Issued 2026-09-17 at $4.43 · now $4.43 (2026-09-17, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-17 close, GEMI has typically landed between $2.53 and $6.02 — a range of −42.9% to +35.8% from the issuance price $4.43.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
234 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-09-12 – 2026-08-18 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-17 issuance close ($4.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-16, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GEMI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-17 close of $4.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.43 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.97 (-10.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.33–$4.61
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.53–$6.02
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-03-05 | −53.0% | −56.3% | +0.2% |
| 2026-03-06 | −51.0% | −54.8% | +3.7% |
| 2026-03-04 | −50.6% | −53.5% | +6.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-02-05 | +30.0% | −13.1% | +38.1% |
| 2026-04-29 | +27.3% | +0.0% | +34.8% |
| 2026-08-18 | +25.1% | +0.0% | +36.7% |
234 overlapping windows · 2025-09-12 – 2026-09-17 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~1 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Stojanovic Danijela | officer | Sale | 7,940 @ $4.05 | $32K | −4.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 187,923 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Stojanovic Danijela | officer | Sale | 8,438 @ $4.44 | $37K | −4.1% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 195,863 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Stojanovic Danijela | officer | Sale | 11,700 @ $5.05 | $59K | −6.0% of holding | −9.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 181,848 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Jaitly Sachin Chand | director | Sale | 35,713 @ $8.81 | $315K | −89.9% of holding | −49.6% | −61.8% | 3,995 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Jaitly Sachin Chand | director | Sale | 3,995 @ $9.91 | $40K | −100.0% of holding | −49.6% | −61.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Beard Marshall Edmund | director | Sale | 258,901 @ $26.25 | $6.8M | −13.0% of holding | −30.8% | −80.2% | 1,727,631 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-15 | Meade Tyler Roberts | officer | Sale | 199,463 @ $26.25 | $5.2M | −13.4% of holding | −30.8% | −80.2% | 1,287,914 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
55 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Stojanovic Danijela | officer | Award / grant | 22,453 | 204,301 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Jaitly Sachin Chand | director | Award / grant | 42,462 | 49,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Esposito James Anthony | director | Award / grant | 42,462 | 49,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Durham Jonathan B | director | Award / grant | 42,462 | 121,727 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Filipakis Maria | director | Award / grant | 42,462 | 77,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Winklevoss Capital Fund, LLC | director | Award / grant | 7,142,857 | 7,142,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Filipakis Maria | director | Award / grant | 18,656 | 34,708 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Stojanovic Danijela | officer | Award / grant | 25,559 | 193,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Stojanovic Danijela | officer | Award / grant | 132,275 | 167,989 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-24 | Beard Marshall Edmund | director | Withheld for tax | 14,293 | 1,506,768 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-24 | Meade Tyler Roberts | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,361 | 1,069,462 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-24 | Beard Marshall Edmund | director | Withheld for tax | 19,266 | 1,521,061 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-24 | Meade Tyler Roberts | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,550 | 1,079,823 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Beard Marshall Edmund | director | Withheld for tax | 19,267 | 1,540,327 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Meade Tyler Roberts | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,551 | 1,093,373 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-24 | Beard Marshall Edmund | director | Withheld for tax | 19,266 | 1,559,594 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-24 | Meade Tyler Roberts | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,550 | 1,106,924 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Beard Marshall Edmund | director | Withheld for tax | 19,267 | 1,578,860 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Meade Tyler Roberts | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,551 | 1,120,474 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Beard Marshall Edmund | director | Withheld for tax | 129,504 | 1,598,127 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Meade Tyler Roberts | officer | Withheld for tax | 89,493 | 1,134,025 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Jaitly Sachin Chand | director | Award / grant | 35,713 | 35,713 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Gemini Space Station, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 100 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Filipakis Maria | director | Award / grant | 8,910 | 16,052 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Beard Marshall Edmund | director | Award / grant | 805,615 | 1,986,532 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Meade Tyler Roberts | officer | Award / grant | 632,106 | 1,487,377 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Meade Tyler Roberts | officer | Gift | 64,396 | 1,223,518 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Capital Fund, LLC | director | Award / grant | 41,771 | 75,126,784 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Capital Fund, LLC | director | Award / grant | 75,085,013 | 75,085,013 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Capital Fund, LLC | director | Award / grant | 41,771 | 75,126,784 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Cameron Howard | director | Award / grant | 75,085,013 | 75,085,013 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Cameron Howard | director | Award / grant | 75,085,013 | 75,085,013 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Cameron Howard | director | Award / grant | 41,771 | 75,126,784 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Cameron Howard | director | Award / grant | 41,771 | 75,126,784 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Tyler Howard | director | Award / grant | 75,085,013 | 75,085,013 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Tyler Howard | director | Award / grant | 41,771 | 75,126,784 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Tyler Howard | director | Award / grant | 75,085,013 | 75,085,013 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Tyler Howard | director | Award / grant | 41,771 | 75,126,784 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Winklevoss Capital Fund, LLC | director | Award / grant | 75,085,013 | 75,085,013 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Jaitly Sachin Chand | director | Award / grant | 7,142 | 7,142 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.