Issued 2026-09-16 at $312.90 · now $312.90 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GE has typically landed between $274.21 and $368.40 — a range of −12.4% to +17.7% from the issuance price $312.90.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($312.90) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $312.9 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $312.9 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $322.68 (+3.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $304.68–$340.67
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $274.21–$368.4
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −50.1% | −50.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −48.6% | −48.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −48.5% | −48.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-05 | +64.2% | +0.0% | +64.2% |
| 2009-03-04 | +60.6% | −0.4% | +62.9% |
| 2009-03-06 | +58.5% | +0.0% | +58.5% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
$367.0B
market cap
$8.47
EPS (TTM)
41.8
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-20
next earnings
Revenue$45.9B
'20'25
Net income$8.7B
'20'25
Free cash flow$7.3B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr19.0%
'20'25
ROE · by yr46.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.10
'20'25
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$61.99
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$259.63
- Analyst target · range $375.00–$455.00$421.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$312.90
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
56%
+3.3%
n=18
Feb
79%
+1.6%
n=19
Mar
47%
+1.1%
n=19
Apr
58%
+0.8%
n=19
May
53%
+1.0%
n=19
Jun
42%
−0.6%
n=19
Jul
47%
+1.8%
n=19
Aug
42%
−2.6%
n=19
Sep
42%
+0.8%
n=19
Oct
50%
+0.6%
n=18
Nov
61%
+2.2%
n=18
Dec
56%
+1.8%
n=18
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Sale | 5,344 @ $369.88 | $2.0M | −17.6% of holding | −10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,099 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Sale | 4,898 @ $369.97 | $1.8M | −19.5% of holding | −10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,201 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 2,782 @ $353.72 | $984K | −10.8% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,945 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 2,279 @ $353.64 | $806K | −9.9% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,666 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 1,769 @ $353.75 | $626K | −7.5% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,932 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 1,266 @ $353.74 | $448K | −5.8% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,666 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-23 | Procacci Riccardo | officer | Sale | 1,026 @ $347.93 | $357K | −3.1% of holding | −3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,522 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-23 | Procacci Riccardo | officer | Sale | 491 @ $347.90 | $171K | −1.5% of holding | −3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,031 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | Procacci Riccardo | officer | Sale | 800 @ $310.11 | $248K | −4.8% of holding | +6.7% | +11.1% | 15,939 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Gowder Amy L | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $305.73 | $1.2M | −19.5% of holding | +11.6% | +11.0% | 16,535 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-30 | Stokes Russell | director | Sale | 21,469 @ $306.46 | $6.6M | −11.9% of holding | +10.6% | +10.5% | 159,328 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-30 | Stokes Russell | director | Sale | 8,894 @ $306.51 | $2.7M | −5.6% of holding | +10.6% | +10.5% | 150,434 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-30 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Sale | 1,990 @ $305.70 | $608K | −14.6% of holding | +10.6% | +10.5% | 11,628 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-30 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Sale | 1,045 @ $305.16 | $319K | −9.0% of holding | +10.6% | +10.5% | 10,583 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | Stokes Russell | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $297.71 | $2.4M | −5.0% of holding | −0.9% | −12.2% | 150,434 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 1,141 @ $268.80 | $307K | −11.5% of holding | +0.4% | +3.7% | 8,760 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 376 @ $268.76 | $101K | −4.3% of holding | +0.4% | +3.7% | 8,384 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Procacci Riccardo | officer | Sale | 3,831 @ $222.26 | $851K | −16.8% of holding | +5.4% | +23.6% | 19,019 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Procacci Riccardo | officer | Sale | 1,230 @ $222.40 | $274K | −6.5% of holding | +5.4% | +23.6% | 17,789 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Procacci Riccardo | officer | Sale | 1,050 @ $222.78 | $234K | −5.9% of holding | +5.4% | +23.6% | 16,739 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-30 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 421 @ $199.53 | $84K | −4.8% of holding | +15.7% | +31.7% | 8,384 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-29 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 1,602 @ $200.67 | $321K | −15.4% of holding | +15.3% | +30.3% | 8,805 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-25 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Sale | 957 @ $199.58 | $191K | −8.3% of holding | +14.5% | +29.8% | 10,583 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-24 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Sale | 4,104 @ $196.73 | $807K | −26.2% of holding | +12.0% | +32.0% | 11,540 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 1,440 @ $194.31 | $280K | −9.9% of holding | +2.5% | +27.0% | 13,140 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 1,217 @ $198.47 | $242K | −10.9% of holding | +2.5% | +27.0% | 9,957 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 1,007 @ $201.70 | $203K | −10.7% of holding | +2.5% | +27.0% | 8,384 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 817 @ $196.22 | $160K | −6.6% of holding | +2.5% | +27.0% | 11,602 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 721 @ $195.17 | $141K | −5.5% of holding | +2.5% | +27.0% | 12,419 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 566 @ $200.11 | $113K | −5.7% of holding | +2.5% | +27.0% | 9,391 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Sale | 428 @ $197.56 | $85K | −3.7% of holding | +2.5% | +27.0% | 11,174 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-24 | Stokes Russell | director | Sale | 3,111 @ $199.80 | $622K | −2.0% of holding | +10.3% | +26.4% | 150,767 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-21 | Stokes Russell | director | Sale | 8,730 @ $201.19 | $1.8M | −5.4% of holding | +9.4% | +25.6% | 153,878 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-05-10 | GHAI RAHUL | officer | Sale | 37 @ $163.38 | $6K | −0.1% of holding | −4.9% | −2.1% | 43,970 | Form 4 · filed 243 days after the trade |
| 2024-05-09 | GHAI RAHUL | officer | Sale | 225 @ $167.43 | $38K | −100.0% of holding | −5.8% | −8.1% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 244 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
193 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Option exercise | 10,242 | 30,443 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Option exercise | 10,242 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Option exercise | 5,061 | 25,727 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Option exercise | 3,035 | 23,701 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Option exercise | 5,061 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Option exercise | 3,035 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-23 | Procacci Riccardo | officer | Option exercise | 1,517 | 33,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-23 | Procacci Riccardo | officer | Option exercise | 1,517 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | BUSH WESLEY G | director | Award / grant | 106 | 221 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Bazin Sebastien | director | Award / grant | 106 | 1,316 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Althoff Judson | director | Award / grant | 517 | 517 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | McDew Darren W | director | Award / grant | 678 | 2,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Enders Thomas | director | Award / grant | 678 | 2,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | HORTON THOMAS W | director | Award / grant | 678 | 2,823 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | BUSH WESLEY G | director | Award / grant | 678 | 941 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | LESJAK CATHERINE A | director | Award / grant | 678 | 2,823 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Billson Margaret S | director | Award / grant | 678 | 2,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Goren Isabella D | director | Award / grant | 678 | 2,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Bazin Sebastien | director | Award / grant | 678 | 2,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | GHAI RAHUL | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,422 | 114,653 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,120 | 20,201 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Phillips John R, III | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,109 | 2,532 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Meisner Christian | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,045 | 4,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Withheld for tax | 558 | 20,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gowder Amy L | officer | Withheld for tax | 426 | 34,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Procacci Riccardo | officer | Withheld for tax | 416 | 32,031 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Withheld for tax | 359 | 18,905 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Procacci Riccardo | officer | Option exercise | 966 | 32,447 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Procacci Riccardo | officer | Option exercise | 966 | 967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Option exercise | 1,288 | 21,224 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Ali Mohamed | officer | Option exercise | 1,288 | 1,289 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | GHAI RAHUL | officer | Option exercise | 3,067 | 116,075 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | GHAI RAHUL | officer | Option exercise | 3,067 | 3,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gowder Amy L | officer | Option exercise | 966 | 35,344 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gowder Amy L | officer | Option exercise | 966 | 967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Option exercise | 773 | 19,264 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Option exercise | 2,416 | 21,321 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Option exercise | 773 | 773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Giglietti Robert M. | officer | Option exercise | 2,416 | 2,416 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Meisner Christian | officer | Option exercise | 2,255 | 5,906 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | purchase | 2026-07-21 | 2026-03-27 | $15–50K |
| Laurel Lee | House | sale | 2026-07-19 | 2026-06-16 | $1–15K |
| Matthew Robert Van Epps | House | sale | 2026-06-17 | 2026-06-16 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | purchase | 2026-04-30 | 2026-03-23 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | purchase | 2026-04-30 | 2026-03-23 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | purchase | 2026-04-30 | 2026-03-31 | $1–15K |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | House | purchase | 2026-04-21 | 2026-03-24 | $1–15K |
| Austin Scott | House | sale | 2026-03-12 | 2026-02-17 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | sale | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-10 | $15–50K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | purchase | 2026-02-13 | 2026-01-09 | $15–50K |
| Valerie Hoyle | House | sale | 2025-10-10 | 2025-09-23 | $1–15K |
| Valerie Hoyle | House | purchase | 2025-09-12 | 2024-10-29 | $1–15K |
| Austin Scott | House | sale | 2025-08-13 | 2025-06-16 | $1–15K |
| Austin Scott | House | sale | 2025-08-13 | 2025-05-23 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.