Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.27 · now $35.27 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, G has typically landed between $31.14 and $39.68 — a range of −11.7% to +12.5% from the issuance price $35.27.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.27) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where G has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.27 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $35.27 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $35.06 (-0.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $33.28–$36.83
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.14–$39.68
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −48.4% | −48.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −45.6% | −48.0% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-09 | −45.4% | −45.4% | +2.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +36.2% | +0.0% | +37.5% |
| 2008-01-28 | +35.9% | +0.0% | +35.9% |
| 2008-01-25 | +33.4% | +0.0% | +33.4% |
4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
+0.9%
n=18
Feb
53%
+1.6%
n=19
Mar
68%
+0.3%
n=19
Apr
53%
+1.8%
n=19
May
53%
+0.3%
n=19
Jun
53%
+0.2%
n=19
Jul
74%
+3.9%
n=19
Aug
63%
+1.9%
n=19
Sep
37%
−3.1%
n=19
Oct
50%
−1.5%
n=18
Nov
67%
+3.0%
n=18
Dec
67%
+2.0%
n=18
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $36.79 | $368K | −2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 501,114 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Nanduru Anil | officer | Sale | 6,191 @ $37.03 | $229K | −8.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 70,253 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Dewan Sameer | officer | Sale | 13,318 @ $34.10 | $454K | −23.8% of holding | +8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 42,693 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Dewan Sameer | officer | Sale | 1,654 @ $34.10 | $56K | −2.9% of holding | +8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,011 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Weiner Michael Hal | officer | Sale | 5,900 @ $34.04 | $201K | −3.2% of holding | +8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 176,027 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Nanduru Anil | officer | Sale | 11,852 @ $33.92 | $402K | −13.4% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,444 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Nanduru Anil | officer | Sale | 17,243 @ $33.96 | $586K | −16.3% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 88,296 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Sale | 2,800 @ $40.77 | $114K | −0.5% of holding | −3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 525,007 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-13 | Vashisht Riju | officer | Sale | 16,016 @ $46.65 | $747K | −14.4% of holding | −20.1% | −40.9% | 95,521 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-13 | Dewan Sameer | officer | Sale | 15,088 @ $46.65 | $704K | −28.6% of holding | −20.1% | −40.9% | 37,749 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-14 | Weiner Michael Hal | officer | Sale | 13,365 @ $44.84 | $599K | −8.3% of holding | +5.8% | −38.7% | 148,026 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | White Heather | officer | Sale | 45,703 @ $45.74 | $2.1M | −47.5% of holding | +4.2% | −40.3% | 50,569 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-12 | White Heather | officer | Sale | 4,351 @ $45.74 | $199K | −7.9% of holding | +5.5% | −44.4% | 50,569 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Franklin Tamara | director | Sale | 2,750 @ $45.65 | $126K | −11.0% of holding | +5.5% | −44.4% | 22,236 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Dewan Sameer | officer | Sale | 26,531 @ $44.70 | $1.2M | −29.8% of holding | +5.0% | −45.1% | 62,617 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | White Heather | officer | Sale | 1,039 @ $44.02 | $46K | −2.0% of holding | +5.0% | −45.1% | 50,569 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Mehta Piyush | officer | Sale | 50,000 @ $42.58 | $2.1M | −23.6% of holding | −8.2% | −11.5% | 161,782 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Mehta Piyush | officer | Sale | 26,902 @ $42.58 | $1.1M | −16.6% of holding | −8.2% | −11.5% | 134,880 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $43.35 | $1.7M | −11.9% of holding | −8.7% | −12.6% | 295,246 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $43.39 | $651K | −4.8% of holding | −8.7% | −12.6% | 295,246 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Klunk Donald J | officer | Sale | 2,695 @ $44.77 | $121K | −26.6% of holding | −12.3% | −13.5% | 7,440 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | Dewan Sameer | officer | Sale | 20,078 @ $45.00 | $904K | −18.4% of holding | −8.4% | −16.3% | 89,148 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Vashisht Riju | officer | Sale | 17,608 @ $45.61 | $803K | −11.9% of holding | −12.1% | −22.8% | 130,201 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Nanduru Anil | officer | Sale | 9,744 @ $45.50 | $443K | −9.8% of holding | −12.1% | −22.8% | 89,846 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Vashisht Riju | officer | Sale | 7,931 @ $45.57 | $361K | −6.1% of holding | −12.1% | −22.8% | 122,270 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Nanduru Anil | officer | Sale | 18,218 @ $44.50 | $811K | −15.5% of holding | −12.4% | −23.0% | 99,590 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Lindstrom Carol | director | Sale | 2,326 @ $43.17 | $100K | −9.9% of holding | −1.9% | −21.8% | 21,185 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Gangestad Nicholas C | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $43.97 | $88K | ownership Δ n/a | −3.2% | −13.6% | 2,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-13 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Sale | 13,600 @ $48.89 | $665K | −4.2% of holding | −1.3% | −33.1% | 310,246 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | Tyagarajan N. V. | director | Sale | 108,880 @ $54.87 | $6.0M | −15.3% of holding | +1.0% | −22.8% | 604,631 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | White Heather | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $55.25 | $221K | −8.5% of holding | −2.0% | −27.0% | 43,122 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Lindstrom Carol | director | Sale | 4,916 @ $54.40 | $267K | −20.8% of holding | −0.7% | −25.8% | 18,686 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Klunk Donald J | officer | Sale | 4,136 @ $54.87 | $227K | −32.0% of holding | −0.7% | −25.8% | 8,777 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-10 | Mehta Piyush | officer | Sale | 12,000 @ $42.83 | $514K | −7.4% of holding | +22.1% | −5.3% | 151,182 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Sale | 13,600 @ $44.60 | $607K | −4.8% of holding | +2.1% | −4.6% | 267,404 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
84 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Pandit Sumita | officer | Award / grant | 76,713 | 76,713 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Madden James C. | director | Award / grant | 9,999 | 73,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Conigliaro Laura | director | Award / grant | 6,521 | 79,337 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Verdi Mark A | director | Award / grant | 6,521 | 71,526 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Subaiya Thimaya K. | director | Award / grant | 6,521 | 8,541 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Hinshaw John M | director | Award / grant | 6,521 | 8,855 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Lindstrom Carol | director | Award / grant | 6,521 | 27,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | STEVENS BRIAN MARK | director | Award / grant | 6,521 | 36,619 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gangestad Nicholas C | director | Award / grant | 6,521 | 15,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Morken CeCelia | director | Award / grant | 6,521 | 64,281 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Withheld for tax | 13,893 | 511,114 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Nanduru Anil | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,663 | 105,539 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Vashisht Riju | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,080 | 123,668 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Weiner Michael Hal | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,019 | 181,874 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Mehta Piyush | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,702 | 156,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Dewan Sameer | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,542 | 57,665 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Option exercise | 2,800 | 527,807 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Option exercise | 2,800 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Nanduru Anil | officer | Award / grant | 13,856 | 113,202 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Vashisht Riju | officer | Award / grant | 13,856 | 130,748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Award / grant | 27,160 | 525,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Dewan Sameer | officer | Award / grant | 6,928 | 61,207 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Mehta Piyush | officer | Award / grant | 14,618 | 162,187 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Weiner Michael Hal | officer | Award / grant | 17,320 | 188,893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Vashisht Riju | officer | Award / grant | 21,371 | 116,892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Nanduru Anil | officer | Award / grant | 21,371 | 99,346 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Dewan Sameer | officer | Award / grant | 16,530 | 54,279 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Mehta Piyush | officer | Award / grant | 24,716 | 147,416 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Weiner Michael Hal | officer | Award / grant | 35,396 | 171,471 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Radesca Anthony J. | officer | Award / grant | 6,802 | 26,868 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Schaub Sydney | officer | Award / grant | 12,471 | 75,828 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Award / grant | 106,575 | 497,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-10 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Withheld for tax | 29,691 | 390,685 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-10 | Mehta Piyush | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,317 | 122,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-10 | Weiner Michael Hal | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,029 | 136,075 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-10 | Nanduru Anil | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,871 | 77,975 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-10 | Vashisht Riju | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,733 | 111,537 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-10 | Dewan Sameer | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,780 | 52,837 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Schaub Sydney | officer | Award / grant | 63,357 | 63,357 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Kalra Balkrishan | director | Award / grant | 125,130 | 420,376 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2025-12-09 | 2025-11-24 | $100–250K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2025-09-11 | 2025-08-21 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2025-07-07 | 2025-06-09 | $15–50K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2025-05-12 | 2025-04-14 | $15–50K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2024-09-16 | 2024-08-26 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | purchase | 2024-06-13 | 2024-05-31 | $15–50K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | purchase | 2024-06-13 | 2024-05-31 | $15–50K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2024-02-13 | 2024-01-17 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2024-02-13 | 2024-01-17 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | purchase | 2023-12-09 | 2023-11-01 | $15–50K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | purchase | 2023-12-09 | 2023-11-01 | $15–50K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | purchase | 2023-11-13 | 2023-10-05 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | purchase | 2023-11-13 | 2023-10-05 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | purchase | 2023-09-14 | 2023-08-25 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.