FUNSix Flags Entertainment CorporationConsumer Cyclical · Leisureas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.37 · now $12.37 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FUN has typically landed between $10.02 and $14.62 — a range of −19.0% to +18.2% from the issuance price $12.37.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.37) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FUN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.37 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$10.02worst · -19.0%$14.62best · +18.2%
  • now $12.37 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $12.29 (-0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.5–$13.07
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.02–$14.62
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−74.5%−74.5%+0.7%
2020-02-19−70.6%−74.7%+0.0%
2020-02-14−67.5%−67.5%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+76.6%+0.0%+94.3%
2009-03-06+66.7%+0.0%+66.7%
2020-04-03+65.0%+0.0%+84.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
70%
+4.6%
n=20
Feb
65%
+2.4%
n=20
Mar
60%
−1.8%
n=20
Apr
60%
+5.7%
n=20
May
60%
+0.4%
n=20
Jun
30%
−2.4%
n=20
Jul
40%
−1.6%
n=20
Aug
40%
−1.7%
n=20
Sep
30%
−1.7%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.0%
n=20
Nov
75%
+2.5%
n=20
Dec
70%
+1.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$27$122026-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $248K — Reilly John T2026-06-15: 1 insider purchase, $2.9M — JAFFER REHAN2026-06-12: 1 insider purchase, $3.0M — JAFFER REHAN2026-05-21: 1 insider purchase, $48K — Spiegel Marilyn G2026-05-12: 2 insider purchases, $239K — HADDRILL RICHARD M, Spiegel Marilyn G2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $248K2026-05: 3 open-market purchases, $286K2026-06: 2 open-market purchases, $5.9M2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $248K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Reilly John T — Purchase on 2026-08-12, filed same daydirector JAFFER REHAN — Purchase on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JAFFER REHAN — Purchase on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Spiegel Marilyn G — Purchase on 2026-05-21, filed 5 days after the tradedirector HADDRILL RICHARD M — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Spiegel Marilyn G — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12Reilly John TdirectorPurchase15,713 @ $15.80$248K+5.6% of holding−19.1%not yet — horizon still open297,736Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-15JAFFER REHANdirectorPurchase125,000 @ $23.41$2.9M+2.6% of holding−18.4%not yet — horizon still open4,900,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-12JAFFER REHANdirectorPurchase125,000 @ $23.69$3.0M+2.7% of holding−19.3%not yet — horizon still open4,775,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-21Spiegel Marilyn GdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $19.10$48K+19.7% of holding+18.4%not yet — horizon still open15,161Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-12HADDRILL RICHARD MdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $19.08$191K+4.5% of holding+29.1%not yet — horizon still open230,117Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12Spiegel Marilyn GdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $19.13$48K+24.6% of holding+29.1%not yet — horizon still open12,661Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-07Hoffman Steven EdirectorPurchase5,044 @ $24.79$125K+59.8% of holding−7.9%−35.4%13,473Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-07Hoffman Steven EdirectorPurchase5,014 @ $24.54$123K+146.8% of holding−7.9%−35.4%8,429Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12Frymire Michelle MdirectorSale5,929 @ $37.89$225K−45.3% of holding−19.1%−74.7%7,162Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-14SAULS MONICAofficerSale1,161 @ $37.83$44K−3.0% of holding−10.9%−54.3%37,698Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-13White Robert AndersonofficerSale11,113 @ $46.16$513K−20.2% of holding−1.8%−33.7%43,948Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

102 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-29Hoffman David R.officerAward / grant16,017115,227Form 4
2026-07-29Walia AshokofficerAward / grant66,738107,333Form 4
2026-07-29Bennett Christopher LawrenceofficerAward / grant9,34346,697Form 4
2026-06-25Bennett Christopher LawrenceofficerAward / grant37,33737,354Form 4
2026-06-25Martin Ziegenfuss AmyofficerAward / grant18,78818,788Form 4
2026-06-25Reilly John TdirectorAward / grant122,176282,023Form 4
2026-06-25Tastepe TayfunofficerAward / grant13,03242,694Form 4
2026-06-25Walia AshokofficerAward / grant40,59540,595Form 4
2026-06-25Hoffman David R.officerAward / grant13,03299,210Form 4
2026-04-16HADDRILL RICHARD MdirectorAward / grant217,797220,117Form 4
2026-02-23FISHER TIMofficerWithheld for tax19,092222,242Form 4
2026-02-23Witherow Brian CofficerWithheld for tax16,469297,765Form 4
2026-02-23Nurse BrianofficerWithheld for tax11,24679,092Form 4
2026-02-23Hoffman David R.officerWithheld for tax4,78886,178Form 4
2026-02-23Dieckmann ChristianofficerWithheld for tax3,88737,404Form 4
2026-02-23Tastepe TayfunofficerWithheld for tax3,63929,662Form 4
2026-01-02COCHRAN SANDRA BdirectorAward / grant13,03816,453Form 4
2026-01-02Spiegel Marilyn GdirectorAward / grant13,03818,378Form 4
2026-01-02Colglazier Michael AdirectorAward / grant13,03816,453Form 4
2026-01-02Dutra FelipedirectorAward / grant13,03816,453Form 4
2026-01-02Hoffman Steven EdirectorAward / grant13,03813,038Form 4
2026-01-02Huang Chieh E.directorAward / grant13,03818,378Form 4
2026-01-02Mason JenniferdirectorAward / grant13,03826,129Form 4
2025-12-31BASSOUL SELIM AdirectorWithheld for tax110,955537,223Form 4
2025-12-31Hanrahan Daniel JdirectorDisposition7,16257,688Form 4
2025-12-31BASSOUL SELIM AdirectorAward / grant261,000648,178Form 4
2025-12-31Hanrahan Daniel JdirectorOption exercise7,1620Form 4
2025-12-31Hanrahan Daniel JdirectorOption exercise7,16264,850Form 4
2025-12-31Hanrahan Daniel JdirectorOption exercise7,1620Form 4
2025-12-31Hanrahan Daniel JdirectorOption exercise7,16264,850Form 4
2025-12-24CARR LOUISdirectorDisposition3,58115,245Form 4
2025-12-24CARR LOUISdirectorOption exercise3,5810Form 4
2025-12-24CARR LOUISdirectorOption exercise3,58118,826Form 4
2025-12-24CARR LOUISdirectorOption exercise3,5810Form 4
2025-12-24CARR LOUISdirectorOption exercise3,58118,826Form 4
2025-12-08Reilly John TdirectorAward / grant159,847159,847Form 4
2025-12-05Zimmerman RicharddirectorWithheld for tax130,310770,577Form 4
2025-12-05Zimmerman RicharddirectorWithheld for tax114,531602,697Form 4
2025-12-05Zimmerman RicharddirectorAward / grant298,190900,887Form 4
2025-08-22FISHER TIMofficerWithheld for tax21,850241,334Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.