GENGen Digital Inc.Technology · Software - Infrastructureas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $21.62 · now $21.62 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, GEN has typically landed between $18.93 and $24.74 — a range of −12.4% to +14.4% from the issuance price $21.62.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,692 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($21.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GEN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $21.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$18.93worst · -12.4%$24.74best · +14.4%
  • now $21.62 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $21.76 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $20.47–$23.05
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $18.93–$24.74
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,692 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-01−35.6%−35.6%+0.0%
2008-09-11−34.4%−34.4%+0.0%
2008-09-10−32.3%−32.3%+1.5%
3 best
2026-04-30+44.7%+0.0%+44.7%
2026-05-01+42.9%+0.0%+44.1%
2021-05-06+36.6%+0.0%+36.9%

4,692 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$15.6B
market cap
$1.58
EPS (TTM)
16.4
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-06
next earnings
Revenue$5.0B
'21'26
Net income$973M
'21'26
Free cash flow$1.5B
'21'26
Net margin · by yr19.5%
'21'26
ROE · by yr37.3%
'21'26
Debt / equity · by yr3.16
'21'26

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $21.62$13.29$134.08
  • DCF (intrinsic)$125.75
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$54.04
  • Analyst target · range $27.00–$27.00$27.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-25$21.62

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+3.0%
n=18
Feb
53%
+0.0%
n=19
Mar
53%
+0.3%
n=19
Apr
63%
+1.5%
n=19
May
42%
+2.3%
n=19
Jun
42%
−0.1%
n=19
Jul
58%
+3.1%
n=19
Aug
74%
+3.3%
n=19
Sep
42%
−3.1%
n=19
Oct
50%
−1.5%
n=18
Nov
56%
+2.8%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.5%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$31$182026-09-04: 1 insider sale, $866K — KO BRYAN SEUK2026-08-27: 1 insider sale, $6.0M — Vlcek Ondrej2026-08-25: 1 insider sale, $4.4M — Vlcek Ondrej2026-08-21: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Vlcek Ondrej2026-08-19: 1 insider sale, $2.8M — Vlcek Ondrej2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $12K — Witteveen Travis Michael2026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $883K — Witteveen Travis Michael2026-06-10: 1 insider sale, $2.5M — Vlcek Ondrej2026-06-04: 1 insider purchase, $81K — Chrystal John C2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $19K — DERSE NATALIE MARIE2025-12-10: 1 insider sale, $3.1M — Vlcek Ondrej2025-11-13: 1 insider purchase, $136K — Chrystal John C2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $321K2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $1.3M2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $136K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $3.1M2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $19K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $81K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $2.5M2026-08: 6 open-market sales, $15.5M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $866K↑ buys↓ salesofficer KO BRYAN SEUK — Sale on 2026-09-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Vlcek Ondrej — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Vlcek Ondrej — Sale on 2026-08-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vlcek Ondrej — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Vlcek Ondrej — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Witteveen Travis Michael — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Witteveen Travis Michael — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vlcek Ondrej — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Chrystal John C — Purchase on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DERSE NATALIE MARIE — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vlcek Ondrej — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Chrystal John C — Purchase on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-04KO BRYAN SEUKofficerSale28,248 @ $30.67$866K−3.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open744,262Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-08-27Vlcek OndrejdirectorSale200,000 @ $30.00$6.0M−5.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open3,332,904Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25Vlcek OndrejdirectorSale152,358 @ $29.00$4.4M−4.1% of holding−21.5%not yet — horizon still open3,532,904Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-21Vlcek OndrejdirectorSale47,462 @ $29.00$1.4M−1.3% of holding−6.7%not yet — horizon still open3,685,262Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-19Vlcek OndrejdirectorSale100,000 @ $28.00$2.8M−2.6% of holding+6.3%not yet — horizon still open3,732,724Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-17Witteveen Travis MichaelofficerSale440 @ $28.06$12K−0.1% of holding+14.5%not yet — horizon still open496,545Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Witteveen Travis MichaelofficerSale30,000 @ $29.42$883K−5.7% of holding+3.0%not yet — horizon still open496,545Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-10Vlcek OndrejdirectorSale100,000 @ $24.78$2.5M−2.5% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open3,832,724Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-04Chrystal John CdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $27.06$81K+10.6% of holding+2.0%not yet — horizon still open31,419Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17DERSE NATALIE MARIEdirectorSale794 @ $23.62$19K−0.2% of holding−6.6%+8.8%456,678Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-10Vlcek OndrejdirectorSale113,674 @ $27.12$3.1M−2.8% of holding−4.2%−19.2%3,932,980Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-13Chrystal John CdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $27.14$136K+21.4% of holding+2.1%−18.1%28,419Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-13KO BRYAN SEUKofficerSale41,084 @ $32.00$1.3M−6.5% of holding−11.0%−32.4%586,462Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-13Chrystal John CdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $32.10$321K+344.7% of holding−11.0%−32.4%12,901Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-16Denzel NoradirectorSale31,646 @ $28.76$910K−47.6% of holding+3.2%−20.3%34,860Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-18DERSE NATALIE MARIEdirectorSale989 @ $27.74$27K−0.3% of holding+8.3%+9.7%333,668Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-11-26KO BRYAN SEUKofficerSale37,848 @ $30.58$1.2M−7.0% of holding−9.9%−6.7%504,500Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-11-26KO BRYAN SEUKofficerSale10,442 @ $30.58$319K−1.9% of holding−9.9%−6.7%542,348Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-08-19Pilette VincentdirectorSale178,801 @ $25.54$4.6M−9.4% of holding+4.0%−1.7%1,719,658Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-05-15Feld Peter AdirectorSale303,118 @ $24.89$7.5M−100.0% of holding−4.6%+9.6%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-05-15Feld Peter AdirectorSale39,182 @ $24.89$975K−100.0% of holding−4.6%+9.6%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-05-14Feld Peter AdirectorSale664,150 @ $24.44$16.2M−68.7% of holding−3.4%+10.9%303,118Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-05-14DERSE NATALIE MARIEdirectorSale169,535 @ $24.31$4.1M−33.7% of holding−3.4%+10.9%333,668Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-05-14Feld Peter AdirectorSale85,850 @ $24.44$2.1M−68.7% of holding−3.4%+10.9%39,182Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-02-16DERSE NATALIE MARIEdirectorSale1,221 @ $21.32$26K−0.3% of holding−3.4%+7.8%360,740Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

121 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-09Vlcek OndrejdirectorWithheld for tax2,6473,339,201Form 4
2026-09-09Baudis PaveldirectorWithheld for tax2,64739,990Form 4
2026-09-09Vlcek OndrejdirectorAward / grant9,0723,341,848Form 4
2026-09-09Smith Sherrese MdirectorAward / grant1,68084,634Form 4
2026-09-09BRANDT ERICdirectorGift8,8229,072Form 4
2026-09-09Smith Sherrese MdirectorAward / grant9,07282,954Form 4
2026-09-09Baudis PaveldirectorAward / grant9,07242,637Form 4
2026-09-09Denzel NoradirectorAward / grant9,07252,754Form 4
2026-09-09Chrystal John CdirectorAward / grant9,07240,491Form 4
2026-09-09BRANDT ERICdirectorGift8,82278,506Form 4
2026-09-09Barsamian SuedirectorAward / grant9,07217,894Form 4
2026-09-09Barsamian SuedirectorGift8,8229,072Form 4
2026-09-09Barsamian SuedirectorGift8,82299,885Form 4
2026-09-09HEATH EMILYdirectorAward / grant9,07276,274Form 4
2026-09-09BRANDT ERICdirectorAward / grant9,07217,894Form 4
2026-09-01Vlcek OndrejdirectorWithheld for tax1283,332,776Form 4
2026-08-15Witteveen Travis MichaelofficerAward / grant440496,985Form 4
2026-06-01Vlcek OndrejdirectorWithheld for tax1283,932,724Form 4
2026-05-08Pilette VincentdirectorAward / grant498,8961,718,199Form 4
2026-05-08DERSE NATALIE MARIEdirectorAward / grant135,118661,591Form 4
2026-05-08KO BRYAN SEUKofficerAward / grant135,118772,510Form 4
2026-05-04Pilette VincentdirectorOption exercise695,0511,548,450Form 4
2026-05-04Pilette VincentdirectorWithheld for tax329,1471,219,303Form 4
2026-05-04DERSE NATALIE MARIEdirectorOption exercise243,878658,119Form 4
2026-05-04KO BRYAN SEUKofficerOption exercise182,909736,127Form 4
2026-05-04DERSE NATALIE MARIEdirectorWithheld for tax131,646526,473Form 4
2026-05-04KO BRYAN SEUKofficerWithheld for tax98,735637,392Form 4
2026-05-04Pilette VincentdirectorOption exercise695,0510Form 4
2026-05-04Pilette VincentdirectorAward / grant695,051695,051Form 4
2026-05-04KO BRYAN SEUKofficerOption exercise182,9090Form 4
2026-05-04KO BRYAN SEUKofficerAward / grant182,909182,909Form 4
2026-05-04DERSE NATALIE MARIEdirectorOption exercise243,8780Form 4
2026-05-04DERSE NATALIE MARIEdirectorAward / grant243,878243,878Form 4
2026-05-01Pilette VincentdirectorWithheld for tax118,346853,399Form 4
2026-05-01DERSE NATALIE MARIEdirectorWithheld for tax42,437414,241Form 4
2026-05-01KO BRYAN SEUKofficerWithheld for tax34,149553,218Form 4
2026-03-01Vlcek OndrejdirectorWithheld for tax1283,932,852Form 4
2026-02-15KO BRYAN SEUKofficerAward / grant905587,367Form 4
2026-02-15Pilette VincentdirectorAward / grant7952,184,124Form 4
2026-02-15DERSE NATALIE MARIEdirectorAward / grant794457,472Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-23$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-11-142025-10-22$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousesale2025-10-102025-09-23$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousepurchase2025-09-122024-10-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-05-122025-04-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-05-122025-04-15$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-05-082025-04-07$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.