GICGlobal Industrial CoIndustrials · Industrial - Distributionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $39.85 · now $39.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GIC has typically landed between $34.11 and $46.23 — a range of −14.4% to +16.0% from the issuance price $39.85.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($39.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GIC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $39.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$34.11worst · -14.4%$46.23best · +16.0%
  • now $39.85 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $40.24 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $37.72–$42.77
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $34.11–$46.23
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2006-10-09−44.2%−46.7%+0.9%
2006-10-10−43.9%−47.2%+0.0%
2006-10-05−40.0%−42.1%+9.7%
3 best
2017-03-24+88.7%+0.0%+89.2%
2017-03-23+85.2%−2.1%+85.2%
2017-03-22+76.6%−1.3%+77.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
+0.2%
n=20
Feb
40%
−2.3%
n=20
Mar
55%
+6.7%
n=20
Apr
65%
+5.1%
n=20
May
50%
−1.9%
n=20
Jun
45%
−0.0%
n=20
Jul
75%
+5.1%
n=20
Aug
35%
−0.6%
n=20
Sep
45%
−1.8%
n=20
Oct
60%
+2.9%
n=20
Nov
60%
+0.9%
n=20
Dec
75%
+5.1%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$40$262026-08-28: 2 insider sales, $189K — Hughes Claudia …2026-08-27: 1 insider sale, $66K — Hughes Claudia2026-08-24: 1 insider purchase, $580 — Hughes Claudia2026-08-13: 1 insider sale, $37K — AXMACHER THOMAS2026-08-06: 2 insider sales, $756K — Clark Thomas Eugene, AXMACHER THOMAS2026-05-26: 1 insider purchase, $472 — Hughes Claudia2026-03-27: 5 insider sales, $348K — Longhito Christopher …2026-03-26: 1 insider sale, $11K — Longhito Christopher2026-03-23: 1 insider sale, $26K — Longhito Christopher2026-03-16: 1 insider purchase, $458 — Hughes Claudia2025-11-17: 1 insider purchase, $429 — Hughes Claudia2025-09-04: 1 insider sale, $347K — AXMACHER THOMAS2025-08-18: 1 insider purchase, $418 — Hughes Claudia2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $4182025-08: 1 open-market sale, $333K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $347K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $4292026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $4582026-03: 7 open-market sales, $385K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $4722026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $5802026-08: 6 open-market sales, $1.0M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Hughes Claudia — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Hughes Claudia — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Hughes Claudia — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hughes Claudia — Purchase on 2026-08-24, filed 18 days after the tradeofficer AXMACHER THOMAS — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Clark Thomas Eugene — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer AXMACHER THOMAS — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hughes Claudia — Purchase on 2026-05-26, filed 108 days after the tradeofficer Longhito Christopher — Sale on 2026-03-27, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Longhito Christopher — Sale on 2026-03-27, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Longhito Christopher — Sale on 2026-03-27, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Longhito Christopher — Sale on 2026-03-27, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Longhito Christopher — Sale on 2026-03-27, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Longhito Christopher — Sale on 2026-03-26, filed 6 days after the tradeofficer Longhito Christopher — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 9 days after the tradeofficer Hughes Claudia — Purchase on 2026-03-16, filed 179 days after the tradeofficer Hughes Claudia — Purchase on 2025-11-17, filed 298 days after the tradeofficer AXMACHER THOMAS — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hughes Claudia — Purchase on 2025-08-18, filed 389 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-28Hughes ClaudiaofficerSale2,923 @ $39.64$116K−8.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open32,167Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-28Hughes ClaudiaofficerSale1,830 @ $40.00$73K−5.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open35,090Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-27Hughes ClaudiaofficerSale1,734 @ $38.22$66K−4.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open36,920Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-24Hughes ClaudiaofficerPurchase15 @ $38.67$580+0.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open32,301Form 4 · filed 18 days after the trade
2026-08-13AXMACHER THOMASofficerSale952 @ $39.10$37K−12.9% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open6,414Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06Clark Thomas EugeneofficerSale17,500 @ $39.14$685K−19.5% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open72,231Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-06AXMACHER THOMASofficerSale1,848 @ $38.60$71K−20.1% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open7,366Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-26Hughes ClaudiaofficerPurchase16 @ $29.48$472+0.0% of holding+16.7%not yet — horizon still open32,286Form 4 · filed 108 days after the trade
2026-03-27Longhito ChristopherofficerSale5,985 @ $31.05$186Kownership Δ n/a−2.8%not yet — horizon still open286Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-27Longhito ChristopherofficerSale2,927 @ $31.00$91K−31.7% of holding−2.8%not yet — horizon still open6,303Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-27Longhito ChristopherofficerSale1,984 @ $31.00$62K−23.9% of holding−2.8%not yet — horizon still open6,303Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-27Longhito ChristopherofficerSale286 @ $30.97$9Kownership Δ n/a−2.8%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-27Longhito ChristopherofficerSale32 @ $31.09$995−0.5% of holding−2.8%not yet — horizon still open6,271Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-26Longhito ChristopherofficerSale364 @ $31.46$11K+6.1% of holding−2.0%not yet — horizon still open6,303Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2026-03-23Longhito ChristopherofficerSale819 @ $31.30$26K−10.9% of holding−2.7%not yet — horizon still open6,667Form 4 · filed 9 days after the trade
2026-03-16Hughes ClaudiaofficerPurchase15 @ $30.53$458+0.0% of holding+1.0%+15.8%32,270Form 4 · filed 179 days after the trade
2025-11-17Hughes ClaudiaofficerPurchase16 @ $26.80$429+0.0% of holding+11.4%−0.4%32,255Form 4 · filed 298 days after the trade
2025-09-04AXMACHER THOMASofficerSale9,255 @ $37.50$347K−53.6% of holding−9.6%−19.8%8,024Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-18Hughes ClaudiaofficerPurchase12 @ $34.85$418+0.0% of holding−0.7%−18.7%32,239Form 4 · filed 389 days after the trade
2025-08-01Clark Thomas EugeneofficerSale10,000 @ $33.27$333K−12.5% of holding+10.5%−16.3%69,950Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-19Hughes ClaudiaofficerPurchase15 @ $27.22$408+0.0% of holding−3.2%−12.9%32,227Form 4 · filed 480 days after the trade
2025-03-17Hughes ClaudiaofficerPurchase19 @ $22.39$425+0.1% of holding+4.0%+49.5%32,212Form 4 · filed 543 days after the trade
2024-11-18Hughes ClaudiaofficerPurchase14 @ $27.61$387+0.0% of holding−7.1%−1.5%32,193Form 4 · filed 662 days after the trade
2024-08-19Hughes ClaudiaofficerPurchase12 @ $32.50$390+0.0% of holding+0.8%−33.3%32,179Form 4 · filed 753 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

138 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2027-09-03AXMACHER THOMASofficerOther acquisition2506,084Form 4
2026-09-03Tomey AlexofficerOther acquisition37624,781Form 4
2026-09-03Clark Thomas EugeneofficerOther acquisition33468,355Form 4
2026-08-27Clark Thomas EugeneofficerWithheld for tax4,21068,021Form 4
2026-08-27Shetty ManojofficerWithheld for tax4,00233,757Form 4
2026-08-27ADINA STORCHofficerWithheld for tax3,72933,353Form 4
2026-08-27ARMSTRONG LISAofficerWithheld for tax3,40518,275Form 4
2026-08-27Tomey AlexofficerWithheld for tax3,36224,405Form 4
2026-08-27Hughes ClaudiaofficerWithheld for tax2,59638,654Form 4
2026-08-27AXMACHER THOMASofficerWithheld for tax5805,834Form 4
2026-08-06Clark Thomas EugeneofficerOption exercise17,5000Form 4
2026-08-06Clark Thomas EugeneofficerOption exercise17,50089,731Form 4
2026-06-30Hughes ClaudiaofficerWithheld for tax64841,250Form 4
2026-06-01LINDBLOOM CHADdirectorAward / grant3,67716,847Form 4
2026-06-01Pearlman Paul SdirectorAward / grant3,67717,275Form 4
2026-06-01Michel Gary SdirectorAward / grant3,6777,007Form 4
2026-06-01ROSENTHAL ROBERTdirectorAward / grant3,67797,086Form 4
2026-03-27Longhito ChristopherofficerOption exercise2,9279,230Form 4
2026-03-27Longhito ChristopherofficerOption exercise2,9270Form 4
2026-03-27Longhito ChristopherofficerOption exercise1,9848,287Form 4
2026-03-27Longhito ChristopherofficerOption exercise1,9840Form 4
2026-03-02CHAIBI ANESAdirectorWithheld for tax2,68552,404Form 4
2026-03-02Clark Thomas EugeneofficerWithheld for tax1,43974,047Form 4
2026-03-02Clark Thomas EugeneofficerWithheld for tax1,40372,263Form 4
2026-03-02ADINA STORCHofficerWithheld for tax1,16837,337Form 4
2026-03-02ARMSTRONG LISAofficerWithheld for tax82121,680Form 4
2026-03-02Shetty ManojofficerWithheld for tax76437,747Form 4
2026-03-02Tomey AlexofficerWithheld for tax64427,592Form 4
2026-03-02Longhito ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax51621,382Form 4
2026-03-02Hughes ClaudiaofficerWithheld for tax49341,486Form 4
2026-03-02Clark Thomas EugeneofficerWithheld for tax38173,666Form 4
2026-03-02Clark Thomas EugeneofficerOther acquisition37172,634Form 4
2026-03-02Tomey AlexofficerOther acquisition53728,129Form 4
2026-03-02ADINA STORCHofficerWithheld for tax31738,505Form 4
2026-03-02Shetty ManojofficerWithheld for tax25538,719Form 4
2026-03-02AXMACHER THOMASofficerOther acquisition2749,213Form 4
2026-03-02ADINA STORCHofficerWithheld for tax23738,822Form 4
2026-03-02Tomey AlexofficerWithheld for tax21428,411Form 4
2026-03-02Shetty ManojofficerWithheld for tax20838,511Form 4
2026-03-02Tomey AlexofficerWithheld for tax17528,236Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.