Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.26 · now $13.26 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, GDOT has typically landed between $10.57 and $15.60 — a range of −20.3% to +17.6% from the issuance price $13.26.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,041 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-07-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.26) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where GDOT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.26 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $13.26 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.01 (-1.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $12.06–$13.95
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.57–$15.6
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2012-07-03 | −60.0% | −60.4% | +0.0% |
| 2012-07-02 | −59.3% | −59.3% | +3.0% |
| 2012-07-05 | −58.2% | −59.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +60.7% | +0.0% | +60.7% |
| 2025-08-08 | +51.2% | +0.0% | +51.2% |
| 2020-01-07 | +50.1% | +0.0% | +50.1% |
4,041 overlapping windows · 2010-07-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | Fanlo Saturnino Sixto | director | Sale | 13,451 @ $12.61 | $170K | −12.7% of holding | +1.3% | −10.9% | 92,737 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-28 | Brewster J Chris | director | Sale | 7,969 @ $12.37 | $99K | −5.6% of holding | +1.3% | −10.9% | 133,215 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-12 | Ruppel Christian Devin | officer | Sale | 16,966 @ $12.00 | $204K | −6.7% of holding | −1.0% | −20.3% | 236,173 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Ruppel Christian Devin | officer | Sale | 10,965 @ $13.00 | $143K | −4.6% of holding | −1.0% | −20.3% | 226,656 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Ruppel Christian Devin | officer | Sale | 10,189 @ $11.00 | $112K | −3.9% of holding | −8.8% | −13.9% | 253,139 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-31 | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other | Sale | 331,339 @ $10.54 | $3.5M | −5.8% of holding | −20.4% | −2.0% | 5,376,787 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-31 | Topline Capital Partners, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 331,339 @ $10.54 | $3.5M | −5.8% of holding | −20.4% | −2.0% | 5,376,787 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-30 | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other | Sale | 380,611 @ $10.44 | $4.0M | −6.3% of holding | −17.4% | −0.3% | 5,708,126 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-30 | Topline Capital Partners, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 380,611 @ $10.44 | $4.0M | −6.3% of holding | −17.4% | −0.3% | 5,708,126 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-27 | Topline Capital Partners, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 247,230 @ $10.54 | $2.6M | −3.9% of holding | −15.8% | +1.7% | 6,088,737 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-27 | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other | Sale | 247,230 @ $10.54 | $2.6M | −3.9% of holding | −15.8% | +1.7% | 6,088,737 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
53 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Brewster J Chris | director | Award / grant | 17,496 | 150,711 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Razon Michelleta | director | Award / grant | 17,496 | 54,108 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | SHAHEEN GEORGE T | director | Award / grant | 17,496 | 129,462 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | RICHEY ELLEN | director | Award / grant | 17,496 | 91,965 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Fanlo Saturnino Sixto | director | Award / grant | 17,496 | 110,233 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Millard Robert C. | director | Award / grant | 17,496 | 87,026 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-24 | Ruppel Christian Devin | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,388 | 204,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Ruppel Christian Devin | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,592 | 211,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Unruh Jess | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,124 | 205,594 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Pugh Amy Myers | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,913 | 96,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Watkins Teresa Elaine | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,102 | 103,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Unruh Jess | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,601 | 213,718 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Ruppel Christian Devin | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,686 | 219,680 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Pugh Amy Myers | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,732 | 100,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Watkins Teresa Elaine | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,751 | 106,198 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Unruh Jess | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,824 | 222,319 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Ruppel Christian Devin | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,922 | 226,366 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Pugh Amy Myers | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,408 | 105,161 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Watkins Teresa Elaine | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,196 | 109,949 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Unruh Jess | officer | Withheld for tax | 312 | 224,359 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Ruppel Christian Devin | officer | Withheld for tax | 169 | 227,370 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Unruh Jess | officer | Award / grant | 9,017 | 223,699 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | Pugh Amy Myers | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,222 | 106,569 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-22 | Watkins Teresa Elaine | officer | Withheld for tax | 656 | 111,145 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-19 | JACOBS WILLIAM I | director | Award / grant | 131,717 | 357,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | SHAHEEN GEORGE T | director | Award / grant | 24,429 | 111,966 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | Fanlo Saturnino Sixto | director | Award / grant | 24,429 | 106,188 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | Brewster J Chris | director | Award / grant | 24,429 | 141,184 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | RICHEY ELLEN | director | Award / grant | 24,429 | 74,469 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | Millard Robert C. | director | Award / grant | 24,429 | 69,530 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | Razon Michelleta | director | Award / grant | 24,429 | 36,612 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-25 | Ruppel Christian Devin | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,467 | 263,328 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-24 | Ruppel Christian Devin | officer | Award / grant | 25,542 | 264,795 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-23 | Unruh Jess | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,178 | 213,314 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-23 | Ruppel Christian Devin | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,317 | 239,253 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-23 | Pugh Amy Myers | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,913 | 107,791 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-23 | Watkins Teresa Elaine | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,102 | 111,801 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-21 | Unruh Jess | officer | Award / grant | 74,273 | 220,492 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-21 | Watkins Teresa Elaine | officer | Award / grant | 46,214 | 114,903 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-21 | Pugh Amy Myers | officer | Award / grant | 49,515 | 111,704 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.