FVR · TickerCove

FVRFrontView REIT, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Diversifiedas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $17.64 · now $17.64 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FVR has typically landed between $15.29 and $20.02 — a range of −13.3% to +13.5% from the issuance price $17.64.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

469 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-10-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($17.64) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$17.64 · 55% of range

$12.34 low$21.92 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.6%

typical move · IQR 10.9%

−13.3%worst (p90)+13.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where FVR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $17.64 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $17.64 (+0.0%)
typical $17.92 (+1.6%)
middle 50% $16.96–$18.88
90% range $15.29–$20.02

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 469 windows spanning 2024-10-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2025-03-07	−29.2%	−29.2%	+0.0%
2025-03-10	−26.9%	−26.9%	+0.0%
2025-03-06	−26.3%	−26.3%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-03-30	+19.8%	+0.0%	+19.9%
2026-03-27	+19.7%	−0.2%	+19.7%
2025-11-04	+18.5%	−0.7%	+18.5%

469 overlapping windows · 2024-10-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+3.2%

n=2

Feb

50%

+0.1%

n=2

Mar

−13.9%

n=2

Apr

50%

+5.8%

n=2

May

50%

−3.6%

n=2

Jun

100%

+10.7%

n=2

Jul

50%

−0.7%

n=2

Aug

50%

+4.2%

n=2

Sep

50%

−2.2%

n=2

Oct

−3.0%

n=1

Nov

100%

+9.4%

n=2

Dec

−3.7%

n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-08-21	Green Robert S.	director	Purchase	7,600 @ $13.18	$100K	+102.0% of holding	−3.4%	+19.8%	15,050	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-20	Preston Stephen	director	Purchase	14,831 @ $13.18	$195K	+64.7% of holding	+0.1%	+18.2%	37,751	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-15	FRANK ELIZABETH F	director	Purchase	2,808 @ $12.44	$35K	+118.5% of holding	+7.0%	+28.7%	5,177	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-25	Starr Randall	director	Purchase	3,716 @ $13.34	$50K	ownership Δ n/a	+1.6%	−8.9%	3,716	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-21	Preston Stephen	director	Purchase	16,568 @ $13.51	$224K	+256.8% of holding	−0.9%	−14.3%	23,020	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-21	Green Robert S.	director	Purchase	7,450 @ $13.40	$100K	ownership Δ n/a	−0.9%	−14.3%	7,450	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-10-04	Green Robert S.	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $19.00	$190K	ownership Δ n/a	−1.5%	−28.2%	10,000	Form 4 · filed 194 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

143 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2027-05-27	Fitzgerald Charles	director	Award / grant	5,320	5,320	Form 4
2027-05-27	Fitzgerald Charles	director	Award / grant	5,320	5,320	Form 4
2026-09-15	Perez Ernesto	director	Award / grant	916	916	Form 4
2026-09-15	Green Robert S.	director	Award / grant	705	705	Form 4
2026-09-15	Swanstrom Daniel E II	director	Award / grant	705	705	Form 4
2026-09-15	FRANK ELIZABETH F	director	Award / grant	846	846	Form 4
2026-09-15	McHugh Timothy	director	Award / grant	705	705	Form 4
2026-09-15	Swanstrom Daniel E II	director	Award / grant	705	705	Form 4
2026-09-15	Fitzgerald Charles	director	Award / grant	705	705	Form 4
2026-09-15	Fitzgerald Charles	director	Award / grant	705	705	Form 4
2026-09-15	McHugh Timothy	director	Award / grant	705	705	Form 4
2026-09-15	FRANK ELIZABETH F	director	Award / grant	846	846	Form 4
2026-07-21	Revol Pierre	officer	Withheld for tax	7,461	16,338	Form 4
2026-07-21	Revol Pierre	officer	Option exercise	23,799	71,400	Form 4
2026-07-21	Revol Pierre	officer	Option exercise	23,799	23,799	Form 4
2026-07-21	Revol Pierre	officer	Option exercise	23,799	23,799	Form 4
2026-06-15	Green Robert S.	director	Award / grant	673	673	Form 4
2026-06-15	Perez Ernesto	director	Award / grant	874	874	Form 4
2026-06-15	Fitzgerald Charles	director	Award / grant	673	673	Form 4
2026-06-15	Fitzgerald Charles	director	Award / grant	673	673	Form 4
2026-06-15	FRANK ELIZABETH F	director	Award / grant	807	807	Form 4
2026-06-15	Swanstrom Daniel E II	director	Award / grant	673	673	Form 4
2026-06-15	McHugh Timothy	director	Award / grant	251	251	Form 4
2026-06-15	McHugh Timothy	director	Award / grant	251	251	Form 4
2026-06-15	Swanstrom Daniel E II	director	Award / grant	673	673	Form 4
2026-06-15	FRANK ELIZABETH F	director	Award / grant	807	807	Form 4
2026-06-01	McHugh Timothy	director	Award / grant	5,311	5,311	Form 4
2026-06-01	McHugh Timothy	director	Award / grant	5,311	5,311	Form 4
2026-05-27	Green Robert S.	director	Award / grant	5,320	5,320	Form 4
2026-05-27	Perez Ernesto	director	Award / grant	5,320	5,320	Form 4
2026-05-27	LeVeaux Noelle	director	Award / grant	5,066	5,066	Form 4
2026-05-27	Swanstrom Daniel E II	director	Award / grant	5,320	5,320	Form 4
2026-05-27	Swanstrom Daniel E II	director	Award / grant	5,320	5,320	Form 4
2026-05-27	FRANK ELIZABETH F	director	Award / grant	5,320	5,320	Form 4
2026-05-27	FRANK ELIZABETH F	director	Award / grant	5,320	5,320	Form 4
2026-05-26	Swanstrom Daniel E II	director	Option exercise	7,895	0	Form 4
2026-05-26	LeVeaux Noelle	director	Option exercise	7,895	0	Form 4
2026-05-26	Perez Ernesto	director	Option exercise	7,895	0	Form 4
2026-05-26	Green Robert S.	director	Option exercise	0	77,553	Form 4
2026-05-26	Green Robert S.	director	Option exercise	0	21,060	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i