Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.96 · now $8.96 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FVRR has typically landed between $6.74 and $11.20 — a range of −24.7% to +25.0% from the issuance price $8.96.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,804 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-06-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.96) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where FVRR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.96 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $8.96 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.5 (-5.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $7.68–$9.33
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.74–$11.2
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-04-11 | −56.3% | −56.3% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-12 | −48.2% | −54.4% | +1.9% |
| 2022-04-13 | −43.4% | −55.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-04-07 | +98.1% | +0.0% | +98.1% |
| 2020-04-16 | +93.8% | +0.0% | +93.8% |
| 2020-04-06 | +89.4% | −1.4% | +89.4% |
1,804 overlapping windows · 2019-06-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Qian Jinjin | officer | Sale | 3,961 @ $9.31 | $37K | −3.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 104,921 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Zohar Nir | director | Sale | 4,982 @ $8.80 | $44K | −5.4% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 86,950 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Garten Yael | director | Sale | 1,138 @ $10.71 | $12K | −6.1% of holding | −17.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,539 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Zohar Nir | director | Sale | 4,982 @ $11.31 | $56K | −5.1% of holding | −22.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 91,932 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | Levy Dadon Esther | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $11.04 | $22K | −1.2% of holding | −20.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 158,572 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Zohar Nir | director | Sale | 4,988 @ $10.06 | $50K | −4.9% of holding | +17.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 96,914 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Fisher Adam Ralph | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +17.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-12 | Fisher Adam Ralph | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +10.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Levy Dadon Esther | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $10.00 | $20K | −1.2% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 160,572 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Fisher Adam Ralph | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Fisher Adam Ralph | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | Fisher Adam Ralph | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Fisher Adam Ralph | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | Fisher Adam Ralph | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Fisher Adam Ralph | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Fisher Adam Ralph | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +10.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Fisher Adam Ralph | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | ownership Δ n/a | +3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Kaufman Micha | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $11.26 | $113K | −0.4% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,607,126 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Katz Ofer | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $11.26 | $113K | −1.8% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 559,815 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Levy Dadon Esther | officer | Sale | 4,030 @ $11.24 | $45K | −2.4% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 162,572 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Qian Jinjin | officer | Sale | 2,149 @ $11.24 | $24K | −2.9% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 70,907 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Qian Jinjin | officer | Sale | 1,204 @ $11.24 | $14K | −1.6% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 73,056 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | Kaufman Micha | director | Sale | 66,000 @ $12.24 | $808K | −2.5% of holding | −15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,607,126 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | Kaufman Micha | director | Sale | 400 @ $13.11 | $5K | −0.0% of holding | −15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,673,126 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Garten Yael | director | Sale | 1,138 @ $10.57 | $12K | −5.7% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,677 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
11 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Qian Jinjin | officer | Award / grant | 475 | 108,882 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-26 | Qian Jinjin | officer | Award / grant | 37,500 | 108,407 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Kaufman Micha | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 2,617,126 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Katz Ofer | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 569,815 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Levy Dadon Esther | officer | Award / grant | 4,030 | 166,602 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Qian Jinjin | officer | Award / grant | 1,204 | 74,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | Kaufman Micha | director | Option exercise | 66,400 | 2,673,526 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | Kaufman Micha | director | Option exercise | 66,400 | 24,616 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gutler Ron | director | Award / grant | 21,718 | 42,112 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Zohar Nir | director | Award / grant | 21,718 | 101,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Iohan Gili | director | Award / grant | 21,718 | 42,112 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.