GEHCGE HealthCare Technologies Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Healthcare Information Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $63.49 · now $63.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GEHC has typically landed between $56.11 and $72.33 — a range of −11.6% to +13.9% from the issuance price $63.49.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

919 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-12-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($63.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where GEHC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $63.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$56.11worst · -11.6%$72.33best · +13.9%
  • now $63.49 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $64.17 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $60.9–$67.43
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $56.11–$72.33
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 919 windows spanning 2022-12-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-03-10−31.2%−31.2%+0.3%
2025-03-07−29.6%−30.1%+0.0%
2025-03-06−29.2%−29.2%+1.4%
3 best
2024-02-05+26.8%+0.0%+26.8%
2024-01-26+26.5%+0.0%+26.5%
2024-01-31+26.4%+0.0%+26.8%

919 overlapping windows · 2022-12-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$27.6B
market cap
$3.27
EPS (TTM)
18.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$20.6B
'20'25
Net income$2.1B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.5B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr10.1%
'20'25
ROE · by yr20.1%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.96
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $63.49$55.60$169.94
  • DCF (intrinsic)$162.06
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$89.73
  • Analyst target · range $65.00–$90.00$80.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$63.49

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+5.8%
n=4
Feb
75%
+9.8%
n=4
Mar
25%
−3.9%
n=4
Apr
0%
−11.1%
n=4
May
75%
+0.7%
n=4
Jun
75%
+2.4%
n=4
Jul
50%
+1.8%
n=4
Aug
75%
−0.3%
n=4
Sep
50%
−0.4%
n=4
Oct
0%
−3.1%
n=3
Nov
67%
+1.6%
n=3
Dec
67%
+3.1%
n=3

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$88$592026-05-22: 1 insider purchase, $642K — Lobo Kevin2026-05-12: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Hochman Rodney F2026-05-08: 1 insider purchase, $63K — Yang Watkin Phoebe L.2026-05-06: 2 insider purchases, $5.1M — CULP H LAWRENCE JR, Stromberg William J2026-05-01: 1 insider purchase, $201K — SACCARO JAMES2026-04-30: 2 insider purchases, $356K — Arduini Peter J, Jimenez Frank R2026-04: 2 open-market purchases, $356K2026-05: 6 open-market purchases, $6.1M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Lobo Kevin — Purchase on 2026-05-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Hochman Rodney F — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Yang Watkin Phoebe L. — Purchase on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CULP H LAWRENCE JR — Purchase on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Stromberg William J — Purchase on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer SACCARO JAMES — Purchase on 2026-05-01, filed same daydirector Arduini Peter J — Purchase on 2026-04-30, filed same daydirector Jimenez Frank R — Purchase on 2026-04-30, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-22Lobo KevindirectorPurchase10,000 @ $64.18$642K+229.2% of holding+2.4%not yet — horizon still open14,363Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-12Hochman Rodney FdirectorPurchase1,618 @ $62.03$100Kownership Δ n/a+3.6%not yet — horizon still open1,618Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-08Yang Watkin Phoebe L.directorPurchase1,000 @ $63.01$63K+7.9% of holding+4.1%not yet — horizon still open13,702Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-06CULP H LAWRENCE JRdirectorPurchase80,805 @ $61.88$5.0M+114.8% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open151,207Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06Stromberg William JdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $61.69$62K+7.0% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open15,330Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-01SACCARO JAMESofficerPurchase3,310 @ $60.60$201K+3.9% of holding−3.8%not yet — horizon still open87,471Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-30Arduini Peter JdirectorPurchase4,169 @ $59.92$250K+1.6% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open259,424Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-30Jimenez Frank RdirectorPurchase1,750 @ $60.45$106K+1.9% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open93,932Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-18Newcomb George A.officerSale2,000 @ $92.54$185K−21.1% of holding−3.8%−25.4%7,462Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

167 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Grogan William KdirectorAward / grant62,25662,256Form 4
2026-09-14Grogan William KdirectorAward / grant31,87731,877Form 4
2026-09-14Grogan William KdirectorAward / grant12,84075,096Form 4
2026-09-03Arduini Peter JdirectorWithheld for tax6,303241,606Form 4
2026-09-03Kass-Hout TahaofficerWithheld for tax1,50288,467Form 4
2026-09-03Jimenez Frank RdirectorWithheld for tax1,48089,321Form 4
2026-09-03Rackliffe PhilipofficerWithheld for tax79841,533Form 4
2026-09-03O'Neill Kevin MichaelofficerWithheld for tax71832,026Form 4
2026-09-03Holton Adam YofficerWithheld for tax67319,533Form 4
2026-09-03Estrampes CatherineofficerWithheld for tax50823,573Form 4
2026-09-03Newcomb George A.officerWithheld for tax11210,515Form 4
2026-09-01Arduini Peter JdirectorWithheld for tax6,043253,381Form 4
2026-09-01Arduini Peter JdirectorWithheld for tax5,472247,909Form 4
2026-09-01Jimenez Frank RdirectorWithheld for tax1,75192,181Form 4
2026-09-01Kass-Hout TahaofficerWithheld for tax1,64491,265Form 4
2026-09-01Jimenez Frank RdirectorWithheld for tax1,38090,801Form 4
2026-09-01Kass-Hout TahaofficerWithheld for tax1,29689,969Form 4
2026-09-01Bankes JeannetteofficerWithheld for tax1,06437,293Form 4
2026-09-01Holton Adam YofficerWithheld for tax65920,206Form 4
2026-09-01Rackliffe PhilipofficerWithheld for tax34042,331Form 4
2026-09-01Rackliffe PhilipofficerWithheld for tax29042,897Form 4
2026-09-01Rackliffe PhilipofficerWithheld for tax22642,671Form 4
2026-08-15Holton Adam YofficerWithheld for tax1,36020,865Form 4
2026-05-15Bankes JeannetteofficerWithheld for tax5,53538,357Form 4
2026-05-15Rackliffe PhilipofficerAward / grant16,45843,187Form 4
2026-05-07Yang Watkin Phoebe L.directorAward / grant3,58612,702Form 4
2026-05-07Lobo KevindirectorAward / grant3,5864,363Form 4
2026-05-07Madden Anne TdirectorAward / grant2,28219,479Form 4
2026-05-07Madden Anne TdirectorAward / grant3,58617,197Form 4
2026-05-07Hochman Rodney FdirectorAward / grant2,68919,886Form 4
2026-05-07Hochman Rodney FdirectorAward / grant3,58617,197Form 4
2026-05-07CULP H LAWRENCE JRdirectorAward / grant4,15720,442Form 4
2026-05-07LESJAK CATHERINE AdirectorAward / grant3,58612,702Form 4
2026-05-07CULP H LAWRENCE JRdirectorAward / grant3,58616,285Form 4
2026-05-07Stromberg William JdirectorAward / grant3,58618,916Form 4
2026-03-13Lobo KevindirectorAward / grant777777Form 4
2026-03-02Jimenez Frank RdirectorAward / grant10,91592,182Form 4
2026-03-02Jimenez Frank RdirectorAward / grant28,69728,697Form 4
2026-03-02SACCARO JAMESofficerAward / grant12,47584,161Form 4
2026-03-02SACCARO JAMESofficerAward / grant32,79732,797Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Terri A. SewellHousesale2026-04-212026-03-25$1–15K
Warren DavidsonHousesale2026-03-252026-03-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.