GGGGraco Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $76.28 · now $76.28 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GGG has typically landed between $69.07 and $84.06 — a range of −9.5% to +10.2% from the issuance price $76.28.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($76.28) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GGG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $76.28 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$69.07worst · -9.5%$84.06best · +10.2%
  • now $76.28 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $76.49 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $73.38–$79.59
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $69.07–$84.06
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−37.7%−37.7%+0.7%
2008-09-25−35.6%−35.6%+1.5%
2011-07-08−34.6%−34.6%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-31+39.4%+0.0%+39.4%
2009-03-30+39.3%+0.0%+39.3%
2009-04-01+37.0%+0.0%+37.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+0.2%
n=20
Feb
70%
+1.8%
n=20
Mar
60%
+1.8%
n=20
Apr
55%
+3.2%
n=20
May
60%
−0.6%
n=20
Jun
35%
−0.4%
n=20
Jul
65%
+2.4%
n=20
Aug
40%
−0.6%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.3%
n=20
Oct
65%
+2.1%
n=20
Nov
75%
+2.5%
n=20
Dec
60%
+1.7%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$94$732026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $257K — Etchart Eric2026-04-27: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Simon Andrea Helen2026-02-06: 1 insider sale, $264K — Wordell Angela F2026-02-04: 1 insider sale, $133K — White Timothy R2026-02-03: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — GILLIGAN J KEVIN2026-02-02: 2 insider sales, $973K — O'Shea Peter J, Schoenrock Kathryn L2026-01-30: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Merengo Claudio2025-08-22: 1 insider sale, $795K — Merengo Claudio2025-08-14: 1 insider sale, $515K — Etchart Eric2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.3M2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $1.3M2026-02: 5 open-market sales, $2.5M2026-04: 1 open-market purchase, $100K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $257K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Etchart Eric — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Simon Andrea Helen — Purchase on 2026-04-27, filed same dayofficer Wordell Angela F — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer White Timothy R — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector GILLIGAN J KEVIN — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer O'Shea Peter J — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed same dayofficer Schoenrock Kathryn L — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Merengo Claudio — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Merengo Claudio — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Etchart Eric — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-03Etchart EricdirectorSale3,218 @ $80.01$257K−6.5% of holding−4.9%not yet — horizon still open46,452Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-27Simon Andrea HelendirectorPurchase1,240 @ $80.53$100Kownership Δ n/a−10.6%not yet — horizon still open1,240Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-06Wordell Angela FofficerSale2,832 @ $93.22$264K−17.5% of holding−3.2%−22.0%13,360Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-04White Timothy RofficerSale1,469 @ $90.70$133K−2.8% of holding−1.3%−21.3%51,430Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03GILLIGAN J KEVINdirectorSale12,870 @ $89.07$1.1M−100.0% of holding+4.0%−18.6%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02O'Shea Peter JofficerSale8,820 @ $88.10$777K−37.4% of holding+6.5%−17.8%14,790Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-02Schoenrock Kathryn LofficerSale2,223 @ $88.06$196K−22.1% of holding+6.5%−17.8%7,846Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-30Merengo ClaudioofficerSale14,410 @ $87.03$1.3M−42.1% of holding+7.6%−17.5%19,853Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-22Merengo ClaudioofficerSale9,132 @ $87.11$795K−31.7% of holding−5.8%+0.6%19,633Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-14Etchart EricdirectorSale6,000 @ $85.80$515K−11.5% of holding−3.1%+5.4%45,979Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-13Thompson David JofficerSale3,588 @ $86.23$309K−11.5% of holding−3.6%−20.8%27,520Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

134 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Hedlund Steven BdirectorAward / grant2,7102,710Form 4
2026-08-03Etchart EricdirectorOption exercise3,21849,670Form 4
2026-08-03Etchart EricdirectorOption exercise3,2189,652Form 4
2026-07-01GILLIGAN J KEVINdirectorAward / grant62199,367Form 4
2026-07-01FERAGEN JODY HdirectorAward / grant41414,253Form 4
2026-07-01Anfang Heather LdirectorAward / grant3533,865Form 4
2026-07-01Black Archie C.directorAward / grant3534,136Form 4
2026-07-01Wheeler Kevin J.directorAward / grant3318,337Form 4
2026-07-01Etchart EricdirectorAward / grant17417,805Form 4
2026-04-15Gupta SanjivofficerAward / grant13,07613,076Form 4
2026-04-15Gupta SanjivofficerAward / grant53,33053,330Form 4
2026-04-01GILLIGAN J KEVINdirectorAward / grant39498,386Form 4
2026-04-01FERAGEN JODY HdirectorAward / grant35013,789Form 4
2026-04-01Anfang Heather LdirectorAward / grant2953,499Form 4
2026-04-01Black Archie C.directorAward / grant2953,769Form 4
2026-04-01Wheeler Kevin J.directorAward / grant2767,977Form 4
2026-04-01Etchart EricdirectorAward / grant14517,566Form 4
2026-02-13Humke Joseph JdirectorAward / grant17,77017,770Form 4
2026-02-13Anfang Heather LdirectorAward / grant5,2405,240Form 4
2026-02-13Banerjee RonitaofficerAward / grant17,77017,770Form 4
2026-02-13SHEAHAN MARK WdirectorAward / grant194,650194,650Form 4
2026-02-13Black Archie C.directorAward / grant5,2405,240Form 4
2026-02-13LOWE DAVID MofficerAward / grant32,15032,150Form 4
2026-02-13Etchart EricdirectorAward / grant5,2405,240Form 4
2026-02-13Evanson Laura LofficerAward / grant17,77017,770Form 4
2026-02-13FERAGEN JODY HdirectorAward / grant5,2405,240Form 4
2026-02-13MORFITT MARTHA A MdirectorAward / grant5,2405,240Form 4
2026-02-13O'Shea Peter JofficerAward / grant17,77017,770Form 4
2026-02-13GILLIGAN J KEVINdirectorAward / grant5,2405,240Form 4
2026-02-13Simon Andrea HelendirectorAward / grant5,2405,240Form 4
2026-02-13Wheeler Kevin J.directorAward / grant5,2405,240Form 4
2026-02-13Grasdal IngeofficerAward / grant17,77017,770Form 4
2026-02-13Merengo ClaudioofficerAward / grant17,77017,770Form 4
2026-02-13White Timothy RofficerAward / grant17,77017,770Form 4
2026-02-13Wordell Angela FofficerAward / grant17,77017,770Form 4
2026-02-13Knutson Christopher D.officerAward / grant8,4608,460Form 4
2026-02-13Schoenrock Kathryn LofficerAward / grant17,77017,770Form 4
2026-02-13Thompson David JofficerAward / grant17,77017,770Form 4
2026-02-09LOWE DAVID MofficerOption exercise3,000663,524Form 4
2026-02-09LOWE DAVID MofficerOption exercise3,0000Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.