GHGuardant Health, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $174.90 · now $174.90 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GH has typically landed between $134.12 and $239.36 — a range of −23.3% to +36.9% from the issuance price $174.90.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,963 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-10-042026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($174.90) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $174.9 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$134.12worst · -23.3%$239.36best · +36.9%
  • now $174.9 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $175.01 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $153.3$196.71
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $134.12$239.36
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,963 windows spanning 2018-10-04 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-04-11−59.1%−59.1%+4.2%
2022-04-07−58.5%−58.5%+0.0%
2022-04-08−57.5%−58.5%+0.0%
3 best
2019-02-12+132.0%+0.0%+132.0%
2019-02-11+128.0%+0.0%+128.0%
2019-02-13+127.5%+0.0%+127.5%

1,963 overlapping windows · 2018-10-042026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
63%
+7.1%
n=8
Feb
25%
+3.4%
n=8
Mar
50%
−2.3%
n=8
Apr
38%
−2.3%
n=8
May
63%
+11.8%
n=8
Jun
75%
+9.1%
n=8
Jul
75%
+4.6%
n=8
Aug
63%
+8.0%
n=8
Sep
38%
−4.5%
n=8
Oct
29%
+3.0%
n=7
Nov
75%
+13.0%
n=8
Dec
50%
−6.6%
n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$176$552026-09-11: 1 insider sale, $632K — Kalia Kumud2026-08-21: 3 insider sales, $6.3M — Talasaz AmirAli …2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $18K — Tariq Musa2026-08-12: 5 insider sales, $7.6M — Monroe Terilyn J. …2026-08-10: 4 insider sales, $10.8M — Freeman Chris …2026-08-05: 2 insider sales, $279K — Hidalgo Medina Manuel …2026-08-04: 2 insider sales, $2.3M — CLARK IAN T …2026-07-16: 1 insider sale, $19K — Tariq Musa2026-06-29: 4 insider sales, $21.7M — Talasaz AmirAli …2026-06-26: 2 insider sales, $17.6M — Talasaz AmirAli …2026-06-22: 2 insider sales, $460K — Tariq Musa, POTTER MYRTLE S2026-06-16: 1 insider sale, $15K — Tariq Musa2026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $79K — Kalia Kumud2026-06-15: 1 insider purchase, $78K — Kalia Kumud2026-06-11: 1 insider sale, $445K — Kalia Kumud2026-06-10: 2 insider sales, $731K — Kalia Kumud …2026-06-05: 8 insider sales, $12.9M — Eltoukhy Helmy, Bell Michael Brian …2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Krognes Steve E.2026-06-03: 4 insider sales, $1.3M — Joyce Meghan V. …2026-05-28: 1 insider sale, $130K — Hidalgo Medina Manuel2026-05-27: 2 insider sales, $1.3M — Saia John G. …2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $2.9M — Freeman Chris2026-05-20: 18 insider sales, $26.1M — Talasaz AmirAli, Saia John G., CLARK IAN T, Hidalgo Medina Manuel …2026-05-18: 1 insider sale, $11K — Tariq Musa2026-05-12: 1 insider sale, $5.0M — Talasaz AmirAli2026-04-16: 1 insider sale, $10K — Tariq Musa2026-04-06: 1 insider sale, $355K — Monroe Terilyn J.2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $132K2025-09: 6 open-market sales, $18.0M2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $10K2025-11: 4 open-market sales, $1.0M2025-12: 45 open-market sales, $38.4M2026-01: 6 open-market sales, $2.1M2026-03: 6 open-market sales, $4.2M2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $365K2026-05: 24 open-market sales, $35.4M2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $78K2026-06: 26 open-market sales, $56.4M2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $19K2026-08: 17 open-market sales, $27.3M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $632K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Kalia Kumud — Sale on 2026-09-11, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Tariq Musa — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Monroe Terilyn J. — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Monroe Terilyn J. — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Monroe Terilyn J. — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Monroe Terilyn J. — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Monroe Terilyn J. — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Freeman Chris — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Freeman Chris — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Freeman Chris — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Freeman Chris — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hidalgo Medina Manuel — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hidalgo Medina Manuel — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CLARK IAN T — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CLARK IAN T — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Tariq Musa — Sale on 2026-07-16, filed same daydirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-06-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-06-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-06-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-06-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Tariq Musa — Sale on 2026-06-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector POTTER MYRTLE S — Sale on 2026-06-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Tariq Musa — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed same dayofficer Kalia Kumud — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 15 days after the tradeofficer Kalia Kumud — Purchase on 2026-06-15, filed 15 days after the tradeofficer Kalia Kumud — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kalia Kumud — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kalia Kumud — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 20 days after the tradedirector Eltoukhy Helmy — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Eltoukhy Helmy — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Eltoukhy Helmy — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Bell Michael Brian — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Eltoukhy Helmy — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Eltoukhy Helmy — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Eltoukhy Helmy — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Eltoukhy Helmy — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Krognes Steve E. — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Joyce Meghan V. — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Joyce Meghan V. — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Joyce Meghan V. — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Joyce Meghan V. — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hidalgo Medina Manuel — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Saia John G. — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Saia John G. — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Freeman Chris — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Saia John G. — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Saia John G. — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CLARK IAN T — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Saia John G. — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hidalgo Medina Manuel — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hidalgo Medina Manuel — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Tariq Musa — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Talasaz AmirAli — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Tariq Musa — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed same dayofficer Monroe Terilyn J. — Sale on 2026-04-06, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Kalia KumudofficerSale4,000 @ $158.05$632K−9.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open39,794Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-21Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale20,888 @ $169.16$3.5M−31.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open45,089Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-21Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale9,023 @ $168.20$1.5M−12.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open65,977Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-21Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale7,589 @ $170.29$1.3M−16.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open37,500Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-17Tariq MusadirectorSale116 @ $156.45$18K−1.0% of holding+10.6%not yet — horizon still open11,316Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12Monroe Terilyn J.officerSale19,014 @ $165.16$3.1M−34.2% of holding−3.6%not yet — horizon still open36,627Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12Monroe Terilyn J.officerSale13,248 @ $166.11$2.2M−36.2% of holding−3.6%not yet — horizon still open23,379Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12Monroe Terilyn J.officerSale9,934 @ $164.27$1.6M−15.1% of holding−3.6%not yet — horizon still open55,641Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12Monroe Terilyn J.officerSale3,704 @ $163.41$605K−5.3% of holding−3.6%not yet — horizon still open65,575Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12Monroe Terilyn J.officerSale400 @ $167.92$67K−1.7% of holding−3.6%not yet — horizon still open22,979Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10Freeman ChrisofficerSale35,364 @ $169.63$6.0M−29.9% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open82,787Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10Freeman ChrisofficerSale17,413 @ $170.24$3.0M−21.0% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open65,374Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10Freeman ChrisofficerSale7,365 @ $168.79$1.2M−5.9% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open118,151Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10Freeman ChrisofficerSale3,463 @ $167.38$580K−2.7% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open125,516Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05Hidalgo Medina ManueldirectorSale950 @ $163.94$156K−15.2% of holding+4.3%not yet — horizon still open5,306Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05Hidalgo Medina ManueldirectorSale750 @ $164.61$123K−14.1% of holding+4.3%not yet — horizon still open4,556Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04CLARK IAN TdirectorSale9,088 @ $158.98$1.4M−53.0% of holding+4.3%not yet — horizon still open8,067Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04CLARK IAN TdirectorSale5,092 @ $158.80$809K−63.1% of holding+4.3%not yet — horizon still open2,975Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-16Tariq MusadirectorSale116 @ $163.29$19K−1.0% of holding+4.6%not yet — horizon still open11,182Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-29Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale70,513 @ $151.47$10.7M−3.5% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open1,928,039Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-29Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale46,663 @ $152.20$7.1M−2.4% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open1,881,376Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-29Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale25,812 @ $150.53$3.9M−1.3% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open1,998,552Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-29Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale40 @ $153.00$6K−0.0% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open1,881,336Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-26Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale64,037 @ $150.49$9.6M−3.2% of holding+0.2%not yet — horizon still open1,934,271Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-26Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale52,935 @ $151.16$8.0M−2.7% of holding+0.2%not yet — horizon still open1,881,336Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-22Tariq MusadirectorSale1,951 @ $131.16$256K−15.0% of holding+16.6%not yet — horizon still open11,048Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-22POTTER MYRTLE SdirectorSale1,556 @ $131.16$204K−6.9% of holding+16.6%not yet — horizon still open20,971Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16Tariq MusadirectorSale116 @ $130.19$15K−1.3% of holding+23.1%not yet — horizon still open8,796Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-15Kalia KumudofficerSale600 @ $131.08$79K−1.4% of holding+19.7%not yet — horizon still open40,814Form 4 · filed 15 days after the trade
2026-06-15Kalia KumudofficerPurchase600 @ $130.76$78K+1.5% of holding+19.7%not yet — horizon still open41,414Form 4 · filed 15 days after the trade
2026-06-11Kalia KumudofficerSale3,418 @ $130.24$445K−7.7% of holding+20.1%not yet — horizon still open41,090Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-10Kalia KumudofficerSale5,000 @ $130.41$652K−10.1% of holding+17.7%not yet — horizon still open44,508Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-10Kalia KumudofficerSale600 @ $130.86$79K−1.4% of holding+17.7%not yet — horizon still open40,814Form 4 · filed 20 days after the trade
2026-06-05Eltoukhy HelmydirectorSale49,716 @ $125.57$6.2M−2.4% of holding+23.0%not yet — horizon still open2,063,203Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05Eltoukhy HelmydirectorSale33,843 @ $126.33$4.3M−1.6% of holding+23.0%not yet — horizon still open2,029,360Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05Eltoukhy HelmydirectorSale13,787 @ $128.25$1.8M−0.7% of holding+23.0%not yet — horizon still open2,014,473Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05Bell Michael BrianofficerSale2,000 @ $128.62$257K−4.0% of holding+23.0%not yet — horizon still open47,509Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05Eltoukhy HelmydirectorSale1,100 @ $127.02$140K−0.1% of holding+23.0%not yet — horizon still open2,028,260Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05Eltoukhy HelmydirectorSale900 @ $131.78$119K−0.0% of holding+23.0%not yet — horizon still open2,013,019Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05Eltoukhy HelmydirectorSale554 @ $130.21$72K−0.0% of holding+23.0%not yet — horizon still open2,013,919Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05Eltoukhy HelmydirectorSale100 @ $132.55$13K−0.0% of holding+23.0%not yet — horizon still open2,012,919Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-04Krognes Steve E.directorSale9,294 @ $132.51$1.2M−47.6% of holding+23.4%not yet — horizon still open10,222Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03Joyce Meghan V.directorSale5,728 @ $127.11$728K−32.4% of holding+33.0%not yet — horizon still open11,939Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03Joyce Meghan V.directorSale3,516 @ $126.52$445K−16.6% of holding+33.0%not yet — horizon still open17,667Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03Joyce Meghan V.directorSale650 @ $128.02$83K−5.4% of holding+33.0%not yet — horizon still open11,289Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03Joyce Meghan V.directorSale106 @ $129.31$14K−0.9% of holding+33.0%not yet — horizon still open11,183Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-28Hidalgo Medina ManueldirectorSale1,000 @ $130.06$130K−61.0% of holding+17.0%not yet — horizon still open639Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27Saia John G.officerSale9,994 @ $125.08$1.3M−21.7% of holding+19.6%not yet — horizon still open35,956Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27Saia John G.officerSale6 @ $126.08$756−0.0% of holding+19.6%not yet — horizon still open35,950Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22Freeman ChrisofficerSale24,406 @ $118.67$2.9M−28.9% of holding+16.5%not yet — horizon still open60,034Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-20Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale37,900 @ $112.02$4.2M−1.9% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open1,912,856Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale37,163 @ $111.14$4.1M−1.9% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open1,950,756Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale33,069 @ $108.11$3.6M−1.6% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open2,026,679Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale28,908 @ $110.10$3.2M−1.4% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open1,987,919Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale26,352 @ $112.76$3.0M−1.4% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open1,886,504Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale21,171 @ $106.99$2.3M−1.0% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open2,059,748Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale11,919 @ $105.01$1.3M−0.6% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open2,082,119Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Talasaz AmirAlidirectorSale9,852 @ $108.97$1.1M−0.5% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open2,016,827Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Saia John G.officerSale7,181 @ $107.23$770K−13.5% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open45,950Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Saia John G.officerSale7,187 @ $106.71$767K−11.9% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open53,131Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

228 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-12Azar Alex M IIdirectorOption exercise1,6514,953Form 4
2026-09-12Azar Alex M IIdirectorOption exercise1,6511,651Form 4
2026-08-26Eltoukhy HelmydirectorGift30,0001,940,934Form 4
2026-08-26Eltoukhy HelmydirectorOther acquisition25,0001,970,934Form 4
2026-08-26Eltoukhy HelmydirectorOther acquisition25,00060,000Form 4
2026-08-21MIGNONE ROBERTOdirectorOption exercise2646,864Form 4
2026-08-21MIGNONE ROBERTOdirectorOption exercise26410,010Form 4
2026-08-17Hidalgo Medina ManueldirectorOption exercise2325,337Form 4
2026-08-17Hidalgo Medina ManueldirectorOption exercise2324,788Form 4
2026-08-15Tariq MusadirectorOption exercise25011,432Form 4
2026-08-15Tariq MusadirectorOption exercise2501,749Form 4
2026-08-12Monroe Terilyn J.officerOption exercise32,28855,267Form 4
2026-08-12Monroe Terilyn J.officerOption exercise14,01269,279Form 4
2026-08-12Monroe Terilyn J.officerOption exercise32,28810,916Form 4
2026-08-12Monroe Terilyn J.officerOption exercise14,01218,615Form 4
2026-08-11Eltoukhy HelmydirectorGift35,0001,995,934Form 4
2026-08-11Eltoukhy HelmydirectorGift35,00035,000Form 4
2026-08-10Freeman ChrisofficerOption exercise35,412100,786Form 4
2026-08-10Freeman ChrisofficerOption exercise28,193128,979Form 4
2026-08-10Freeman ChrisofficerOption exercise28,1931,668Form 4
2026-08-10Freeman ChrisofficerOption exercise35,4123,620Form 4
2026-08-10Talasaz AmirAlidirectorGift75,00075,000Form 4
2026-08-10Saia John G.officerGift80038,991Form 4
2026-08-10Talasaz AmirAlidirectorGift75,0001,824,351Form 4
2026-08-05Hidalgo Medina ManueldirectorOption exercise9506,256Form 4
2026-08-05Hidalgo Medina ManueldirectorOption exercise95012,079Form 4
2026-08-04CLARK IAN TdirectorOption exercise6,83317,155Form 4
2026-08-04CLARK IAN TdirectorOption exercise2,25510,322Form 4
2026-08-04CLARK IAN TdirectorOption exercise2,2550Form 4
2026-08-04CLARK IAN TdirectorOption exercise6,8330Form 4
2026-07-21MIGNONE ROBERTOdirectorOption exercise2649,746Form 4
2026-07-21MIGNONE ROBERTOdirectorOption exercise2647,128Form 4
2026-07-17Hidalgo Medina ManueldirectorOption exercise2325,569Form 4
2026-07-17Hidalgo Medina ManueldirectorOption exercise2325,306Form 4
2026-07-15Tariq MusadirectorOption exercise2501,999Form 4
2026-07-15Tariq MusadirectorOption exercise25011,298Form 4
2026-07-01Eltoukhy HelmydirectorWithheld for tax17,0862,030,934Form 4
2026-07-01Talasaz AmirAlidirectorWithheld for tax17,0861,899,351Form 4
2026-07-01Chudova DaryaofficerWithheld for tax4,31878,373Form 4
2026-07-01Bell Michael BrianofficerWithheld for tax3,91451,816Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Sheldon WhitehouseSenatepurchase2025-12-012025-11-21$1–15K
Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.Housesale2022-03-032022-02-28$1–15K
Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.Housesale2022-02-012022-01-13$1–15K
Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.Housesale2022-01-012021-12-22$1–15K
Donald Sternoff Beyer JrHousepurchase2020-12-012020-11-02$1–15K
Donald Sternoff Beyer JrHousepurchase2020-11-052020-10-22$1–15K
Donald Sternoff Beyer JrHousepurchase2020-11-052020-10-05$1–15K
Donald Sternoff Beyer JrHousesale2020-08-092020-07-14$1–15K
Donald Sternoff Beyer JrHousesale2020-05-312020-05-01$1–15K
Donald Sternoff Beyer JrHousesale2020-05-092020-04-27$1–15K
Donald Sternoff Beyer JrHousepurchase2020-02-222020-02-14$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.