Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.39 · now $3.39 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GDRX has typically landed between $2.44 and $4.27 — a range of −28.1% to +26.1% from the issuance price $3.39.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,481 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-09-23 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GDRX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.39 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.31 (-2.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.98–$3.64
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.44–$4.27
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-04-11 | −57.4% | −57.4% | +3.4% |
| 2022-04-08 | −57.0% | −57.0% | +1.5% |
| 2022-04-14 | −56.1% | −58.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-07-06 | +74.4% | +0.0% | +76.7% |
| 2023-06-29 | +67.7% | −5.1% | +67.7% |
| 2023-07-07 | +63.2% | +0.0% | +73.7% |
1,481 overlapping windows · 2020-09-23 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 439,310 @ $3.50 | $1.5M | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-26 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 433,088 @ $3.50 | $1.5M | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-26 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 213,401 @ $3.51 | $750K | −32.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 439,310 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-26 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 210,378 @ $3.51 | $739K | −32.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 433,088 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-25 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 64,090 @ $3.44 | $221K | −8.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 652,711 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 63,183 @ $3.44 | $218K | −8.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 643,466 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 72,309 @ $3.46 | $250K | −9.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 716,801 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 71,285 @ $3.46 | $247K | −9.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 706,649 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 138,338 @ $3.50 | $484K | −14.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 789,831 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 136,379 @ $3.50 | $477K | −14.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 777,213 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-20 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 233,415 @ $3.52 | $822K | −20.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 928,169 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 213,844 @ $3.52 | $753K | −19.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 913,592 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 237,671 @ $3.53 | $839K | −17.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,161,584 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 234,304 @ $3.53 | $827K | −17.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,127,436 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | Spectrum Equity VII, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,202 @ $4.00 | $61K | −100.0% of holding | −24.7% | −50.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | Spectrum Equity VII, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,569 @ $4.00 | $34K | −100.0% of holding | −24.7% | −50.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Spectrum Equity VII, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,243 @ $4.05 | $41K | −100.0% of holding | +10.4% | −46.6% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Spectrum Equity VII, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,773 @ $4.05 | $23K | −100.0% of holding | +10.4% | −46.6% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
282 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Chan Thomas (TC) | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,069 | 14,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,024 | 52,087 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Withheld for tax | 330 | 52,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Option exercise | 752 | 9,023 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Option exercise | 2,335 | 14,006 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chan Thomas (TC) | officer | Option exercise | 2,101 | 12,606 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Option exercise | 2,335 | 53,111 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Option exercise | 2,335 | 53,111 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chan Thomas (TC) | officer | Option exercise | 2,101 | 15,647 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chan Thomas (TC) | officer | Option exercise | 2,101 | 15,647 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chan Thomas (TC) | officer | Option exercise | 2,101 | 15,647 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Option exercise | 752 | 52,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Option exercise | 2,335 | 53,111 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Option exercise | 752 | 52,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Option exercise | 2,335 | 53,111 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Option exercise | 752 | 52,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chan Thomas (TC) | officer | Option exercise | 2,101 | 15,647 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Fengler Justin | officer | Option exercise | 752 | 52,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 1,142,357 | 1,361,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 3,596,648 | 1,399,255 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 4,995,903 | 4,995,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 4,995,903 | 35,023,391 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 4,995,903 | 4,995,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,504,097 | 2,504,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 4,995,903 | 35,023,391 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,504,097 | 17,554,793 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 4,995,903 | 4,995,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,504,097 | 2,504,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,504,097 | 17,554,793 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 4,995,903 | 35,023,391 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,504,097 | 2,504,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 4,995,903 | 4,995,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,504,097 | 17,554,793 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 4,995,903 | 35,023,391 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,504,097 | 2,504,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 4,995,903 | 4,995,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,504,097 | 17,554,793 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 4,995,903 | 35,023,391 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,504,097 | 2,504,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | FRANCISCO PARTNERS IV, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 4,995,903 | 4,995,903 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.