Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.37 · now $30.37 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GDS has typically landed between $20.81 and $42.04 — a range of −31.5% to +38.4% from the issuance price $30.37.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,459 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-11-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.37) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GDS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30.37 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $30.37 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $30 (-1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $25.99–$34
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.81–$42.04
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-02-10 | −53.3% | −53.3% | +2.1% |
| 2025-03-10 | −51.4% | −51.4% | +6.5% |
| 2022-10-04 | −51.4% | −53.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-01-22 | +124.7% | +0.0% | +143.5% |
| 2022-11-09 | +124.3% | +0.0% | +124.4% |
| 2025-01-21 | +112.2% | −12.9% | +112.2% |
2,459 overlapping windows · 2016-11-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Qian Yixin | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $35.25 | $353K | −13.0% of holding | −5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,865 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Ye Judy Qing | director | Sale | 37,394 @ $36.21 | $1.4M | −100.0% of holding | −17.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
34 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Huang William Wei | director | Other acquisition | 53,334 | 254,222 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Newman Daniel Antony | officer | Other acquisition | 51,374 | 1,040,758 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Zhang Kejing | officer | Other acquisition | 12,166 | 51,758 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Liang Yan | officer | Other acquisition | 11,166 | 90,824 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Qian Yixin | officer | Other acquisition | 12,800 | 79,665 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | LOPEZ BRUNO | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 108,384 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | BAHARUDIN ZULKIFLI BIN | director | Award / grant | 1,740 | 92,390 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Chen Kathy Hua | director | Award / grant | 740 | 50,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | YU BIN | director | Award / grant | 1,370 | 74,790 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Zhang David | director | Award / grant | 75 | 75 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | KING JONATHAN ALLEN | other | Award / grant | 180 | 17,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Sun Qiang Chang | director | Award / grant | 1,130 | 59,280 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Wojtaszek Gary J | director | Award / grant | 1,130 | 89,349 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Liu Chee Ming | director | Award / grant | 1,130 | 30,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | SIO TAT HIANG | director | Award / grant | 2,130 | 209,178 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Ye Judy Qing | director | Award / grant | 1,320 | 1,320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Chen Kathy Hua | director | Code E | 200 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Zhang Kejing | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,899 | 39,592 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Zhang Kejing | officer | Other acquisition | 17,313 | 45,491 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Liu Chee Ming | director | Other acquisition | 980 | 29,270 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | SIO TAT HIANG | director | Other acquisition | 1,840 | 207,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Sun Qiang Chang | director | Other acquisition | 980 | 58,150 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Okada Satoshi | director | Other acquisition | 980 | 98,939 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | LIM AH DOO | director | Other acquisition | 1,390 | 74,970 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | KING JONATHAN ALLEN | other | Other acquisition | 160 | 16,827 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Ye Judy Qing | director | Other acquisition | 1,140 | 37,394 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | LOPEZ BRUNO | director | Other acquisition | 1,290 | 106,884 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | YU BIN | director | Other acquisition | 1,190 | 73,420 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | BAHARUDIN ZULKIFLI BIN | director | Other acquisition | 1,500 | 90,650 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Wojtaszek Gary J | director | Other acquisition | 980 | 88,219 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Qian Yixin | officer | Other acquisition | 52,660 | 76,865 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Liang Yan | officer | Other acquisition | 20,775 | 79,658 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Huang William Wei | director | Other acquisition | 200,888 | 200,888 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Newman Daniel Antony | officer | Other acquisition | 161,492 | 989,384 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.