FUL · TickerCove

FULH.B. Fuller CompanyBasic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $50.83 · now $50.83 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FUL has typically landed between $45.18 and $57.46 — a range of −11.1% to +13.1% from the issuance price $50.83.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($50.83) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$50.83 · 11% of range

$48.88 low$66.93 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.5%

typical move · IQR 9.9%

−11.1%worst (p90)+13.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where FUL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $50.83 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $50.83 (+0.0%)
typical $50.58 (-0.5%)
middle 50% $48.07–$53.09
90% range $45.18–$57.46

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−46.7%	−46.7%	+0.0%
2020-02-14	−43.8%	−43.8%	+0.0%
2008-09-26	−43.1%	−43.1%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-05	+57.4%	+0.0%	+57.4%
2009-03-11	+52.9%	+0.0%	+52.9%
2009-03-06	+45.5%	−1.6%	+53.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

−1.3%

n=20

Feb

65%

+0.7%

n=20

Mar

40%

+0.2%

n=20

Apr

55%

+3.7%

n=20

May

70%

+0.8%

n=20

Jun

55%

+1.0%

n=20

Jul

65%

+2.0%

n=20

Aug

45%

−0.6%

n=20

Sep

35%

−2.2%

n=20

Oct

45%

+1.0%

n=20

Nov

90%

+5.4%

n=20

Dec

50%

−1.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-11	Weaver Nathan D.	officer	Sale	9,561 @ $62.06	$593K	−44.9% of holding	−15.1%	not yet — horizon still open	11,739	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-07	Mastin Celeste Beeks	director	Purchase	5,170 @ $57.08	$295K	+147.7% of holding	−5.4%	not yet — horizon still open	8,670	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-13	Weaver Nathan D.	officer	Sale	7,075 @ $58.38	$413K	−42.8% of holding	+2.0%	−10.5%	9,441	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-27	Corkrean John J	director	Sale	14,222 @ $60.31	$858K	−20.7% of holding	−1.3%	−4.5%	54,646	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-26	East James J.	officer	Purchase	31 @ $58.62	$2K	+1.1% of holding	+0.2%	+7.0%	2,822	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-08	Magalhaes Joao	officer	Sale	1,099 @ $56.31	$62K	−25.1% of holding	+6.8%	+8.0%	3,285	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-07	Magalhaes Joao	officer	Sale	1,046 @ $56.20	$59K	−24.2% of holding	+8.8%	+8.2%	3,285	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

293 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	Corkrean John J	director	Award / grant	244	35,900	Form 4
2026-09-11	Campe Heather	officer	Award / grant	43	5,998	Form 4
2026-08-28	Rasmussen Trangsrud Teresa J	director	Award / grant	1,171	26,123	Form 4
2026-08-28	HANDLEY THOMAS W	director	Award / grant	610	82,171	Form 4
2026-08-28	Kimmelshue Ruth	director	Award / grant	586	37,645	Form 4
2026-08-28	Happe Michael J	director	Award / grant	488	18,329	Form 4
2026-08-28	FLORNESS DANIEL L	director	Award / grant	390	33,616	Form 4
2026-08-28	Corkrean John J	director	Award / grant	224	35,655	Form 4
2026-08-28	Campe Heather	officer	Award / grant	40	5,955	Form 4
2026-08-14	Corkrean John J	director	Award / grant	201	35,432	Form 4
2026-08-14	Campe Heather	officer	Award / grant	36	5,915	Form 4
2026-08-11	Weaver Nathan D.	officer	Option exercise	4,976	16,715	Form 4
2026-08-11	Weaver Nathan D.	officer	Option exercise	4,976	0	Form 4
2026-08-11	Weaver Nathan D.	officer	Option exercise	4,585	21,300	Form 4
2026-08-11	Weaver Nathan D.	officer	Option exercise	4,585	0	Form 4
2026-07-31	Corkrean John J	director	Award / grant	228	35,089	Form 4
2026-07-31	Campe Heather	officer	Award / grant	40	5,856	Form 4
2026-07-17	Corkrean John J	director	Award / grant	221	34,861	Form 4
2026-07-17	Campe Heather	officer	Award / grant	39	5,816	Form 4
2026-07-15	Martin Celine Christine	director	Award / grant	2,895	2,895	Form 4
2026-07-15	Zaheer Srilata	director	Award / grant	2,895	12,116	Form 4
2026-07-15	Rasmussen Trangsrud Teresa J	director	Award / grant	2,895	24,850	Form 4
2026-07-15	FLORNESS DANIEL L	director	Award / grant	2,895	33,091	Form 4
2026-07-15	HANDLEY THOMAS W	director	Award / grant	2,895	81,230	Form 4
2026-07-15	Happe Michael J	director	Award / grant	2,895	17,769	Form 4
2026-07-15	Kimmelshue Ruth	director	Award / grant	2,895	36,909	Form 4
2026-07-15	Lauber Charles T	director	Award / grant	2,895	13,116	Form 4
2026-07-09	Magalhaes Joao	officer	Option exercise	1,658	0	Form 4
2026-07-09	Magalhaes Joao	officer	Option exercise	1,658	5,523	Form 4
2026-07-06	Corkrean John J	director	Award / grant	216	34,640	Form 4
2026-07-06	Campe Heather	officer	Award / grant	38	5,777	Form 4
2026-06-22	Corkrean John J	director	Award / grant	196	34,424	Form 4
2026-06-22	Campe Heather	officer	Award / grant	35	5,738	Form 4
2026-06-05	Corkrean John J	director	Award / grant	210	34,228	Form 4
2026-06-05	Campe Heather	officer	Award / grant	37	5,704	Form 4
2026-05-29	Rasmussen Trangsrud Teresa J	director	Award / grant	1,030	21,956	Form 4
2026-05-29	HANDLEY THOMAS W	director	Award / grant	536	78,336	Form 4
2026-05-29	Kimmelshue Ruth	director	Award / grant	515	34,014	Form 4
2026-05-29	Happe Michael J	director	Award / grant	429	14,874	Form 4
2026-05-29	FLORNESS DANIEL L	director	Award / grant	343	30,196	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i