | director | Conversion | 159,745 | 159,745 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.