FUNCFirst United CorporationFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $43.50 · now $43.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FUNC has typically landed between $38.34 and $51.23 — a range of −11.9% to +17.8% from the issuance price $43.50.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($43.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FUNC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $43.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$38.34worst · -11.9%$51.23best · +17.8%
  • now $43.5 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $44.15 (+1.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $41.71–$46.58
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $38.34–$51.23
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−52.4%−52.4%+0.0%
2020-02-24−51.8%−52.0%+0.0%
2020-02-19−49.3%−49.3%+0.8%
3 best
2011-04-26+77.5%+0.0%+85.0%
2011-04-20+77.1%−2.0%+77.1%
2011-04-21+75.5%−5.1%+75.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.1%
n=20
Feb
50%
+3.8%
n=20
Mar
50%
−3.5%
n=20
Apr
65%
+4.8%
n=20
May
45%
−0.9%
n=20
Jun
35%
−3.0%
n=20
Jul
60%
+3.2%
n=20
Aug
65%
+2.9%
n=20
Sep
55%
+0.8%
n=20
Oct
65%
+2.5%
n=20
Nov
70%
+1.4%
n=20
Dec
40%
+0.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$46$332026-08-03: 5 insider purchases, $13K — Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn, Boal Brian R., Rush Jason Barry, Sturm Tonya K. …2026-07-28: 1 insider sale, $238K — Fisher Robert L. II2026-07-24: 1 insider sale, $45K — RUDY IRVIN ROBERT2026-07-23: 1 insider sale, $218K — Sanders Keith2026-05-01: 5 insider purchases, $12K — Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn, Boal Brian R., Rush Jason Barry, Sturm Tonya K. …2026-02-04: 1 insider sale, $33 — Tasker Anthony James2026-02-03: 5 insider purchases, $12K — Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn, Boal Brian R., Rush Jason Barry, Sturm Tonya K. …2025-11-03: 5 insider purchases, $14K — Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn, Boal Brian R., Rush Jason Barry, Sturm Tonya K. …2025-08-26: 1 insider sale, $75K — RUDY IRVIN ROBERT2025-08: 4 open-market purchases, $10K2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $75K2025-11: 5 open-market purchases, $14K2026-02: 5 open-market purchases, $12K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $332026-05: 5 open-market purchases, $12K2026-07: 3 open-market sales, $501K2026-08: 5 open-market purchases, $13K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn — Purchase on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Boal Brian R. — Purchase on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rush Jason Barry — Purchase on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn — Purchase on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sturm Tonya K. — Purchase on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Fisher Robert L. II — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RUDY IRVIN ROBERT — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Sanders Keith — Sale on 2026-07-23, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn — Purchase on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Boal Brian R. — Purchase on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rush Jason Barry — Purchase on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn — Purchase on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Sturm Tonya K. — Purchase on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Tasker Anthony James — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 16 days after the tradedirector Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn — Purchase on 2026-02-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Boal Brian R. — Purchase on 2026-02-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rush Jason Barry — Purchase on 2026-02-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn — Purchase on 2026-02-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sturm Tonya K. — Purchase on 2026-02-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn — Purchase on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Boal Brian R. — Purchase on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rush Jason Barry — Purchase on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sturm Tonya K. — Purchase on 2025-11-03, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodeheaver Carissa Lynn — Purchase on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector RUDY IRVIN ROBERT — Sale on 2025-08-26, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-03Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase103 @ $45.84$5K+0.2% of holding−5.9%not yet — horizon still open49,010Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03Boal Brian R.directorPurchase74 @ $45.84$3K+0.3% of holding−5.9%not yet — horizon still open22,386Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03Rush Jason BarrydirectorPurchase64 @ $45.84$3K+0.2% of holding−5.9%not yet — horizon still open27,311Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase37 @ $45.32$2K+0.1% of holding−5.9%not yet — horizon still open48,907Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03Sturm Tonya K.officerPurchase2 @ $45.84$113+0.0% of holding−5.9%not yet — horizon still open11,835Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-28Fisher Robert L. IIofficerSale5,250 @ $45.29$238K−36.6% of holding−9.6%not yet — horizon still open9,105Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-24RUDY IRVIN ROBERTdirectorSale1,000 @ $44.58$45K−2.6% of holding−5.9%not yet — horizon still open37,500Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-23Sanders KeithofficerSale5,000 @ $43.68$218K−32.6% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open10,342Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-01Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase123 @ $38.10$5K+0.3% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open47,900Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-01Boal Brian R.directorPurchase78 @ $38.10$3K+0.4% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open20,917Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-01Rush Jason BarrydirectorPurchase76 @ $38.10$3K+0.3% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open27,167Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-01Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase44 @ $37.70$2K+0.1% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open47,777Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-01Sturm Tonya K.officerPurchase3 @ $38.10$112+0.0% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open11,909Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-04Tasker Anthony JamesofficerSale1 @ $39.15$33+0.3% of holding−5.9%+4.4%334Form 4 · filed 16 days after the trade
2026-02-03Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase117 @ $39.68$5K+0.2% of holding−8.2%+1.8%47,297Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03Boal Brian R.directorPurchase75 @ $39.68$3K+0.4% of holding−8.2%+1.8%20,839Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03Rush Jason BarrydirectorPurchase73 @ $39.68$3K+0.3% of holding−8.2%+1.8%25,246Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase42 @ $39.60$2K+0.1% of holding−8.2%+1.8%46,909Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03Sturm Tonya K.officerPurchase3 @ $39.68$112+0.0% of holding−8.2%+1.8%10,827Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase132 @ $35.15$5K+0.3% of holding+11.0%+0.9%46,999Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Boal Brian R.directorPurchase84 @ $35.15$3K+0.4% of holding+11.0%+0.9%20,764Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Rush Jason BarrydirectorPurchase81 @ $35.15$3K+0.3% of holding+11.0%+0.9%25,089Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Sturm Tonya K.officerPurchase64 @ $35.15$2K+0.6% of holding+11.0%+0.9%10,763Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-03Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase46 @ $35.42$2K+0.1% of holding+11.0%+0.9%46,867Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-26RUDY IRVIN ROBERTdirectorSale2,000 @ $37.35$75K−5.1% of holding−0.5%−9.5%37,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase120 @ $32.28$4K+0.3% of holding+10.9%+13.9%46,676Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-04Boal Brian R.directorPurchase77 @ $32.28$2K+0.4% of holding+10.9%+13.9%20,680Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-04Rush Jason BarrydirectorPurchase74 @ $32.28$2K+0.3% of holding+10.9%+13.9%24,919Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase38 @ $35.92$1K+0.1% of holding+12.5%+12.8%46,555Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-02Rush Jason BarrydirectorPurchase78 @ $30.58$2K+0.3% of holding−8.8%−6.9%24,766Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-02Boal Brian R.directorPurchase70 @ $30.58$2K+0.4% of holding−8.8%−6.9%19,128Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-01Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase126 @ $30.58$4K+0.3% of holding−6.9%−5.0%46,690Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-01Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase46 @ $29.98$1K+0.1% of holding−6.9%−5.0%46,564Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-18Peterson Julie WofficerPurchase3 @ $30.65$100+0.3% of holding−3.1%+1.8%952Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Peterson Julie WofficerPurchase2 @ $41.33$100+1.6% of holding−15.7%−18.5%151Form 4 · filed 12 days after the trade
2025-02-03Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase118 @ $32.36$4K+0.3% of holding+6.8%−3.9%44,136Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-03Rush Jason BarrydirectorPurchase73 @ $32.36$2K+0.3% of holding+6.8%−3.9%22,882Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-03Boal Brian R.directorPurchase66 @ $32.36$2K+0.3% of holding+6.8%−3.9%19,058Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-03Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorPurchase42 @ $32.16$1K+0.1% of holding+6.8%−3.9%44,017Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-16Peterson Julie WofficerPurchase3 @ $32.75$100+2.1% of holding+22.7%+3.6%148Form 4 · filed 46 days after the trade
2024-12-17Peterson Julie WofficerPurchase3 @ $35.71$100+2.0% of holding−6.6%−18.7%145Form 4 · filed 76 days after the trade
2024-11-18Peterson Julie WofficerPurchase3 @ $34.56$100+2.1% of holding−0.5%−10.9%142Form 4 · filed 105 days after the trade
2024-10-16Peterson Julie WofficerPurchase3 @ $31.50$100+2.4% of holding+7.8%+3.1%138Form 4 · filed 138 days after the trade
2024-09-17Peterson Julie WofficerPurchase3 @ $29.16$100+2.6% of holding+3.3%+6.0%135Form 4 · filed 167 days after the trade
2024-08-16Peterson Julie WofficerPurchase4 @ $28.05$100+2.8% of holding+4.5%+37.0%131Form 4 · filed 199 days after the trade
2024-07-16Peterson Julie WofficerPurchase4 @ $22.30$100+3.7% of holding+22.8%+38.3%127Form 4 · filed 230 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

74 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-27Walls H Andrew IIIdirectorAward / grant1,00052,079Form 4
2026-05-27Moran BethdirectorAward / grant1,00028,952Form 4
2026-05-27RUDY IRVIN ROBERTdirectorAward / grant1,00038,500Form 4
2026-05-27Milon PatriciadirectorAward / grant1,00011,481Form 4
2026-05-27Hessler KevindirectorAward / grant1,3955,573Form 4
2026-05-27Barr John F.directorAward / grant1,00030,904Form 4
2026-05-27Boal Brian R.directorAward / grant1,39522,312Form 4
2026-05-27Chadha SanudirectorAward / grant1,2639,862Form 4
2026-05-27DiPietro ChristydirectorAward / grant1,39516,684Form 4
2026-05-20Fisher Robert L. IIofficerWithheld for tax14614,355Form 4
2026-05-20Sturm Tonya K.officerWithheld for tax13311,776Form 4
2026-05-07Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorWithheld for tax2,63848,729Form 4
2026-05-07Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorDisposition40651,367Form 4
2026-05-07Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorDisposition23551,773Form 4
2026-05-07Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorAward / grant1,08552,008Form 4
2026-05-07Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorAward / grant3,02350,923Form 4
2026-03-16Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorWithheld for tax31147,588Form 4
2026-03-16Fisher Robert L. IIofficerWithheld for tax17814,501Form 4
2026-03-16Sturm Tonya K.officerWithheld for tax14411,841Form 4
2026-03-16Sanders KeithofficerWithheld for tax14115,462Form 4
2026-03-16Fisher Robert L. IIofficerAward / grant52614,679Form 4
2026-03-16Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorAward / grant76647,899Form 4
2026-03-16Rush Jason BarrydirectorAward / grant50227,000Form 4
2026-03-16Sanders KeithofficerAward / grant42015,603Form 4
2026-03-16Sturm Tonya K.officerAward / grant42811,985Form 4
2026-03-06Rush Jason BarrydirectorAward / grant1,25226,498Form 4
2026-03-06Peterson Julie WofficerAward / grant6511,603Form 4
2026-03-06Sturm Tonya K.officerAward / grant81911,557Form 4
2026-03-06Tasker Anthony JamesofficerAward / grant189523Form 4
2026-03-06Tasker Anthony JamesofficerAward / grant465988Form 4
2026-03-06Fisher Robert L. IIofficerAward / grant87514,153Form 4
2026-03-06Sanders KeithofficerAward / grant73515,183Form 4
2026-02-25Rodeheaver Carissa LynndirectorWithheld for tax16447,133Form 4
2026-02-25Fisher Robert L. IIofficerWithheld for tax10613,278Form 4
2026-02-25Sturm Tonya K.officerWithheld for tax8910,738Form 4
2026-02-25Sanders KeithofficerWithheld for tax8814,448Form 4
2025-05-21Hessler KevindirectorAward / grant1,4754,065Form 4
2025-05-21Chadha SanudirectorAward / grant1,3178,599Form 4
2025-05-21Milon PatriciadirectorAward / grant1,00010,481Form 4
2025-05-21Moran BethdirectorAward / grant1,00027,952Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.